Attention: The Weaving Market Is Under Pressure And The Mood Is Warming Up
At present, the overseas epidemic situation continues, and the world economic and trade situation is complex and severe. China's achievements in overall epidemic prevention and control and economic and social development have been continuously expanded and consolidated. The quality and efficiency of economic development have been steadily improved, the endogenous driving force has been gradually enhanced, the people's livelihood has been continuously improved, and the economic operation has shown a sustained and stable recovery trend. In order to timely track the operation of cotton textile enterprises and understand the changes in the cotton textile market, recently, China Cotton Textile Industry Association conducted a large-scale survey on the major cotton textile related markets in China for the 22nd time. The following are the reflections of local markets, cotton textiles and related enterprises:
Raw material Market
Xinjiang cotton: Since the reserved cotton rotation was only limited to textile cotton enterprises, cotton prices fell in response, but the overall decline was not large. At present, Xinjiang 3128 machine picked cotton picking price was 18000 yuan / ton, still higher than the beginning of the month. New cotton is about to go on the market, the rush to collect mood is strong, the textile enterprise purchase change is not big. Consumption in Europe and the United States is recovering, some overseas orders are ahead of schedule, and the domestic market is recovering steadily. In the short term, the supply side of cotton rush harvest, to cotton prices strong support, and ultimately to see the downstream transmission.
Jiangxi viscose: Recently, viscose staple fiber market is under certain pressure, and cotton textile enterprises are willing to purchase generally. Affected by the repeated epidemic situation, it is more cautious to replenish the warehouse, and the downstream market has cooled down. At present, the price of viscose staple fiber is mostly 13000-13300 yuan / ton. Manufacturers are looking forward to the "golden nine silver ten" market, but whether it can be realized still depends on the terminal demand.
Jiangsu polyester staple fiber: Affected by the decline of crude oil price, the price of polyester staple fiber continues to be low, and the current price fluctuates between 6900-7000 yuan / ton. The production load of the enterprise is still at a low level, about 85%, and there is a certain stock of staple fiber. Market wait-and-see mentality is strong, production and sales are weak, downstream just need to purchase.
Yarn Market
Jiangsu vortex spinning yarn: The production of the enterprise is normal. With the decline of raw material prices, vortex spinning yarn sales weakened, prices fell, downstream take a wait-and-see attitude, procurement cautious. The price of raw materials fluctuates greatly, and enterprises are not optimistic about the market for a period of time in the future.
Shandong cluster cotton low count yarn: The overall situation of enterprise operation is stable. Recently, the cotton price has been stronger, and the cotton price of textile enterprises is about 19000 yuan / ton, which is at a historical high. Affected by the rise in cotton prices, cotton inventory in textile enterprises is polarized. The price transmission of cotton yarn is sluggish. The price of c40s combed cotton yarn reaches 29500 yuan / ton, and the recognition of cotton yarn price rise by downstream customers is not high, the market transaction is relatively cold, and the profit space of textile enterprises is further compressed. The order situation is general, downstream customers are not willing to pursue rising, the startup rate is maintained at a high level, and the inventory is generally low. Some enterprises forecast that the future cotton, cotton yarn will maintain a high level.
Jiangsu high count yarn: At this stage, the market performance is fair, the production and sales are relatively stable, and the product inventory is low. With the coming of the traditional peak season, we expect the future price of raw materials to stabilize and ensure the relative stability of profits. Domestic consumption is gradually getting better. Considering that the price of raw materials fluctuates greatly in the near future, we will keep a wait-and-see view on the future market.
Shandong differential yarn: At present, the enterprise is running well and operating at full capacity. Most orders are scheduled to the middle of September, and a few long orders are to the end of October. The price of differentiated yarn products has been reduced compared with the previous one. Due to the small amount of cotton used, enterprises mainly purchase small single and rigid demand. In order to reduce the uncertainty of cotton price fluctuation, the cotton blended products of enterprises have decreased. After the price rise of yarn in the early stage, the acceptance of downstream mills is low, and they are cautious about the future market.
Peixian viscose yarn: In recent years, the viscose yarn market has been slow in purchasing and selling, the price is weak, and all kinds of products have decreased slightly. At present, the inventory pressure of enterprises is not big, which is about 20 days. Therefore, the price reduction range is limited. The price of r30s is in the range of 17700-18600 yuan / ton, and the enterprise's starting rate remains at the previous level. In the downstream weaving Market, the delivery is slow, the new orders are less, the production and marketing pressure is increased, and the inventory is increased. The market is worried about the future market. If the price of viscose raw materials falls in the later period, the yarn price is expected to decline accordingly.
