Zhang Xiaoqiang: Cotton Work Is Facing The Situation And Main Tasks In 2010

At the national cotton working teleconference, deputy director of the national development and Reform Commission

For the year 2010

(1) cotton production is expected to decrease over the previous year.

According to a recent survey by the Ministry of agriculture, it is estimated that cotton planting area will be around 74 million mu this year.

In the first half of this year, the low-temperature weather generally occurred in the main cotton producing areas, and cotton growth retarded, and the overall growth rate was worse than that of the whole year.

Recently, disastrous weather in some areas has a certain effect on cotton growth.

The new cotton market will be released in mid October, which is 10-20 days longer than usual.

If the climate is normal, the total output is expected to decrease slightly over the previous year.

(two) cotton demand continues to grow.

As the world economy is on the rise, it is expected that China's textile exports will continue to grow in the 2010, and domestic textile demand will be stronger. But the growth of textile production and exports may be slowed down by the increase in labor costs and appreciation of the renminbi.

Generally speaking, cotton demand will continue to grow in the new year, but the growth rate will slow down. The domestic cotton production and demand gap is slightly larger than that of the previous year.

(three) efforts should be made to balance the total supply and demand of cotton in China.

Although there is a big gap between domestic cotton production and demand, there is a certain pressure to ensure the supply of cotton. However, it is conditional to maintain the balance of domestic cotton supply and demand through effective utilization of international market resources and reserve regulation.

According to the latest forecast of the International Cotton Advisory Committee (ICAC), the major cotton producing countries such as the United States, India and Brazil increased substantially in 2010, and the world's cotton output was 25 million 110 thousand tons, an increase of 3 million 360 thousand tons over the previous year, 25 million 70 thousand tons of consumption, an increase of 470 thousand tons over the previous year, and 8 million 460 thousand tons of export resources, an increase of 750 thousand tons over the previous year.

The international cotton market was basically balanced in the current production and demand, and the supply and demand situation improved over the previous year. Through the proper increase of imports, domestic textile demand can be met. In recent years, China's cotton import sources have gradually been diversified, and the adjustment of individual countries' climate change or export policy has little effect on my overall cotton imports.

In addition, the national reserve also has a certain level of inventory, which can be put in time when the market needs.

On the other hand, we should also fully estimate the difficulties in maintaining the smooth operation of the domestic cotton market in the new year.

As the initial inventory decline in international cotton in the 2010 year was much lower (9 million 80 thousand tons, less than 2 million 810 thousand tons over the previous year), the supply and demand situation has improved slightly compared with the previous year, but it is still in a tight balance. There is still a period of time for domestic cotton to go on a large scale, and the future weather is uncertain. All these are likely to cause speculation and abnormal price fluctuations in the market.

In mid September, the cotton price in the international market increased by 30% compared with the end of July, and the cotton price in the domestic market increased by 12%, which is close to the historical high.

Affected by the cost of cotton planting (mainly labor costs), the expansion of production and demand gap, and the rise in prices of other agricultural products and other factors, the cotton price in the domestic market in the new year is more reasonable than that in the previous year. However, the excessive increase in cotton prices in the short term has a greater market risk.

First, the rise from the fundamentals of supply and demand is unsustainable.

At present, the fluctuation of market cotton price has a great relationship with speculation in the market.

Two is downstream digestion difficulties.

Textile raw materials and labor costs have risen sharply in L-8 months this year, while clothing prices have dropped compared with the same period last year.

Three, chemical fiber will replace part of cotton demand.

Excessive cotton prices will promote textile enterprises to use more chemical fiber raw materials, thereby reducing cotton demand and inhibiting cotton price rise.

In the 2003 year, a sharp fall in cotton prices has led to a healthy development of cotton and textile industry. Such lessons should be learned.

There are many unstable factors in the cotton market in 2010. The situation faced by cotton industry is complex and difficult.

The NDRC said that it should focus on ensuring the basic balance between supply and demand of cotton and promoting the steady development of cotton production, so as to protect the interests of cotton farmers, ensure the need and stability of cotton use.

(1) do a good job in ensuring market supply.

First, make good use of the cotton resources in the international market.

The relevant departments will study the cotton import volume plan in 2011 and issue the quotas in due time.

The relevant departments and trade associations in various localities should guide enterprises through various ways to improve the operation level of cotton international trade and grasp the timing of cotton imports.

Two is to do a good plan for the regulation of cotton reserves.

If there is a shortage of market resources and excessive increase in the price of cotton, the state will launch the reserve supply in time.

If a large number of new cotton markets are listed, some local areas (such as Xinjiang) will have a period of oversupply and a drop in cotton prices.

The three is to coordinate Xinjiang cotton pportation and marketing.

The construction of the southern Xinjiang Railway double line this year may bring some difficulties to Xinjiang's cotton dispatching.

The railway sector should plan ahead and rationally dispatch the output capacity of the cotton to meet the needs of sales and relocation.

The relevant departments of the Xinjiang Autonomous Region government should do well in the coordination and coordination of Xinjiang cotton pport organization.

