Matters Needing Attention In The New Export Tax Rebate Policy
This unprecedented strength. Export tax rebate After the promulgation of the new deal, the export tax rebate system should be stable enough time, and it should not be reduced in one or two years.
In view of the fact that China's trade surplus has exceeded 100 billion US dollars for two consecutive years, this year's trade surplus is likely to reach a new peak of US $250 billion. In view of the increasingly severe problems of excess liquidity, asset market bubbles and inflationary pressures brought by China's huge trade surplus, reducing the double surplus of the balance of payments is the highlight of China's macroeconomic adjustment. Fiscal and taxation policies have always been effective policy tools. The new export tax rebate policy is not very surprising.
At the same time, in view of the long-term high export tax rebate to feed a large number of enterprises lying on the export tax rebate, it also provides a large number of export enterprises with the cost of an orderly price war. In order to improve export efficiency, it is also necessary to adjust the export tax rebate policy.
For all that, Export tax rebate The new deal is not likely to solve all problems, and we should also guard against possible problems after implementation, so as to ensure that we achieve the desired effect.
First of all, China's trade surplus and Trade deficit between the US and Europe It is not a unilateral problem of China, but a combination of China and the United States and Europe.
In view of this, adjustment of China's macroeconomic imbalances and global imbalances can not rely solely on China's adjustment. Developed countries, especially the United States, need to adjust. According to the principle of benefiting and fairness, the adjustment efforts that the US and Europe need to make should be greater. Since the second half of 2006, China has launched a series of measures aimed at reducing export incentives, increasing imports and foreign investment incentives. Should the US and Europe take corresponding actions? How will the Chinese government urge the US and Europe to take concrete actions?
In particular, how to urge the United States to commit itself in the second Sino US Strategic Economic Dialogue statement? "The two sides also agreed to take major measures to reduce China's national savings rate and raise the US national savings rate"; "the two sides decided to give priority to the following aspects in the next 6 months: the United States will take measures to enhance long-term fiscal responsibility and adopt new measures to encourage private savings." I believe that Chinese nationals generally expect to see this issue.
其次,中國出口規模巨大,從業人員眾多。盡管過度依賴出口市場存在很大風險,轉向更加倚重國內市場的發展模式是大勢所趨,但這種調整需要時間。
如果調整力度過大且無相應提高出口效益措施跟進而導致出口下滑過多,那么企業效益和就業機會銳減等副作用將可能過強而對政策激起太大的反彈,甚至有可能導致政策調整回頭。無論是在外貿政策還是外資政策方面,這種教訓以前都已經發生過,不可掉以輕心。所以,我們一方面應堅決落實出口退稅政策調整,另一方面應該從提升產品結構、改善企業組織等方面加大投入,緩解出口退稅新政可能的副作用,并促進達到提高出口效益的預期目的,避免發生政策調整回頭。
第三,盡管目前需要大力削減貿易順差,但是我們必須時刻牢記,財富的生產能力永遠比財富本身更重要.
在經濟增長、充分就業、價格穩定、對外經濟平衡、不斷提升國內產業結構等主要目標中,抑制貿易順差和外匯儲備增長(即對外經濟平衡)是短期或中期目標,而提升國內產業結構乃是長期目標,我們不能為了中短期目標而犧牲長期目標。考慮到先進制造業產品具有較強的規模效應,出口市場對其發展具有重要意義,我們固然要大力削減“兩高一資”等低技術、低增值、高污染、高能耗商品出口,但仍應鼓勵自主創新先進制造業發展,鼓勵其占據國際市場。
第四,2004年以來,中國已經數次調整出口退稅政策.
從去年9月以來的貿易政策調整尤其密集,今年6月1日起要調整部分商品進出口暫定稅率,7月1日起實施出口退稅新政,從去年實施新出口退稅制度到此次出口退稅新政,歷時不過半年。即使目的正確,過于頻繁的政策調整也必然導致企業對政策環境的預期很不穩定,干擾其正常的生產和經營節奏。因此,此次力度空前的出口退稅新政發布之后,出口退稅制度應當穩定足夠的時間,一兩年內不應繼續削減了。
第五,旨在提高出口效益、推動外貿增長方式轉變的政策調整方向已經提出數年了,政策調整也已經發生了幾次。
在政策調整醞釀過程中,不少企業寧可進行活躍的政治游說力求保住某些不符合科學發展觀和和諧社會目標的政策,卻不愿意下功夫提升產業結構、開展自主研發。
The new export tax rebate policy has warned many enterprises that instead of putting their hopes on the person and force that lobbied and disposed of, it is better to conform to the trend of policy adjustment and place their hopes on their own positive adjustment measures. Judging from the performance of the new export tax rebate policy and the performance of some enterprises and institutions after the new deal on trade in processing, they have not really learned this lesson, so repeating such an admonition is valuable.
Finally, there is another problem that can not be ignored: how should we save fiscal expenditure after a large reduction or cancellation of export tax rebates?
In order to consolidate the international competitiveness of China's industries and to consolidate the foundation for sustained and stable development of China's foreign trade and economy and the whole national economy, it is appropriate to increase import and export tax revenue and expenditure to enhance the "physique" of foreign trade and economic cooperation. Specifically, the following areas can be put into practice: first, we must invest in the development of independent innovation and advanced manufacturing industries, especially strategic industries such as technology equipment, large aircraft and chips. For this reason, we can support the development of advanced manufacturing industry by means of state investment, government procurement and technology education investment, and continue to encourage independent innovation and advanced manufacturing industry to expand exports and encourage them to occupy the international market, including maintaining or even moderately raising the export tax rebate rate for such commodities.
Secondly, it is the cost to pfer the export industry to the less developed areas and to promote the balanced development of the region. The pfer of export industry to the less developed areas of China needs to increase investment in infrastructure and other fields. In addition, the gap in China's regional development has reached an unprecedented level since the "15" period, and the adjustment of trade policies such as export tax rebate adjustment is intended to improve the structure of export commodities, but it may cause greater impact than the eastern part by restricting the dominant export industries (primary industries) in the central and western regions.
We need to consider optimizing the existing fiscal and taxation system, raising the resource tax, allowing the region to get a larger share of the proceeds from resource development for environmental protection and recovery, as well as improving the corporate income tax and value-added tax system, and encouraging the Midwest to be more willing to export the resources in the eastern part of the country after processing, rather than directly exporting in the form of primary products, and share the benefits of a reasonable share. However, in the process of adjustment, the resources tax shared by the central government will be reduced. We can make use of the tax increase and expenditure of foreign trade and economic cooperation to make up for the adjustment smoothly.
Editor: vivi
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