400 Only 8% Of Home Textile Enterprises Returned To Work Yesterday. How Much Can The Capacity Be Restored To The End Of February?
In February 10th, I heard that textile enterprises had already started. Hello, everyone, have you been to work yet?
On the 8 day, Wuxi announced the city's "list of industrial enterprises to resume work on Sundays" in February 10th. A total of 1264 enterprises were approved to resume work, of which only 53 were textile enterprises.
Recently, Xiaobian made a market survey. In the 400 questionnaires, only 8% of the enterprises started to start in February 10th, and nearly 7 of the enterprises chose to start after February 20th.
Some netizens also broke the news: in Fujian, a factory of about 1000 people is currently registered with only 70 workers. In other parts of the country, many enterprises have to delay construction because they are too few to go to work.
As Shengze, Keqiao, Changxin and other places have issued a notice of delayed start, Guangzhou, China, Haining Home Textile City, Haimen Industrial Park, and the market of home textile market such as peri stone bridge also issued a "no deadline for delayed opening" notice.
Because the start time of different cluster markets is different, everyone's eyes are paying attention to the market dynamics, so that competitors will soon start your work and take your orders.
"If I don't start again, I'm afraid customers will be robbed. It is now certain that after February 20th, only half of the capacity will be ready by the end of February. Most of our workers are in Northern Jiangsu. It is not difficult to come back, but generally they need to be isolated for 14 days. One textile boss said.
There are also local staff who say that the boss and many of his colleagues are from Henan, and now they can not come back.
It can be seen that the first problem facing the textile market is "resuming work". Affected by the epidemic this year, the average time for resuming work is postponed for 20-30 days, and the time to resume production capacity is longer. Most textile and garment clusters are mainly distributed in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian, Guangdong and Shandong. Under the epidemic situation, even if there are enterprises returning to work after February 10th, there is little possibility for the field workers to arrive before March. In Hubei and other serious epidemic areas, the time for owners and workers to return is delayed. Therefore, it is optimistic that the market will be able to resume production in mid March this year.
And in front of your bosses, there is another problem: the hard currency mask. If every employee works at work every day, how many days can he persist? Is the answer very flustered? After all, the boss has to do well in the protection work before declaring the project to start. Otherwise, the cost of finding a case is very serious.
Traders may be relatively flexible compared to the weaving factories with larger base staff. Many trade bosses say that local employees have started working at home, maintaining customers, offering quotations for new orders, and so on. "Generally, it takes 3-5 days to draw the manuscript. Today, someone has contacted me. If there is proof, they can be operated ahead of time." One trade owner said.
With the increase in the number of confirmed cases daily, experts also said that the inflection point did not arrive. The impact of the epidemic on the market is still in continuous fermentation. For the cloth boss at home every day, besides worrying about the time to resume work, it is also more concerned about whether the order can be completed and ordered in time.
The second question is whether the dye factory will burst after resuming work. For the expected delayed start, many textile bosses with orders on hand are worried about the "delivery date" problem. "In the past, when the dyeing factory started to open, we would arrange warehousing and follow up according to the order placed on hand. This year, according to this trend, dyeing factories will start at least in late February, so everyone is rushing to rush orders, and the dyeing plant is expected to burst. Trade owner Shen general said.
Years ago, the printing and dyeing market was ushered in a wave of market. With the increase of fabric orders in spring and summer, the number of imitation silk orders increased sharply in many printing and dyeing factories, and the delivery time of printing and dyeing was extended to about 10 days. However, the market continuity was not strong, and the delivery period was only maintained for about 7-10 days before the dye factory holidays. Because of this, most textile bosses are relatively calm. They will not need to place orders that were delivered years ago. They will be completed after the start of the year. After all, the quality of orders will be affected by factors such as workers and holidays.
But people do not calculate well. The sudden outbreak broke the original plan. The order to be delivered in mid February is definitely not urgent. It is necessary to deliver the order before the middle of March. At present, the printing and dyeing Market is also in the stage of production shutdown. This link is stuck and orders are hard to deliver.
Therefore, it is expected that after the start of the dyeing factories, the cloth owners who have been anxious for more than half a month will be expected to run around to find a way to dye them. The printing and dyeing market may have a wave of market, and the possibility of prolonging the delivery period is greater.
The third question is, will there be a market for "spring clothes" after reworking? "This epidemic has disrupted the pace of our company. Originally, we had stockpiling some spring clothes in advance, and prepared to do so after the start of the year, but according to the current market situation, the sales of spring clothes on the customers side are also hard enough." Zhao, chief of the silk fabric, said.
According to past practice, orders for spring fabrics will be released one year ago, and fabric enterprises will be delivered on time. Spring clothes are usually new in the first quarter, and many clothing brands sell their spring sellers at the golden week of the Spring Festival. They sell well.
(Spring Festival holiday shopping malls in the past)
But for this year, the planned spring dress has become a stock. Even if the epidemic is eliminated in 2-3 months, the consumer's panic will continue for some time. The desire to shop offline will be discounted. The sales of spring clothes will miss the best season, and the possibility of a sharp decline in sales will be greater. Then, the spring clothes that will become stocks may be used as the autumn wear line. Maybe there will be some pressure on the demand for autumn fabrics in the second half of the year.
In addition, Guangzhou, Hangzhou and other garment market opening time is uncertain, the market volume of the spring fabric market is not guaranteed. "We haven't had any new quotations lately. Customers are not at work. We are very anxious." Another trader, General Yang, said.
On the evening of February 9th, experts said that the new coronavirus belonged to the SARS coronavirus, and the epidemic in Hubei was still at a high incidence.
Before, we have been discussing whether the impact of this year's epidemic on the industry will exceed the period of SARS. No one can predict this. But Xiaobian thinks that with the advance of the epidemic, more and more people begin to adjust their mindset.
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