Hebei: The Market Transaction Is Cold And Clear, The Enterprise Goes To The Stock Pressure To Be Big.

Recently, the cotton market in Cangzhou, Hebei has been pressing with cold and pessimism. The seed cotton trade is cold, the price is low, the cotton seed is falling down, and the lint is difficult to sell. The main manifestations are:

Cotton farmers meet again. Entering the December, Cangzhou seed cotton trade has not yet been improved, cotton growers shout "sell cotton difficult". On the 8 day, Master Liu, a large cotton farmer in Dongguang County, said that this year, 27 acres of cotton were planted, and the yield reached 570 Jin / mu, and the total yield of seed cotton was 15390 Jin. So far, one or two cotton has not yet been sold. Master Liu told the author that there were too few cotton collecting enterprises, and cotton traders who went from door to door couldn't see it, and cotton had nowhere to sell. This is a big problem this year.

It is understood that Hebei Cangzhou 400 type ginning factory more than 80, this year only 4 or 5 manufacturers, and the closure. Because of the bullying of many shops, many cotton farmers die at the top of the land, causing some cotton growers to be afraid of large cotton ginning plants.

The price of seed cotton is low, and cotton farmers are not satisfied. As of December 8th, the mainstream purchase price of seed cotton in Cangzhou area was 2.85-3.05 yuan / jin (lint 38%-39%, moisture regain 12%), and the quality was particularly good at 3.10 yuan / Jin line.

A cotton farmer named Li accounted for an account: 500 yuan per mu per unit price, unit price 3 yuan / Jin calculation, Mu gross income of 1500 yuan. After deducting the cost of seed, fertilizer, pesticide, labor and package, the net income of one mu of cotton is less than 200 yuan. Compared with corn and soybean, there is no advantage compared with other crops. Therefore, many cotton growers are not satisfied with the price this year.

Many cotton growers say that the price is too low this year to make a year of work, rather than working for a month. Therefore, many cotton growers say that they should wait and see not to rush to sell cotton.

The cottonseed rush is coming down in recent years. According to Dongguang, Xianxian County, Nanpi and other county press oil factory feedback, as of December 8th, cotton seed mainstream to the factory price in 1.14-1.16 yuan / Jin, compared to the previous week fell 0.01 yuan / Jin. The cotton seed which has been advancing vigorously has fallen down, which has really hit the confidence of the cotton mill and cotton growers.

According to the analysis, the reasons for the recent cottage seed price drop are: first, the pork price plummeted, and the feed is like a head-on drink, which causes greater pressure on cottonseed oil. Second, after a long rise, the cottonseed has released some of the pressure in the near future, which is also in line with the law of oscillatory advance and spiral. Third, Xinjiang cotton seeds are flooding in. Xinjiang cottonseed is characterized by low price and high oil content, which is welcomed by the oil refineries and further squeezed out of real estate cottonseed.

Recently, the characteristics of real estate cotton are: low price and difficult sales. As of 5 days, the mainstream price of real estate cotton in Cangzhou was 13000-13300 yuan / ton (gross weight and delivery price), unchanged from yesterday, and also at a low level. Despite the low price, most manufacturers say that real estate cotton is not sold.

The head of a 400 type ginning factory said that the lint stocks had occupied the warehouse at the end of the year. These days, the enterprises did not receive the inquiry telephone, nor did they see the goods cotton merchants, which made the ginning factory fear.

To sum up, the whole cotton chain is still dominated by bad profits, lack of market confidence, less trading volume, and no sale of lint. It is expected that cotton will continue to fall easily in the short term.