Textile And Clothing Exports Declined, And Tariffs Were Added.

In September 2019, China's textile and clothing trade volume was 26 billion 560 million US dollars, down 7.9% from the same period (the same below). Among them, exports amounted to US $24 billion 520 million, a decrease of 7.6%; imports amounted to US $2 billion 40 million, a decrease of 10.6%; the trade surplus of US $22 billion 480 million decreased by 7.3% during the same month. From 1 to September 2019, China's textile and clothing trade volume was 220 billion 530 million US dollars, down 3.2%. Among them, exports amounted to US $202 billion, a decrease of 2.8%; imports amounted to US $18 billion 520 million, a decrease of 6.8%, and a cumulative trade surplus of US $183 billion 480 million, down 2.4%. From 1 to September 2019, the import and export of textiles and garments showed the following characteristics.

Exports declined in the first 3 quarters, and tariffs were added to the US.

In the first 3 quarters of 2019, in the face of frequent economic and trade frictions and uncertainty events, China's textile and clothing export performance was still positive, and there was no significant decline. However, the trend of export decline was gradually clear, and the negative growth of exports in 2019 was inevitable.

In September 2019, the impact of the United States on the full tariff increase of China's textile and clothing products began to show. In the first 8 months, the export growth and decline appeared alternately. The export in September continued to decline in August, whether in Renminbi or in US dollars.

While exports were blocked, the decline in textile and clothing imports in 2019 was even more pronounced: from 5 to September, 5 months in a row, and the two digit decline in 8 to September. In the first 3 quarters of 2019, imports of textiles and clothing decreased by 6.8%, and the rate of decline was faster than exports.

Listing 4 officially levy tariffs, a total decline in US exports.

Since September 1, 2019, the United States has begun to levy tariffs on the commodities valued at US $300 billion (Listing 4), which includes most of the clothing and household textiles. In September, China's textile and clothing exports to the United States decreased, of which clothing and household textiles decreased by 21.8% and 8.5% respectively, and the total exports of the United States dropped by 20.1%, which was a drag of 4 percentage points on the decline in global exports.

Excluding part 3 of the products, it is difficult to form effective support for exports.

By the end of October 2019, the United States had excluded 12 of the products of 12 dollars worth of yarn and fabric that were valued in US $200 billion commodity (Listing 3). According to the US statistics, from 2019 to September 1, the amount of the 12 tariff products imported from the United States totaled 188 million US dollars, accounting for only 0.5% of the total imports and exports of textiles and clothing from China in the same period.

The proportion of general trade mode has increased, and private enterprises' exports to the US have maintained growth.

In the first 3 quarters of 2019, the total export volume of textiles and clothing rose to 81%, which further promoted the leading role of general trade in exports. General trade exports fell by only 1%, which is better than the same period of processing trade (14.8% decline) and small border trade (down 14%).

Private enterprises, as the backbone, form strong support for exports. From 1 to September 2019, the export of textile and clothing of private enterprises was only slightly reduced by 0.8%, and the number of export entrepreneurs remained 7%. Among them, exports to the US increased by 0.1%, and the number of export entrepreneurs increased by 3%, far exceeding the performance of state-owned enterprises and foreign-funded enterprises in the same period.

Exports to the traditional market have all declined, and the market is accelerating to diversify.

EU: exports continue to decline

The EU market is still sluggish. In September 2019, China's textile and clothing exports to the EU continued to decline, a decline of 16%, and a 2.8 percentage point drag on the decline in overall exports of textiles and clothing. From 1 to September 2019, China's textile and apparel exports to the EU totaled 36 billion 120 million US dollars, down 5.6%, and the largest drop in key markets. Among them, the export volume of clothing dropped by 7.3%, the total export volume of needle woven garments of large categories decreased by 4.6%, and the export unit price dropped by 3.9%.

Britain's "off Europe" process procrastinating repeatedly, China's textile and clothing exports to Britain increased uncertainty. In the first 3 quarters of 2019, China's textile and apparel exports to the UK decreased by 8.5%.

According to the EU customs statistics, from 1 to August 2019, the EU's import of textiles and clothing from the world amounted to US $91 billion 970 million, a decrease of 1.2%, from China's imports to US $29 billion 300 million, a decrease of 1.6%, and the increase in imports from ASEAN and Bangladesh by 3% and 3.9% respectively. The share of Chinese products in the EU market is 31.9%, down 0.1 percentage points from the same period in 2018.

Us: commodities began to levy tariffs, and exports declined by 20% in September.

Since September 1, 2019, the export of garments and home textile products in China has been facing 15% tariffs. In September, exports to the United States fell and the export volume was 4 billion 70 million US dollars, down 20%. Among them, the total export volume of yarn fabrics dropped by nearly 30%, the export of needle woven garments decreased by 19%, and the export average price dropped by 5.5%.

From 1 to September 2019, the total export volume of clothing and home textile products to the United States decreased by 4.4%, of which 35 billion 400 million of the total volume of textiles exports decreased by 6.1%, clothing exports decreased by 3.8%, and domestic textile exports increased by 4.3%.

From 1 to September 2019, the total amount of textiles and clothing imported from the United States amounted to US $94 billion 450 million, an increase of 3.1%. Among them, imports from China amounted to 31 billion 800 million US dollars, down 2.6%; imports from ASEAN, India and Bangladesh increased by 9.4%, 5.6% and 9.1% respectively. The proportion of Chinese products in the US market is 33.7%, down 2.1 percentage points from the same period in 2018.

