08 Cotton Yield Has 2/3 Probability Between 13 Million 100 Thousand And 14 Million 300 Thousand.

Among them, the yield of upland cotton is expected to be close to 13 million 300 thousand packs - 127 thousand less than that reported in September - and the output of Super Long Cotton (ELS) is expected to be 451 thousand packs - down by 8000 packets.

In addition, the difference between the October forecast and the final output showed that the probability of 2/3 in the US cotton market in 2008 was between 1310 and 14 million 300 thousand.

Compared with last month's forecast, three cotton production in four cotton regions is expected to decline in the October report.

Losses from hurricanes will offset production growth in Missouri and Tennessee.

Secondly, the cotton production area expected to reduce production in October is also in the southwest and western regions.

On the contrary, cotton production in the southeastern region increased by nearly 3 million 200 thousand packs, an increase of 2% over the September forecast.

Despite the forecast increase in October, the region's output was the lowest in 15 years.

The planting area is also the lowest since 1993.

However, the yield of cotton in the southeastern cotton region reached 788 pounds per mu, which is the third record in history.

Based on this, the single cotton production in the United States in 2008 was only 849 pounds / acre, 30 pounds less than the previous year, but it is still the third highest yield record in history.

As of October 5th, the harvest rate of cotton harvested in the United States was only 16%, lower than the 26% and 5 annual average of 24% in the same period in 2007.

Most of the states in the United States have delayed their harvest, especially in Mississippi and Arkansas.

The overall situation in early October was similar to that of last year, and 50% reached "good" or "excellent", but 20% were "poor" or "poor".