China'S Short Term Export Trade Credit Risk Index Was Released For The First Time.
Recently, China Export and Credit Insurance Corp issued the first China short term export trade credit risk index (ERI) for the first time, aimed at exporting enterprises,
Finance
The institutions provide guidance for judging the credit risks and trends of foreign trade, so as to better serve small and medium enterprises and small and micro export enterprises.
The meeting pointed out that in the first quarter of 2012, China's short term export trade credit risk was basically stable and slightly rising.
In terms of the ERI index of major industries and the prediction of its trend in the first quarter of 2012,
Textile and clothing
The industry is classified as a credit level a, but there will be a downward trend in the future.
ERI index is an index scoring method to reflect the trend of credit risk in major trading countries (regions) and key export industries of China's short term export trade. It is the first attempt and a major breakthrough in China's first study of credit risk in the form of indexation by major trading countries and key export industries. It is also the first time that the international export credit agency (ECA) has made short term relations between countries.
Exit
The specific practice of quantitative research on credit risk of trade is another landmark achievement of China's credit insurance, which is followed by the "national risk analysis report" and another kind of high technology and high added value overseas credit risk management.
This release includes China's short term export trade credit risk composite index, major country (area) ERI index and key industry ERI index, and analyzes the trend of ERI index in the first quarter of 2012.
The China credit insurance ERI index adopts the index scoring method. It reflects the overall credit risk of overseas importers (buyers) and its changing trend from two angles: the main trade country (region) and the key export industry of China's short term export trade.
According to the results of quantitative analysis, the credit risk level is divided into five credit grades: A, B, C, D and E, and the credit level decreases in turn.
Based on the factors affecting the short-term export trade credit risk, the China credit insurance ERI index, based on the relevant business data accumulated in the long term accumulation of China's trust insurance, and based on the credit information of various dimensions, such as country (region), industry and trading body, has basically realized the horizontal and vertical comparison in the index system, which can not only compare the relative position of credit risk in short term export trade of various countries and industries, but also examine the short term export of each country and industry.
Trade
The historical process of credit risk has a certain early warning effect.
China's credit insurance company has completed the calculation of the ERI index of 26 main countries (regions) and 10 key industries in China, which basically reflects the overall credit risk situation and trend of these 26 countries (regions) and 10 key industries importers (buyers).
The ERI index is focused on the ERI composite index for the four quarter of 2011, the ERI index of 10 major countries (regions), the 6 key industries ERI index, and the 7 key countries (regions) industry ERI index, etc., and the trend of the first quarter of 2012 is analyzed and forecasted.
(ERI index and credit level of the 26 main countries in the fourth quarter of 2011 are shown in table 0-2).
In the first quarter of this year, China's short term export trade credit risk was in a stable and slightly rising trend. It is expected that in 26 countries (regions) ERI index, 11 will tend to be stable, 12 will tend to decline, 3 will tend to rise, 5 of the 10 industry ERI indices will be stable, 4 will tend to decline, and 1 will tend to rise.
The analysis is based on the judgment of the adverse effects of the downside risks to the global and national macroeconomic environment and industry development environment on the credit situation of the importers in the country (region) and the industry (overseas buyers) in 2012 and at present.
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