Scale, Collectivization And Differentiation Indicate The Development Direction Of Polyester Industrial Yarn
In recent years, China nonwovens And the industrial textiles industry is developing rapidly, which has also led to the upstream. Chemical fiber industry Especially the development of polyester industrial yarn industry. After the financial crisis in 2008, how to break the cocoon and rebirth of polyester industry in the post crisis era has become a hot topic of concern for many industries. Industry people I have heard a lot of insights in the exchange.
Four stages of development
Looking back at the development history of China's polyester industrial yarn, Gao Limin, chairman of Zhejiang Hai Lide new material Limited by Share Ltd, believes that it can be roughly divided into four stages: from 1984 to 1990 as the starting stage; from 1991 to 2000 as the development stage; 2001 to 2007 as the high speed expansion and adjustment stage; and from 2001 to the strategic development stage.
In 2002, the production capacity of domestic polyester industrial yarn was only 40 thousand ~5 tons. After the rapid expansion of capacity in 2005, the total production capacity of polyester industrial yarn exceeded 380 thousand tons by the end of that year. In 2007, China's polyester industry filament production enterprises exceeded 46, with a total capacity of 467 thousand and 800 tons, an increase of 12.2% over the 410 thousand and 600 tons in 2006. The top 10 enterprises in the industry have total capacity of 304 thousand and 600 tons, accounting for more than 65% of the total capacity, and the industry concentration is relatively high. By June 2010, the production capacity of China's polyester industrial yarn has reached 1 million 65 thousand and 100 tons, accounting for 50% of the total production capacity of the world's polyester industrial yarn. At present, the domestic production capacity of the proposed and built Dacron industrial yarn is 560 thousand tons, of which Jiangsu Hengli Group is 300 thousand tons, Zhejiang ancient fiber road is 100 thousand tons, Zhejiang Halliday and Zhejiang Yu Fu are 50 thousand tons, Wuxi Taiji is 60 thousand tons.
Talking about the development status and causes of Dacron industrial yarn, Gao Li Min believes that it is directly related to the huge demand driven downstream. He pointed out that the market of polyester industrial yarn has been recovering slowly, due to the impact of the world economic crisis, the increase of production capacity and the sharp decline in the profit margins of products.
Secondly, Gao Li Min pointed out that the demand for automotive fibers increased sharply with the development of Chinese automobiles. In 2009, China's automobile output reached 13 million 790 thousand, and the mainstream companies and new companies in China's polyester belt were planning to expand their production. It is estimated that annual capacity will increase by 30% in 2010~2011.
In addition, the demand for polyester tire cord fabric has also increased. The demand for 2009 is 114 thousand tons, the demand for 2010 is 138 thousand tons, and the demand for 2011 tire is 168 thousand and 300 tons. In the year, there will be a capacity of 20 thousand ~3 million tons, and next year there will be an increase of 20 thousand tons of capacity. In addition, Gao Li Min believes that there will be a large market demand for automotive airbag filaments. It is estimated that there will be 15 thousand tonnes of demand in 2011.
The "machine" industrial yarn industry faces challenges in "danger".
In 2008, a sudden financial storm swept the globe, which undoubtedly affected the dacron industry silk industry, which was an important outlet for export. Entering the 2009, the price of upstream raw materials of domestic polyester industrial yarn is also rising. The cost of polyester industrial yarn is rising in the short term. The raw material market will guide the market trend of polyester industrial yarn.
Gao Li Min said that with the gradual recovery of the global economy, the production and sales situation of Dacron industrial yarn has greatly improved. On the one hand, demand is still strong, and the automotive fiber market has become a highlight. Secondly, the application of polyester industrial yarn is gradually expanding. It is precisely because of its wide applicability and strong market demand that it has led the industry to move forward as a whole.
In addition, with the rapid development of China's automobile industry, the automotive industrial wire products have become the key consumption areas of the polyester industrial yarn industry. Among them, the demand for tire polyester cord fabric is gradually increasing. In order to meet the market demand, new capacity will increase in the next few years. In addition, the market space of automobile airbag silk and polyester car safety belt weaving is also very broad, and the relevant production enterprises are also ready to increase production capacity.
