The Price Of Cocoon And Silk Is Soaring: No One Will Be The Winner.

From the beginning of 2009, the price of cocoon and raw silk began to increase little by little.

However, after entering 2010, the prices of cocoons and raw silk also rose with the growth of mung bean and garlic.

Take cocoons as an example, looking back in 2008, cocoons per month in May were only more than 10 yuan per kilogram.

In May, the price of cocoons has reached 30 yuan a kilogram.

It is understood that cocoons and raw silk have reached the highest price in recent years.

It's even more striking.

Cocoon production is reduced: not just because of drought.

It goes without saying that the price of a product suddenly rises two times in a short period of time.

First, the problem of product production leads to a decline in production, and the contradiction between supply and demand is outstanding.

Two, illegal traders hoarding goods are strange, driving up prices and profiteering.

This year coincided with a rare drought disaster in several provinces in southern China, and all kinds of crops, including cocoons, were greatly affected.

The output of cocoon is obviously lower than that of previous years, which has caused the rise of cocoon price to a certain extent.

Taking Guangxi as an example, the cocoon production in 2009, which is known as "the hometown of sericulture in China", has exceeded 30% of the total output of the country.

However, by the first quarter of 2010, due to the impact of persistent drought.

Resulting in excessive evaporation of soil surface water in mulberry fields, resulting in slow growth of mulberry leaves and reduced yield of mulberry leaves.

At the same time, mulberry seedlings just planted in dry land showed different degrees of death and lack of seedlings.

What makes people headache is that because the mulberry trees can not be absorbed after no water is fertilized, most of the mulberry fields in the whole region are unable to fertilize, which will bring hidden danger to the silkworm production in the future.

It is estimated that the output of mulberry leaves will drop by more than 30%, and the estimated output of silkworm cocoons in the spring will also be reduced by about 15%.

The decline of Cocoon Output and the hard demand of the market are the main factors to increase cocoon price.

Affected by drought

Lack of labor force in rural areas is one of the fundamental problems in sericulture production.

Nowadays, most young rural labor force goes to work in cities and towns.

As we all know, planting mulberry and raising silkworms is a mainly manual business, and the labor intensity is quite large.

Obviously, it is impossible to meet the needs of the market simply by relying on the rest of the elderly who are left behind.

At the same time, the shortage of young and middle-aged labor force in rural areas has directly increased labor costs.

It is understood that at present, Sichuan, Chongqing and other parts of the rural part of a young labor force work day price in 80 - 100 yuan.

The increase in labor costs has indirectly increased the cost of agricultural products including cocoons.

What is even more worrying is that young people in rural areas are generally not aware of farm work.

Most of them live together while studying, and become "migrant workers" directly after their age.

The shortage of rural labor force is objective.

Recently, the major media have been talking about the second generation of migrant workers. I wonder if they have considered two generations of migrant workers. Where are the two generation of farmers? When some experts and scholars are just beginning to think about who will cultivate land in the future, "who will raise silkworms in the future" has been placed in front of the cocoon and silk industry, and has begun to affect the development of the whole industry.

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Of course, the problem still needs to be divided into two parts.

In fact, since the outbreak of the financial crisis in 2008, more and more young migrant workers are returning home.

However, from television, newspapers and other related media reports.

Those who raised loach, fed goats, and tinkled with foxes, had never seen any silkworms reported.

On this issue, the reporter once talked with a director of CCTV agricultural channel.

She just said lightly, "have you ever heard of anyone who raised silkworms and made a fortune?"

Why can't we raise silkworms to make a fortune? That's because the price of cocoons is high and low.

According to the generally accepted view in the silk industry, the cocoon industry has a so-called "three year rule".

That is to say, the price of cocoon silk has a crest or trough every three or five years.

However, this rule, which is said to be "tested repeatedly", has not been effective since 2005.

The cocoon price in 2005 was about 10 yuan per catty, and suddenly rose to 17 yuan and 8 yuan in 2006, and then dropped to 9 yuan in 2007.

This has dealt a severe blow to the production enthusiasm of the silkworm farmers who are not well qualified for the market.

Some of the sericulture farmers were exhausted, and finally they simply did not play with you.

To sum up, there are many reasons for the decline of Cocoon Output in China this year.

I remember Buffett once said a very famous saying, "only when the tide recede, you will know who has been swimming naked."

The continuous drought since 2009 is the direct cause of the tide's recession.

After cocoon prices rose linearly, we suddenly realized that everyone was swimming naked.

The price of cocoons as raw materials for the silk industry has skyrocketed.

The first thing to bear in mind is the large and small Silk Reeling Enterprises in China.

On the one hand, the price of cocoons is high, on the one hand is the tight cocoon, and the cost pressure from the downstream enterprises, which is like the pressure of the three mountains to make the silk reeling plant unable to start.

At present, China's main silk production enterprises are concentrated in coastal areas.