The agricultural development bank should strengthen supervision and actively coordinate with the work of pferring cotton to Xinjiang loan enterprises.

Four, we should give full play to the role of large circulation backbone enterprises.

In the cotton producing area, the government should integrate some of the powerful large cotton enterprises into the control system in line with local realities, so as to give full play to the positive role of the backbone enterprises in regulating and stabilizing the market under the guidance of the state.

(two) do a good job in the purchase and sale of new cotton and the risk prevention and control work.

Farmers' expectations for new cotton purchase prices are higher this year.

In the cotton producing area, the government should step up publicity efforts to enhance the risk awareness of all parties involved in cotton production, guide cotton farmers to overcome the mentality of selling, sell and sell new cotton at the right time, guide cotton enterprises to determine purchase price reasonably, and quickly sell and sell quickly after purchase, so as to avoid blindly buying up and hoarding.

The agricultural development bank should further play the role of policy banks, formulate reasonable credit policies, continue to support the acquisition of cotton under the premise of effectively preventing credit risks, and strengthen capital supervision and supervision, and urge enterprises to speed up sales.

People's governments at all levels should conscientiously formulate plans for the supply of purchasing funds, and actively coordinate the relevant financial institutions to provide financial services for the acquisition of new cotton.

The cotton association and the cotton textile industry association should strengthen information service and operation guidance, and guide enterprises to improve their management level and enhance their ability to resist market risks.

The relevant departments should vigorously publicize the policy guidance and measures of the state to guarantee the supply of cotton and stabilize the market, issue timely cotton supply and demand information and price information, and stabilize market expectations.

Local authorities should pay close attention to the price dynamics of the cotton market, strengthen inspections on the market, and report to the local government timely reports of abnormal fluctuations in prices.

The departments concerned should strictly investigate and punish the acts of distributing price increases, malicious hoarding and driving up prices.

(three) strengthen the cotton market and quality supervision.

When the contradiction between production and demand is more prominent, the cotton market and quality supervision are more difficult.

The cotton processing Qualification Committee of the provincial development and Reform Commission, the industrial and commercial and quality supervision departments should continue to conscientiously implement the Interim Measures for cotton processing qualification and market management, strictly control the entry of market participants, control new production lines, and prevent the blind expansion of processing capacity.

The industry and commerce departments must resolutely ban illegal processing equipment such as small cotton gin and soil baling machines according to law, severely crack down on unlicensed business operations, and seriously investigate and punish hoarding speculation and disrupt the normal operation order of the market.

Cotton quality supervision institutions should strengthen supervision and inspection of cotton quality according to law, strengthen quality supervision and management of acquisition and processing links, and crack down on cotton adulteration and false quality offenses.

In the cotton producing area, the government should continue to implement the provisions and requirements of "the Interim Provisions to avoid mixing foreign fibers in the process of picking, selling and processing cotton". We must do a good job in excluding foreign fibers, strengthen inspection and supervision, effectively reduce the content of foreign fibers, and cultivate domestic cotton brands.

The relevant departments of the Xinjiang Autonomous Region government should cooperate with the railway departments in doing well in the prevention and control of cotton railway pportation.

The cotton association should play a coordinating role in coordinating market management and quality supervision with relevant departments.

(four) support the development of cotton production.

From the development trend, the contradiction between the growth of cotton demand and the shortage of domestic supply will exist for a long time. If the cotton supply is too dependent on the international market, it will not be conducive to the healthy development of cotton spinning industry.

Although cotton prices have risen more in recent years, they are still relatively low compared with grain prices, and it is difficult to stabilize cotton production because of the high cost and time consuming risks.

We must have a clear understanding and take effective measures to prevent cotton production from sliding. We must strive to improve cotton yield and quality on the basis of steadily expanding the cotton planting area in the dominant areas.

We should continue to improve cotton production conditions and increase support for the Yellow River River Basin, Yangtze River Basin and Xinjiang high quality cotton production base.

In the cotton producing areas, the agricultural sector should speed up the selection, demonstration and popularization of new cotton varieties and update the cotton varieties, expand the planting scale of high-quality cotton and improve the quality of cotton.

(five) promoting the pformation of the textile industry.

With the increase of raw materials, labor costs and textile production capacity, and the increasingly fierce international competition, it is urgent for me to change the development mode of the textile industry in the past.

Local government industrial departments and trade associations should guide textile enterprises to speed up structural adjustment and industrial upgrading, intensify efforts to eliminate backward production capacity, and effectively prevent large-scale blind expansion of general capacity.

We should speed up technological progress and reform steps, support the R & D of new technologies, new materials and new equipment in textile enterprises, improve the technological content of products, and increase the proportion of high value-added textiles.

The textile association should strengthen publicity, guide enterprises to increase the proportion of chemical fiber, reduce the production of low count yarn that consumes more cotton, encourage the diversified development and use of new fibers, and improve the efficiency of resource utilization.

Relevant departments, industry organizations and enterprises should make joint efforts to speed up the construction of their own brands, enhance the quality and competitiveness of China's textile and clothing, and gradually realize the pformation from big textile enterprises to strong domestic textile enterprises.