Circulation Branch Of China Textile Confederation: The Prosperity Index Of Textile And Clothing Professional Market Declined In March

The prosperity monitoring results of China Textile Federation Circulation Branch show that in March 2023, the prosperity index of managers of the national textile and clothing professional market will be 50.00, 3.33 percentage points lower than 53.33 in January and February; The business climate index of professional market was 50.68, down 1.77 percentage points from 52.45 in January and February.

　　 1、 Prosperity of managers and decline of merchants

　　 1. Managers' prosperity index dropped by 3.33 percentage points

Data shows that in March, the prosperity index of managers and merchants in the national textile and clothing professional market declined.

Chart 1 List of Managers Index

From the perspective of managers' prosperity index, in the total index, the managers' prosperity index in March was 50.00, 3.33 percentage points lower than 53.33 in January and February; The business environment index was 50.32, down 4.68 percentage points from 55.00 in January and February.

Among the sub indexes, the total business volume index was 49.35, down 4.31 percentage points from 53.67 in January and February; The logistics shipment index was 50.32, down 3.68 percentage points from 54.00 in January and February; The passenger flow index was 50.32, 4.68 percentage points lower than 55.00 in January and February; The door opening rate index was 50.00, down 4.00 percentage points from 54.00 in January and February; The rental index was 50.00, down 1.67 percentage points from 51.67 in January and February; The e-commerce sales index was 50.00, down 1.67 percentage points from 51.67 in January and February.

　　 2. Business climate index dropped by 1.77%

Table 2 List of Merchant Indexes

From the perspective of business climate index, in the overall index, the business climate index in March was 50.68, down 1.77 percentage points from 52.45 in January and February; The business environment index was 53.42, down 0.29 percentage points from 53.71 in January and February.

Among the sub indexes, the sales volume index was 51.37, down 3.27 percentage points from 54.64 in January and February; The average price index was 51.37, 2.49 percentage points lower than 53.86 in January and February; The profit index was 51.37, 3.34 percentage points lower than 54.71 in January and February; The comprehensive cost index was 49.25, down 1.54 percentage points from 50.79 in January and February; The inventory index was 50.89, down 0.32 percentage points from 51.21 in January and February; The e-commerce sales index was 49.86, up 0.36 percentage points from 49.50 in January and February.

　　 2、 Data analysis

　　 1. Total market operation and logistics delivery index were basically flat

In March, 93.55% of the total business volume of the selected market was equal, and 90.32% of the logistics shipment volume of the selected market was equal. In March, the proportion of the total business volume of the selected market and the logistics shipment volume were both equal to more than 90%. It can be seen that the business situation of the professional market was basically equal to that of January and February.

　　 2. The total sales volume and profitability index of merchants were basically flat

In March, the proportion of total sales of selected merchants was equal to 78.08%, and the proportion of profit of selected merchants was equal to 78.08%. The proportion of total sales and total profits of selected merchants in March was equal to more than 75%, which shows that the business situation of merchants was basically equal to that of January and February.

　　 3、 Prediction index

The data shows that, for managers, the boom index of managers in the next period is 50.00, down 4.00 percentage points from 54.00 in January and February; The business environment index for the next period was 50.32, down 3.68 percentage points from 54.00 in January and February. In terms of merchants, the business climate index of the next period is 53.84, down 1.16 percentage points from 55.00 in January and February; The next business environment index was 53.97, down 1.10 percentage points from 55.07 in January and February.

　　 Attachment:

　　 1. Monitoring methods

"Prosperity index of textile and clothing professional market" consists of "manager index" and "merchant index". Using the sampling method, select markets and merchants of different business categories such as clothing, fabrics, home textiles and small commodities nationwide, and fill in the managers' prosperity index questionnaire and merchants' prosperity index questionnaire respectively.

　　 2. Monitoring samples

The managers' prosperity sample consists of 31 professional textile and clothing markets, including Guangzhou Baima Clothing Market, Shandong Jimo Clothing Market, Jiangsu Dieshiqiao Home Textile Market, Shanghai Xinqipu Clothing Market, and Liaoning Xiliu Clothing Market. The business prosperity sample consists of 147 businesses such as Taotao Clothing, Suntory Textile, Weibang Home Textile, and Vitoli Cashmere.

　　 3. Monitoring period

The boom monitoring cycle shall be monthly, submitted at the end of each month, and released at the beginning of the next month.

　　 4. Index composition

In the "Prosperity Index of Textile and Garment Professional Market", the "manager index" consists of four first level indexes, namely, the current manager prosperity index, the next manager prosperity index, the current business environment index, and the next business environment index; The "current manager prosperity index" consists of six secondary indexes, namely, total business volume index, logistics delivery volume index, passenger flow index, door opening rate index, rent index and e-commerce sales index.

The "merchant index" consists of four primary indexes, namely, the merchant prosperity index of the current period, the merchant prosperity index of the next period, the business environment index of the current period, and the business environment index of the next period; The "merchant boom index of the current period" consists of six secondary indexes, namely sales index, average selling price index, profitability index, comprehensive cost index, inventory index and e-commerce sales index.

　　 5. Exponential analysis

The positive index includes managers' total business volume index, logistics delivery volume index, passenger flow index, merchant opening rate index, rent index, e-commerce sales proportion index and merchant sales index, average selling price index, profitability index, e-commerce sales proportion index. If the positive index exceeds 50, it indicates that the business situation is optimistic, and the greater the value, the more optimistic it will be; The positive index is lower than 50, indicating that the business situation is not optimistic; The smaller the number, the more pessimistic.

The reverse index includes merchant cost index and inventory index. When the cost index exceeds 50, it indicates that the merchant's cost pressure decreases. The larger the value, the smaller the cost pressure; The cost index is lower than 50, indicating that the merchant's cost pressure increases. The smaller the value, the greater the cost pressure. When the inventory index exceeds 50, it indicates that the merchant's inventory pressure decreases. The larger the value, the smaller the inventory pressure; The inventory index is lower than 50, indicating that the merchant's inventory pressure increases. The smaller the value, the greater the inventory pressure.

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