Do Not Be Deceived By The Surface Phenomenon.
Entering the March, textile enterprises started nearly half a month ago.
Most of the textile enterprises expressed the need to retain front-line skilled workers and recruit new workers, and the wages of workers generally rose 200-300 yuan / month, more than 500 yuan / month.
In addition, the PTA futures rose in March 1st and March 4th, and the price of the mainstream polyester factories in Jiangsu and Zhejiang has risen 50 to 150 yuan / ton since last Saturday.
Following the average production and sales of 180% in the afternoon at 3 p.m. in March 1st, the average production and sales volume again increased to about 150% in the afternoon of March 4th.
This has enabled many of the three gold and silver four gold textile enterprises to shake up, and can not help but feel that the textile market is finally getting warmer.
The market is getting warmer, looking forward to gold and silver four.
This year, the market has generally started and the orders are late. The textile enterprises have only finished the order of last year. After the construction started, the textile enterprises responded to the recent sale of the market.
Some enterprises still have a high stock of polyester, and there are still some cases of price reduction.
Since the new year, the order volume has not increased significantly, and the price is difficult to rise. The main reason for this phenomenon is the lack of downstream demand.
In addition, the continuous rain after the Spring Festival in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces brings inconvenience to the packaging and pportation of grey cloth.
However, with the advent of gold and silver four, production and sales began to surge, more and more people began to look at the current market, and look forward to a good market.
The price is stable today.
Tongxiang direction: Tongxiang mainstream factory, polyester POY reported stable; Tongxiang another factory polyester stable; Huzhou a factory silk price stability;
Jiangsu direction: a factory in Jiangsu has reported the stability of polyester, and the polyester POY of a factory in Taicang has risen 100 since Saturday; the FDY of a factory in Wuxi has been stable.
Shaoxing direction: FDY of a factory in Shaoxing is cancelled by 100-200; a FDY factory in Shaoxing today is stable.
Xiaoshan direction: a factory has been reported to be stable; and a large factory in Zhejiang is now upgrading its silk price.
At present, it has entered the March. "Gold three silver four" is worth everyone's expectation. Compared with February, the textile market in March has indeed been on the right track. According to the monitoring data, the loom rate has reached 82%, and the downstream purchasing atmosphere is good.
In addition, the printing and dyeing Market is also gradually recovering, and the delivery time of some printing and dyeing factories has been extended. Even Xiaobian heard some people say that the delivery date of the spring sub fabric dyeing plant is up to a month, and the price of grey cloth is rising, and the market demand exceeds supply.
In this case, the market will enter a "small spring".
But Xiaobian thinks there are many hidden dangers behind Yangchun, so where is the crisis?
Crisis 1: there is a reason for the prolonged delivery of products. Do not be confused by appearances.
Judging from the fact that the market is in short supply and the extension of the dyeing factory is extended, it is indeed a good performance. But according to Xiaobian, the products that are in short supply in the market are SPH2/1 slant, extinction and broken card products.
The process of this kind of product also has certain particularity. Breaking card is the structural form of the twill line with a certain angle on the surface of the fabric.
The weft weave weave weave weft is smaller than plain weave, though it is not as fast as plain weave fabric, but it feels soft and smooth. The excellent properties of the product become the foundation of its hot, while other products seem to be flat. The sale of such products alone is not enough to support the whole market.
On the one hand, the reasons for the extension of the printing and dyeing factory were affected by the market orders. On the other hand, the reduction of printing and dyeing capacity was also one of the important reasons. In 2018, Suzhou and Xiangcheng District eliminated altogether 63 printing and dyeing enterprises in the jurisdiction, and 19 in Hangzhou Xiaoshan customs.
At present, environmental problems are becoming more and more serious. Printing and dyeing industry has always been the focus of environmental protection policy. In 2019, environmental protection will only be more severe. Printing and dyeing links are key links in textile processing and value-added, and the reduction of production capacity is bound to prolong the delivery time of orders.
It can be seen that now the extension of the dyeing factory is not always driven by demand, coupled with the warm recovery of the textile market. Some fabrics are selling well. It is easy for people to be confused by the appearance, only to see the busy season in front of the market, but ignore the crisis behind them.
Crisis two: expansion of inland looms, industrial chain improvement, capacity blowout!
What competition do we compete with?
Let's take a look at the productivity data of inland expansion.
One
Yibin takes the east to move west, with a total investment of 5 billion.
The high-tech textile major project is located in Qinghai, with an annual output of 20000 tons, making 100 billion textile industry cluster.
Two
The foundation laying ceremony of Yunnan kassiya silk textile industrial park was held on February 19th in Yunnan, Dehong, Longfeng County, Dehong. It invested 500 million!
Annual output value of 1 billion 600 million + super large textile industrial park opened in Yunnan!
Three
Jiangsu Suqian Siyang Economic Development Zone's Heng Tian chemical fiber home textile equipment has 600 loom machines, 30000 water jet looms and corresponding production capacity dyeing and finishing equipment. It has 180 thousand square meters of polyester, spinning, weaving, weaving, dyeing, chemical fiber industry vertical integration workshop modern textile enterprise, can achieve annual sales of 45 billion yuan.
Looking at these data, Xiaobian can take a breath of cool air. These inland textile industry systems are complete, industrial equipment automation, and even unmanned workshops.
Although the cost of initial investment is large, the subsequent labor cost is reduced, and the efficiency of intelligent equipment is high.
Compared with the small and medium-sized textile enterprises in the coastal areas, on the one hand, these small and medium-sized enterprises can not afford the high cost of intelligent equipment input. On the other hand, relative to the machine, the workers have high operation cost and low fault tolerance.
Crisis three: credit sale mode reappears, the peak of market boom cycle has passed.
As we all know, the textile market last year and even the year before last can be seen in ten years.
There is a saying in the market that it is good for three years and three years. According to this view, the peak of textile market has passed, and now it has entered the downlink stage.
Some market professionals also think so. Mr. Xu of a weaving enterprise in Suzhou said that there were quite a lot of recent lists. But last year, they were cash in the year before last year. This year, there were lots of credit on the cloth. The old customers had high trust. They didn't get much credit for buying the rice.
Xiao Li, a trade trader in Suzhou, also said that his client had paid the bill and did not pay. He could not get the gold cloth. He could only take credit first, and then the customer would give money to the weaving factory.
Xiaobian believes that the pformation of cash to goods sold on credit sale is also a manifestation of the downward trend of the market.
epilogue
From the current order situation, the market is slowly recovering, and the market will be better in March, but the crisis behind it still exists. This year's competition will be more intense than before. In 2019, it will be the worst year, and it will be the best year.
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