However, with the implementation of the "East Mulberry shift" project, Guangxi and Sichuan have become the main sericultural bases in China.

Due to the serious impact of drought in Guangxi, a large number of Reeling Enterprises rushed to Sichuan to buy cocoons.

However, because of the agreement of coastal reeling enterprises, silkworm farmers are generally in Guangxi.

Therefore, the acquisition of enterprises in Sichuan can only be a temporary cramming, showing their own magic, to a certain extent, increased procurement costs.

At the same time, due to geographical factors, the increase in long-distance pportation costs will undoubtedly add to the cost of cocoons.

It is understood that even a high price of cocoons to buy Silk Reeling Enterprises have varying degrees of emergence of a very strange phenomenon.

It is called "cocoon silk upside down" in the industry, which means that the price of cocoon production per ton of raw silk is higher than the market price of a ton of raw silk.

The main reason is that cocoon prices are rising too fast and too fast. Silk reeling enterprises have no buffering and reaction time.

At present, this kind of upside down is about 2 - 30 thousand yuan.

The price of raw silk rose with the price of cocoon, which brought troubles to downstream silk fabrics and garment enterprises.

As we all know, most of our silk fabrics are exported abroad.

And this soaring price has forced foreigners to take a temporary wait-and-see attitude.

In fact, 5, 6 and July were supposed to be the peak season for ordering silk fabrics.

And for the majority of domestic silk clothing consumers, now want to wear silk products will have to pay 20% to 30% more than before.

Since the beginning of May, the price of silk clothing has increased to varying degrees in the first and second tier cities in China.

Before buying a brand silk quilt counter, the salesperson said to the customer, "the price of cocoon is too high, and the silk is not allowed to rise. You do not buy it now, and the price will rise in the summer season."

So what about the broad masses of silkworm farmers? Honestly, the cocoon price is so high this year that the silkworm farmers really get tangible benefits.

Especially for the silkworm farmers affected by drought in the south, to a certain extent, it has made up for the losses caused by natural disasters.

However, in the long run, such a high priced cocoon is not necessarily a good thing for them.

As we all know, the majority of sericultural farmers are always following the trend of rising or falling.

Seeing that the price of spring cocoons is so "this year", it is necessary to mobilize their enthusiasm for raising silkworms.

It can be imagined that with the drought that has gradually subsided, increasing the quantity of livestock in the large silkworm area is a general trend.

But no one can predict the next cocoon price.

Whether or not the vast majority of silkworm farmers can get the "big money" in the future cocoon production is still unknown.

Behind the sharp rise and fall of cocoon prices is precisely the immaturity and imperfection of the market.

Therefore, the joint efforts of all links in the silk and cocoon industry to cultivate a harmonious and scientific cocoon market is a pressing matter of the moment.

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The ultimate strategy of cocoon industry: improving quality and scientific development

The price of cocoon and silk industry is soaring this year or the downturn in previous years.

In the final analysis, the instability of cocoon output is one of the factors that can not be ignored.

To solve this contradiction, under the objective conditions of the lack of labor force in rural areas and the instability of farmers' sericulture initiative.

One of the ways to solve the problem fundamentally is to train a large number of sericulture owners or sericulture companies.

Du Xuemao and his wife have been here for 5 years in a farmhouse on the back of Feng Ya mountain in Jialing District, Nanchong, Sichuan, known as China's silk capital.

At the end of 2004, the couple came to a hot pot restaurant in the urban area and came here to contract a barren hill, and began to live a life of planting mulberry and raising silkworms.

Every year during the sericulture season, people will be hired to carry out farming. When they are free, they can manage the mulberry garden with their own labor.

However, due to the limitation of hilly terrain in Northeast Sichuan, mulberry management and mulberry leaf picking are relatively difficult.

Over the past few years, the price of cocoons has been falling apart.

However, Du Xuemao also admitted that the overall situation is relatively good every year because of its scale.

When the cocoon price is high, it will earn more. When the cocoon price is low, it will earn less.

Du Xuemao's remarks are heartfelt, and the scale and scientific management of sericulture production is already the general trend.

Speaking of the quality of cocoons, the senior people in silk reeling industry probably will not forget.

In the early and mid 90s of last century, a ton of raw silk needed about 2.8 to 3 tons of dry cocoon.

Now, no 4 tons of dried cocoons do not want to produce a ton of raw silk.

At present, the low quality of silkworm cocoons due to the thin skin and large water content of cocoons has become a common disease in this industry.

Think about it, good quality.

Cocoon silk is a cultural treasure of the Chinese nation with thousands of years of history, and its silk culture has a long history.

However, there are many problems in China's cocoon and silk industry. Our cocoon silk system is not sound, and is affected by various aspects.

At the moment, the price of mung beans is known as "bean you play", and garlic prices are known as "garlic you are ruthless".

And our cocoon and raw silk prices continue to skyrocket, which is estimated to be called "silkworm dead you".