Gao Li especially emphasized the driving role of the development of the automobile industry to the polyester industrial yarn industry. In the first half of 2010, China's vehicle output was 8 million 927 thousand and 300, with a total expected annual volume of 15 million vehicles. China automotive market index Institute boldly predicted that China's automobile output could reach 17 million 50 thousand in 2010. In 2010, the demand for polyester radial tire for high modulus and low shrinkage polyester industrial yarn was 138 thousand tons.
Although China's economy has taken the lead in the first half of the year, it is still squeezed by the weakening of external demand and rapid increase in production capacity resulting in a sharp decline in product profit margins. The recovery rate of polyester industrial yarn is slower than expected. From the point of view of product structure, ordinary low-end industrial yarn products are almost sold on cost lines and are not profitable. The market capacity of high-end products, such as high modulus, low shrinkage wire, safety belt silk and airbag wire, has been expanding year by year. But because of the stricter safety standards, the entry threshold in this field is getting higher and higher. If we do not step up the upgrading of products, the market prospect will be equally worrying.
Scale, collectivization and differentiation are the direction of industry development.
For the future polyester polyester industry, especially the development of polyester industrial yarn industry, people in the industry have their own thoughts. As a leading enterprise in the chemical fiber industry, Hengli Group of Jiangsu entered the field of polyester filament production in October 2008 with a new technology and a high starting point. It invested heavily in the introduction of the latest production equipment of the world's most advanced Japanese TMT company and Germany's Bama company, and built an annual output of 200 thousand tons of differentiated polyester industrial filament project, making every effort to build the world's largest production base of polyester filament yarn. For the development of Dacron industrial yarn, Ding Jianzhong, deputy general manager of the company, thinks that it is an important trend to push enterprises to scale, collectivize and differentiate. He thinks that only scale can form agglomeration effect, can we enhance the market competitiveness and advance technological innovation with high starting point and high standard so that we can better build the product development and marketing mode of upstream and downstream integration, and then we have the basic structural adjustment. Collectivization is the inevitable outcome of large-scale development, which can promote the high concentration of industries and accelerate the expansion of industries.
Ding Jianzhong thinks that the difference between scale and collectivization is the eternal theme of polyester polyester industry. First of all, differentiation is the inevitable choice for the industry to compete fully. Polyester polyester industry is a highly competitive industry. Differentiation is the only way to avoid homogenization competition, and is also an inevitable choice. Differentiation also includes market differentiation and product differentiation. The former refers to the entry into non-traditional areas, while the latter refers to the development of new products. Secondly, differentiation can effectively enhance the technological progress of polyester polyester industry.
And further refining to the polyester industrial yarn industry, Gao Li people think that we must start from six aspects. First, we should extend the industrial chain and enhance the ability to resist risks. The two is to improve the application level of polyester industrial yarn and improve the production capacity of high-end products. The three is to avoid low cost expansion and increase the added value of products. Four is to establish a standardized management structure and improve management level. The five is to follow the national policies and develop differentiated products. This is also the need for market segmentation. The six is to standardize the development pattern and avoid blind investment.
In addition, Gao Li pointed out that along with the rapid expansion of the production capacity of domestic polyester industrial yarn, it is inevitable to enter the international market, and it is bound to encounter all kinds of trade protectionism. Therefore, in addition to actively responding, enterprises must also focus on adjusting product structure and vigorously developing high value-added products.
Gao Li Min said that although the manufacturers of polyester industrial yarn are still facing many challenges, the product structure of the industry is also going to be obviously adjusted. It is expected that some enterprises will be forced to withdraw from the market due to loss or single product and lack of competitiveness. However, the enterprises with high degree of differentiation will still have room for development. At this stage, enterprises need to carefully locate their products and make necessary preparations for the industry to enter the business cycle again.
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