In June, The Prosperity Of National Textile And Clothing Professional Market Fell

The prosperity monitoring results of circulation branch of China Textile Federation show that in June 2020, the prosperity index of national textile and garment professional market managers is 46.83, which is 4.30 percentage points lower than 51.13 in May; the business prosperity index of professional market is 48.33, 1.80 percentage points lower than 50.13 in May. In June, the textile and clothing professional market entered the traditional sales off-season, and the overall business situation declined. In addition, the epidemic prevention and control work in the wholesale market in Beijing was highly concerned. Under the double effects of the anti epidemic rebound and the traditional sales off-season, the prosperity index of textile and clothing professional market has declined.

1、 The prosperity of managers and merchants is falling

Data shows that in June, the prosperity index of national textile and garment professional market managers and merchants fell.

1. The business climate index of managers dropped by 4.30 percentage points

Chart 1 list of managers' index

Data source: Statistics of circulation branch of China Textile Federation

From the perspective of management climate index, the overall index of managers' prosperity index was 46.83 in June, 4.30 percentage points lower than 51.13 in May, and the business environment index was 48.39, 0.64 percentage points lower than 49.03 in May.

Among the sub indexes, the total business index was 45.81, down 6.77 percentage points from 52.58 in May; the logistics delivery index was 47.10, 5.48 percentage points lower than 52.58 in May; the passenger flow index was 46.45, 5.81 percentage points lower than 52.26 in May; the opening rate index was 45.81, down 3.87 percentage points from 49.68 in May; the rent index was 45.81, 0.96 percentage points lower than 46.77 in May; The e-commerce sales index was 50.00, down 2.90 percentage points from 52.90 in May.

2. The business climate index decreased by 1.80 percentage points

Chart 2 list of merchant index

Data source: Statistics of circulation branch of China Textile Federation

In terms of the business climate index, the business climate index in June was 48.33, down 1.80 percentage points from 50.13 in May; the business environment index was 48.01, down 0.82 percentage points from 48.83 in May.

Among the sub indexes, the sales index was 46.30, down 4.60 percentage points from 50.90 in May; the average selling price index was 45.89, down 3.97 percentage points from 49.86 in May; the profit index was 46.51, down 3.35 percentage points from 49.86 in May; the comprehensive cost index was 50.62, up 1.17 percentage points from 49.45 in May; the inventory index was 52.05, up 1.08 percentage points from 50.97 in May; The e-commerce sales index was 48.63, down 1.09 percentage points from 49.72 in May.

2、 Data analysis

1. The rent pressure of specialized market continues to increase

Since the beginning of this year, the rent index of professional market has shown great pressure. From January to February, the rent index of professional market was 29.03, that of March was 48.39, that of April was 47.42, that of May was 46.77 and that of June was 45.81, which continued to decline by 0.96 percentage points. In the first half of this year, the professional market rent index has always been lower than 50 and still continues to decline. It can be seen that the follow-up impact of the epidemic situation is relatively serious in the professional market rent level, and there are many situations such as rent cancellation, rent decline and rent arrears. The professional market may face more new challenges in the post epidemic era. Therefore, it is necessary to adapt to the new situation as soon as possible, adjust its role, optimize and upgrade.

2. The cost pressure and inventory pressure of merchants are slightly relieved

In June, the cost pressure and inventory pressure of merchants eased slightly, and the index rebounded. The comprehensive cost index was 50.62, up 1.17 percentage points from 49.45 in May; the inventory index was 52.05, up 1.08 percentage points from 50.97 in May. In June, the professional market entered the off-season of operation, and all indexes fell down, only the comprehensive cost index and inventory index showed an upward trend. The two indexes are higher than the 50 prosperity and withering line and are gradually rising, which shows that the business pressure of merchants is gradually easing.

3、 The prediction index is all lower than 50

The data shows that for managers, the next business climate index is 48.06, down 0.97 percentage points from 49.03 in May; the business environment index in the next period is 48.06, down 0.65 percentage points from 48.71 in May. In terms of merchants, the next business climate index was 48.01, down 1.02 percentage points from 49.03 in May; the business environment index in the next period was 47.95, down 0.46 percentage points from 48.41 in May. In terms of prediction index, the four prediction indexes of managers and merchants fell down, and the overall level was lower than the 50 prosperity and withering line. It can be seen that the market and merchants still have insufficient confidence in the future situation of the industry, and the sales off-season of the textile and clothing professional market may continue to July.

enclosure:

1. Monitoring methods

"Textile and clothing professional market prosperity index" consists of "manager index" and "merchant index". Using the sampling method, we selected markets and merchants of different business categories such as clothing, fabric, home textiles and small commodities, and filled in the questionnaires of managers' prosperity index and merchants' prosperity index respectively.

2. Monitoring samples

The sample of managers' prosperity consists of 32 specialized textile and garment markets, including Guangzhou Baima clothing market, Beijing Tianya women's clothing building, Jiangsu Dieshiqiao home textile market, Shanghai xinqipu clothing market, Liaoning Xiliu clothing market, etc. The sample of business prosperity is composed of more than 150 merchants, such as Taotao clothing, Muzi thatched house, Ruili Hanshi, zhedi clothing, etc.

3. Monitoring period

The business cycle is monthly, submitted at the end of each month and released at the beginning of the next month.

4. Index composition

In the "textile and clothing professional market prosperity index", the "manager index" consists of four first-class indexes: the current manager prosperity index, the next management prosperity index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index; The "current manager climate index" consists of six secondary indexes: total business index, logistics delivery index, passenger flow index, opening rate index, rent index and e-commerce sales index.

The "merchant index" is composed of four first-class indexes: the current business climate index, the next business climate index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index; "the current business climate index" consists of six secondary indexes: Sales Index, average selling price index, profit index, comprehensive cost index, inventory index and e-commerce sales index.

5. Exponential analysis

The positive index includes manager's total business index, logistics delivery index, passenger flow index, merchant opening rate index, rent index, e-commerce sales volume proportion index, merchant sales volume index, average selling price index, profit index and e-commerce sales proportion index. If the positive index exceeds 50, it indicates that the business situation is optimistic, and the larger the value, the more optimistic it is; if the positive index is lower than 50, it means that the business situation is not optimistic; if the value is smaller, the more pessimistic.

The reverse index includes merchant cost index and inventory index. The lower the value of 50, the lower the cost pressure, the lower the cost pressure. When the inventory pressure is lower than 50, the smaller the inventory pressure is, the lower the inventory pressure is.