ASEAN: exports decline again

After 3 months of growth, China's textile and clothing exports to ASEAN declined again in September 2019, down 9.6% from that month, and exports of textiles and clothing decreased by 8.2% and 13.7% respectively. From 1 to September 2019, China's textile and apparel exports to ASEAN amounted to US $27 billion 850 million, a slight decrease of 0.3%, of which the export volume of major categories of commodity yarn and fabric increased by 3% and 1.7% respectively, and the export volume of needle woven garments decreased by 8%.

Japan: signs of stabilization in the market

The Japanese market has shown signs of stabilization in recent days. In September 2019, although China's textile and clothing exports to Japan decreased compared with the same period last year, the ring rose third months, and exports to Japan amounted to US $2 billion 160 million in that month. From 1 to September in 2019, China's textile and apparel exports to Japan decreased by 5.2%, slightly better than the European Union in the traditional market. Among them, the export volume of textiles and clothing decreased by 2% and 6% respectively. The export volume of needle woven garments of large categories decreased by 7.4%, and the export average price increased by 1.8%.

According to Japanese customs statistics, from 1 to September in 2019, Japanese textile and clothing imports amounted to US $29 billion, a slight increase of 0.2%, of which imports from China amounted to US $16 billion 50 million, a decrease of 4.3%, and imports from ASEAN increased by 7%. The proportion of China's product market dropped to 55.4%, down 2.6 percentage points from the same period in 2018.

The countries along the belt and road: the total export is basically flat, and the market position is gradually improving.

While obstructing the export of traditional markets, the countries along the belt have become the main driving force of China's textile and clothing exports. In September 2019, China's textile and apparel exports to the world declined, but exports to the countries along the "belt and road" achieved a 4% growth. In the first 3 quarters of 2019, the total export volume of China's textiles and clothing to the countries along the belt and road was 70 billion 670 million US dollars, a slight decrease of 0.1%, basically unchanged from the same period last year. Among them, Central Asia, Western Asia and South Asia are major growth areas. The steady and orderly development of bilateral trade has brought the proportion of the countries along the belt and road to China's textile and clothing exports to 35%, and the market position has gradually increased.

Exports of textiles and clothing have dropped, and chemical fiber products have maintained a weak growth.

In September 2019, China's textile and clothing exports decreased by 7.7% and 7.5% respectively. Among them, the export volume of large categories of commodity yarn, fabric, finished goods, needle woven garments and household textiles decreased. From 1 to September 2019, the total export volume of textiles and clothing decreased by 0.06% and 4.9% respectively. According to raw materials, export volume of cotton, silk and wool products (including yarn, fabric and clothing) decreased, especially for silk products, and the chemical fiber products maintained a 0.4% growth rate of 50%.

Exports from Zhejiang and Fujian kept growing, and Hunan's exports grew rapidly.

In September 2019, the export volume of the top five export provinces and cities of China's textile and clothing decreased, except for Fujian, with a drop of more than or nearly 10%. From 1 to September 2019, the export volume of Zhejiang and Fujian in the top five provinces and cities maintained an increase of 0.5% and 4.7% respectively. Hunan, Hubei, Anhui and other provinces in the central region have achieved relatively rapid growth, especially in Hunan province. The growth rate of exports has exceeded 50% in 7 consecutive months, with a cumulative increase of 76%.

Textile imports continued to decline sharply

In September 2019, China's textile and clothing imports continued to decline. Among them, the import volume of textiles decreased by 20%, the number of two figures dropped in fifth months, and the decline in more than 20% months in second months.

From 1 to September, 2019, the total import volume of textiles decreased by 13.1%, of which the imports of yarn, fabrics and finished products decreased by 15.2%, 14.3% and 6.7% respectively. The total import volume of clothing increased by 7.2%, of which the import and export prices of knitted woven garments increased 6% and 4.1% respectively.

Cotton imports continued and sharply reduced, and domestic and foreign cotton prices approached.

In September 2019, China's cotton imports continued to plummet and import volume hit a new low in the year. In September, only 83 thousand tons of cotton were imported, down 38.5% and 9.8% respectively. From 1 to September 2019, China's cotton imports totaled 1 million 519 thousand tons, an increase of 36.2%, and the average import price was 1970 US dollars / ton, down 2.2%. Among them, the United States imported 309 thousand tons, down 34.9%, after the United States ranked in Brazil and Australia.

China Cotton Association monthly report shows that in September 2019, most of the cotton in the country was in bloom. Affected by adverse weather, Xinjiang cotton was slow growing, picking and selling slowly in 2018. Because of low cotton prices, the enthusiasm of picking and selling was not high. The processing enterprises are cautious in entering the market, and the overall purchasing volume is small. It is estimated that the total cotton output in 2019 will be 5 million 905 thousand and 700 tons, down 185 thousand tons compared with 2018, down 3.35% from the same period last year.

The trade friction between China and the United States has eased. Meanwhile, the textile industry has entered the traditional peak season, and the demand for the enterprises has improved relatively. At the end of 9 2019, the cotton business inventories declined, and the gap was narrowed. At the end of 9, China's cotton price index (CC Index3128B) stood at 12608 yuan / ton, down by 377 yuan per ton at the end of 8, narrowing by 705 yuan, and the monthly average price of 12962 yuan / ton, down 572 yuan / ton compared with August, down 3351 yuan / ton compared with the same period last year. International cotton prices rose slightly. At the end of 9, domestic and foreign cotton spot prices tended to be close. China's cotton import price index (FC Index M) is 71.25 cents / pound, down 0.79 cents / pound compared with 8 months, 72.31 cents / pound at the end of the month, 1.13 cents / pound higher than the end of 8, and 12561 yuan / ton under 1% customs duty, which is only below the 47 yuan / ton of domestic cotton spot in the same period, which is reduced by 848 yuan / ton compared with the end of August.