Viscose Staple Fiber After The Retreat Or Down To 13000 Yuan / Ton

In recent years, viscose staple fiber prices have dropped rapidly, the market is expected to continue to decline, the air watching atmosphere intensified, downstream purchasing intention dropped to freezing point, generally delayed purchase or wait for the mainstream big factory to introduce relevant policies, the price is expected to be down to 13000 yuan / ton, or refresh the new low to the beginning of this year.

Manufacturers expand losses

From the cost side, the market price of short lint continued to be in a stalemate in February, and there was no market price at the beginning of the month, and the trading atmosphere was dull. But with the recovery of the downstream market, the demand for short staple did not improve greatly. Most of the products were purchased on demand. The price of long velvet in Xiajin was 3750-3800 yuan / ton, the price of Xinjiang long velvet was 3000-3200 yuan / ton, and the cotton pulp market was stable before the year. The main pulp factory in East China was quoted at 7200 yuan / ton, and the actual negotiation was within 7100 yuan / ton.

After the start of the year, due to the general purchasing performance in the lower reaches, there was no new quotation in the cotton pulp market. Some manufacturers discussed the intention of 7100-7200 yuan / ton in the cotton pulp market. The price of the dissolving pulp market was stable at 7200-7300 yuan / ton in the dissolving pulp, and the imported pulp dissolving pulp maintained more than the previous level. The price of the broadleaf pulp was 880-890 dollars / ton, and the coniferous pulp was 900-920 dollars / ton.

According to the current 7050 yuan / ton of cotton pulp, the production loss is set to be 3% of the conventional market. The viscose staple made of raw material costs only 7262 yuan / ton, plus the processing cost of 7000 yuan / ton, the cost of 1.5D viscose staple fiber is as high as 14262 yuan / ton.

And viscose staple price negotiated at about 13200 yuan / ton, the factory deficit space is being enlarged.

High inventory of enterprises

Before the Spring Festival, sticky enterprises are allowed to shift profits to relieve the pressure of post holiday sales, and help the market after the festival. However, after the festival, the start-up of the downstream companies has been slow up. The implementation of the orders in the enterprises has been slow. The enterprises are mainly relying on the raw materials to be digested, and there are only a few sticky short ones. Although the appearance shows that the enterprises' orders can be carried out until the end of February, and even before the beginning of March, the pressure on real inventory, sales and capital is getting more and more obvious. According to the market, the industry inventory is more than 20 days.

Gradual stabilization of downstream market

Recently, the yarn market is getting warmer and warmer. There is a relatively large number of orders for proofing, inquiry, and batch production.

In recent years, the market of pure cotton yarn in Xiaoshao district is generally in a general mood, and the quotation is basically stable.

Viscose staple fiber prices have declined, the price of cotton yarn is more stable, some cotton mills after the start of the quotation slightly stronger, but the real single paction performance was mediocre.

To sum up: the viscose staple fiber market is still in the abyss of loss, but the market fundamentals lack good support, and is expected to continue to decline. Viscose staple fiber factory has a lingering fear of high inventories, so shipments will be enhanced, coupled with the intention of lowering the price of the downstream market.

In addition, Jiangsu's 3 and 4 production lines will be put on the agenda, which will further reduce the viscose staple market.

How to relieve?

We can only hope for the demand side. With the arrival of the traditional "small gold and three silver four", the downstream demand will show a certain degree of improvement. In this long and short game, viscose staple fiber is expected to fall first and then rise in March.