Henan pure cotton yarn: The transaction of pure cotton yarn Market slowed down, the downstream wait-and-see mood was heavy, the purchase was cautious, the price fell, the difficulty of enterprises to receive orders increased, and the equipment opening rate was about 60% to 80%. At present, the inventory of textile enterprises is still at a low level. Enterprises have some confidence in the third quarter, but due to the current high inventory of traders, the price of pure cotton yarn may be reduced in the long run.
Jiangsu color spinning yarn: Recently, the color spinning market has been running well. The enterprises are producing at 100% full capacity. The supply is still tight. The enthusiasm of customers to inquire for orders is still high. The orders have been arranged for two months. The market is expected to last at least two months. Affected by foreign epidemic situation, futures market and macro policy, there are many uncertain factors in the market, and enterprises are cautious and optimistic about the future market.
Fujian non cotton yarn: Recently, the prices of raw materials and yarns are relatively stable. This week, the prices of raw materials are slightly lower, the prices of viscose yarn are more stable, and the prices of polyester yarn are lower. For the coming traditional market peak season, enterprises believe that it will continue the good situation since this year, which will be significantly improved compared with last year, and the market confidence is relatively abundant.
Xinjiang pure cotton yarn: At present, the operation of the factory is good, the product inventory is small, and the gross profit margin is good, but it is lower than before. The sales of pure cotton varieties maintained a good momentum, and the sales price was high. The sales form of vortex spinning viscose varieties was poor, the price was low, and the market demand was weak. At present, the factory basically does not receive long orders, and the prices follow the market. The acceptance of yarn price by downstream customers decreased, and the cotton inventory of the factory was at a reasonable level, and just needed to purchase. Enterprises believe that it is difficult to predict the future market, and the key to the market trend is to see the purchase price of new cotton.
Guangdong cotton yarn: Raw material price conduction is not smooth, downstream weaving does not accept yarn price rise, and August is the traditional off-season of the industry, recent production and sales are weak. For the future market, enterprises hold a wait-and-see attitude.
Fabric Market
Jiangsu grey fabric: At present, the operating rate is about 95%, and some enterprises' dobby models have been empty one after another. The price of raw materials continued to rise in the early stage, but dropped slightly in the near future. At present, the on-board orders are about 10 days, and the follow-up orders are obviously insufficient. Affected by the epidemic situation, the original order meeting of each brand company has been postponed, and they dare not place an order in advance. Other non brand customers are in the wait-and-see stage and pay attention to the trend of yarn price. Due to the extrusion of both ends of the yarn mill and the back customers, the labor cost of the weaving factory continues to decline, the finished product inventory continues to rise, and the market situation of terminal customers is generally weak. It is expected that orders in September are still not optimistic.
Guangdong denim: Recently, the price of denim yarn has remained high, and the price of pure cotton oe10s is about 15500 yuan / ton. The price transmission is still limited. The price of single shipment is still high and the sales profit is low. At present, the operating rate of enterprises is more than 90%, and the orders are slightly improved. With the cotton price callback, the cotton yarn price dropped slightly, the quotation between the enterprise and the customer is very cautious, the enterprise strengthens the research and development, and makes full preparation for the "golden nine silver ten". At present, shipping capacity is still tight, resulting in high shipping costs in a short period of time, and export orders will remain low profit.
Lanxi grey cloth: The raw material price is still at a high level, the weaving cost is increasing, the cotton yarn price is rising, and the fabric is difficult to rise due to the low willingness of downstream customers to accept the fabric price, resulting in the grey fabric price hanging upside down, the finished product delivery is significantly reduced, and the inventory is high. Some enterprises take measures to limit production. With the weakening of the impact of the epidemic, the traditional peak season of "golden nine silver ten" can still be expected, but it may be lower than the expectation in previous years, so it is more difficult for enterprises to make profits.
Jiangsu colored fabric: The market as a whole is stable, the enterprises are basically normal, the downstream demand is weak, and the new orders are insufficient. In recent half a month, the upstream yarn price is high, the enterprise purchase intention is not strong, the order is more cautious. Due to the difficulty of fabric price rising, the enterprise profit is reduced. With the "golden nine silver ten" approaching, enterprises expect that the market will improve in September.
Hubei cotton: At present, in order to ensure the low speed of production, near the peak season, but orders have not been significantly improved, product inventory began to accumulate. In order to ensure the parity of shipment, profit is squeezed by cost and market. At present, the epidemic situation in foreign countries is still grim. Although the consumer market has improved, there is still room for improvement in the total amount. It is hoped that the "golden nine silver ten" will come as scheduled and enterprises can breathe.
(source: China Cotton Association)
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