The Economic Crisis Will Not Reverse The Direction Of China'S Economic Development.
Basic judgement: China is still in an important period of strategic opportunities for development. Next year, there will be no big problems. Material base: the annual revenue reaches six trillion yuan, and has the largest foreign exchange reserves in the world.
"China's economy is likely to show a relatively low growth rate in the first quarter of the year, and then gradually climb the slope. After the downturn, the economy will generally become stable." At the annual meeting of Finance and economics held in December 12th, "2009: prediction and strategy", Liu Heru, deputy director of the office of the central financial and economic leading group, said.
Liu He believes that the economic crisis will not change the trend of globalization, nor will it reverse the direction of China's economic development. China is still in an important period of strategic opportunities for development. Due to uncertainties, it is difficult to predict the actual growth rate next year, but the Chinese economy should not and can not have big problems.
Beijing special telegram (reporter Di Jianrong) in Beijing December 12th carried out the spirit of the central economic work conference, and the national development and reform conference was opened today. At the meeting, Zhang Ping, director of the national development and Reform Commission, analyzed the economic situation at home and abroad, and pointed out that although we are facing a very serious and complicated situation, we should also see that the current period is still in an important period of strategic opportunity, and that maintaining stable and fast economic growth has many favorable conditions and positive factors.
Four ways to expand consumption
At the meeting, Zhang Ping proposed that we should expand domestic demand and promote stable and rapid economic growth from two aspects, namely, expanding investment scale and expanding consumption under the premise of optimizing the structure. We should expand consumption from four aspects, especially the consumption of residents: first, increase the income of residents and improve the ability to consume. Two, foster consumption hotspots and expand consumption space. More efforts should be made to promote rural consumption, stabilize housing consumption and develop service consumption. We should strengthen the construction of the rural circulation system and after-sale service system, and promote the extension of chain operations to the countryside. We should further improve the real estate regulation and control policies, improve the housing supply structure, increase the support for residents to purchase ordinary commercial housing, and standardize the development of the secondary housing market and the housing rental market. Guide and promote the rational consumption of automobiles. We should actively develop new consumption such as network, animation and so on, and develop diversified cultural products that people love to see. Three, consummate the consumption policy and optimize the consumption environment. Four, improve residents' consumption expectation and enhance consumption intention. Reduce residents' worries about expanding consumption and increase consumption at sight.
Five conditions to ensure growth
Zhang Ping pointed out that the first is the strong material foundation. After 30 years of reform and opening up, China's comprehensive national strength is no longer what it used to be. According to comparable prices, the current GDP is 15-16 times that of 1978, with a revenue of about 6 trillion yuan a year, and has the largest foreign exchange reserves in the world, laying a solid material foundation for coping with all kinds of risks and challenges. Two, there is great potential for domestic demand. The accelerated development of industrialization and urbanization, the continuous upgrading of the consumption structure of the residents, and the continuous improvement of people's living standard have a broad space for expanding domestic demand. The three is dynamic energy. On the one hand, the reform of the socialist market economy has been deepened, the basic role of the market has been brought into play, the ability of enterprises to improve market changes has been enhanced, and the internal driving force and vitality of economic and social development have been enhanced. On the other hand, the macro-control system has been constantly improving, and the ability and level of regulation and control have continued to improve in practice. Four, the comparative advantage is obvious. China has abundant human resources, high quality of labor force, accelerated technological progress, and constantly enhanced competitiveness of industries and products. It has comprehensive advantages of participating in economic globalization in an all-round, multi-level and wide range. Five, there are still opportunities in the international environment.
Six measures to adjust the structure
Zhang Ping said that six measures should be taken to promote structural adjustment and enterprise upgrading:
To revitalize the plan, enhance the capability of independent innovation, implement the central government's policies to promote independent innovation, speed up the construction of a number of innovative and innovative enterprises, accelerate the development of high-tech industries and equipment manufacturing industries: concentrate on promoting the construction of major high-tech industries such as flat screen TV, the next generation Internet, TD-SCDMA, new regional aircraft and other major high-tech industries; promote the reform and development of service industries; vigorously promote organizational restructuring of enterprises; encourage leading enterprises and dominant enterprises to annex and reorganize backward enterprises and difficult enterprises, make full use of effective assets, stabilize production and employment, and continue to promote coordinated regional Development: organize and formulate policies and measures to further promote the development of the western region, start a number of new key infrastructure projects in the western development, and speed up the construction of grain and agriculture and animal husbandry production bases in Northeast China. Vigorously support the development of key industries: grasp and compile and organize the 9 pillar industries of iron and steel, automobile, shipbuilding, petrochemical, light industry, textile, nonferrous metals, equipment manufacturing and electronic information.
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