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    In 2011, China'S Three Major &Nbsp Economies Are Still Facing Huge Inflationary Pressures.

    2011/1/3 9:02:00 64

    2011 China'S Macro-Economic Policy Inflation Expectations


    In November 26, 2010, a girl was eating one yuan of steamed bread in Foreigner's Street scenic spot, Chongqing.

    From 2008 to now, Chongqing's Foreigner's Street scenic spot has built a "one yuan economy".

    Lu Xiaoqing, the head of the scenic area, said that since the price of raw materials increased and the cost increased, one yuan of food began to lose money in October this year. However, they will continue to stick to it.


    In the last month of 2010, a series of macro-control policies were intensified.

    After a year of tackling the international financial crisis, maintaining steady and rapid economic development and accelerating the pformation of the mode of economic development,

    Macro policy

    The adjustment has laid the foreshadowing for the trend of China's economy in the new year.

    The new page has been opened and looked forward to.

    2011

    ,

    China's economy

    What is the biggest attraction?


    One point: managing inflation expectations and stabilizing prices more prominently


    Since 2010, the phenomenon of rising food prices has impressed the common people: from "garlic you ruthless", "beans you play" to "Ginger your army", and then from "sugar high", "oil you up" to "Ping what", new words emerge in endlessly.

    According to the data released by the National Bureau of statistics in December 2010, the domestic consumer price index broke the "fifth" in November that year, hitting a new high in the year.


    In fact, the rise in prices is only growing.

    inflation expectations

    A concrete manifestation.

    The loose monetary policy in the past two years has also pushed the recovery of the economy, and has also made the situation of excess liquidity increasingly severe.

    Many experts in China predict that in 2011, China will still face enormous inflationary pressure. In the process of curbing inflation and stabilizing prices, the goal of economic development and structural adjustment will become the main keynote of macroeconomic regulation and control.


    At the beginning of December 2010, the central economic work conference, which was held at the beginning of 2011, explicitly requested in the economic work of 2011. The basic orientation of macroeconomic policy this year should be vigorous, prudent and flexible. The key is to handle the relationship between maintaining stable and rapid economic development, adjusting the economic structure and managing inflation expectations, and putting the overall level of stable prices in a more prominent position.


    In November 2010, the State Council issued 16 measures to stabilize prices, implemented temporary price intervention and increased dumping and storage. In December, the development and Reform Commission and other departments issued a policy document on keeping market prices stable during the new year and Spring Festival.

    At the same time, the pace of steady return of monetary policy has begun to accelerate.


    Just a week before the new year, the central bank announced the second increase in interest rates in 2010.

    Not long ago, Hu Xiaolian, vice governor of the central bank, further pointed out in the article entitled "achievements in China's monetary policy regulation" during the "11th Five-Year" period that the gradual return of money supply to normal will be the primary task for 2011.

    The policy line to tighten liquidity and curb inflation is already evident.


    At the same time, with the reopening of RMB exchange rate reform in 2010, in the complex international economic situation, how to maintain the stability of the RMB exchange rate, prevent the influx of hot money and the import inflation caused by the international commodity price rise has also become the focus that needs to be paid more attention in 2011.


    "The central government fully recognizes the gravity of the current macroeconomic situation and is very pragmatic in policy thinking."

    Sun Lijian, vice president of the school of economics, Fudan University, said: "if we do not pay enough attention to the challenges faced by the macro-economy, the complex environment may inhibit the smooth progress of the 12th Five-Year planning proposals."


    Look at two: stabilize the real estate market and continue to regulate and control.


    The real estate market is undoubtedly the most important part of China's economy in 2010.

    Faced with the rapid rise of housing prices, since January 2010, the macro-control of the real estate market has been increasing.

    "11 countries", "10 states", and a number of ministries and commissions jointly issued measures to regulate real estate in September.

    The property market has become a stage for policy and capital struggles.


    At the end of the year, the real estate market under the pressure of regulation and control is suddenly rebounding. At the same time, a number of ministries and commissions have again issued high-profile regulatory and regulatory measures.

    First, the Ministry of housing and urban rural development announced 10 million new affordable housing projects in 2011.

    Then, in the last few days of 2010, the Ministry of land and resources disclosed 26 cases of idle land in the country, and stressed the need to "seriously investigate responsibility" for the development of residential idle land.


    In addition, the housing tax pilot reform that has attracted much attention has attracted more and more attention, and the policy is expected to be very strong.

    {page_break}


    "Judging from the current market situation, the pilot project of property tax is already in the firing line. At present, it is only a matter of no introduction. It is a general trend to formally launch in 2011."

    Yang Hongxu, Minister of the comprehensive Department of Shanghai Yi Ju Real Estate Research Institute, said in an interview with reporters that Chongqing and Shanghai, as the first pilot cities, have made clear that they have made corresponding policy preparations.


    Also in the last few days of the end of 2010, Jiang Weixin, Minister of housing and housing, made clear at the year-end working conference of the Ministry of housing that the main objective of real estate regulation in 2011 is to curb investment, speculative housing and curb excessive housing prices.

    In addition to the existing regulatory policies, the Ministry of housing will further intensify its efforts to crack down on the sale of secret disks and curb the entry of foreign hot money into the real estate market. Especially in some hot spots and hot cities, the "restriction order" for housing will be further strengthened.

    In addition, we will further refine the existing regulatory policies next year, and reserve control policies in conjunction with relevant departments.


    At the end of 2010, various ministries and commissions made statements and measures to convey the central government's strong determination to regulate and control real estate.

    Chen Guoqiang, director of the Real Estate Research Institute of Peking University, said that at present, the government's policy towards restraining investment, speculative demand and returning property to its living attribute has begun to evolve into a long-term trend.


    As China's real estate industry has become a gathering point of many economic contradictions, the real estate regulation in 2011 will definitely continue in the overall context of macroeconomic regulation and control.

    The resulting changes in the investment structure will have an important impact on the future Chinese economy.


    Three: change the mode of development, structural adjustment will speed up


    As the opening year of the "12th Five-Year plan", accelerating the strategic adjustment of economic structure and enhancing the coordination and competitiveness of economic development have become the main task of the economic work in 2011.


    Facing the strategic goal of changing the development mode and adjusting the economic structure, it is still the primary task of China's economy in the new year to continue to boost domestic demand.


    According to the deployment made by the central economic work conference last December, China will make new adjustments in the aspects of income distribution reform, livelihood security and income tax reform in 2011, so as to enhance the residents' consumption ability, improve the consumption conditions of residents, and cultivate new consumption hot spots.


    In addition, the decision of the State Council on accelerating the nurturing and development of strategic emerging industries promulgated in 2010 will enter the specific implementation stage in the coming year. A series of supporting policies are expected to come out one after another. The new economic growth point and investment hot spot are likely to form in 2011.


    On the last day of 2010, the Ministry of Finance announced some preferential fiscal and tax policies to be implemented and stopped in 2011. It is clear that the continued implementation of structural tax cuts is an important part of the positive fiscal policy of 2011.

    We will continue to implement income tax preferential policies for some small and small profit enterprises to support the development of small and medium-sized enterprises.

    We should implement various tax reduction and exemption policies to promote the upgrading of the industrial structure and the development of the service industry.

    We should implement preferential tax policies that are conducive to energy conservation, emission reduction, environmental protection and employment.

    We will continue to standardize and standardize administrative and public funded projects.

    In addition, in order to speed up the structural adjustment and upgrading of the automobile industry, promote energy conservation and emission reduction and resource recycling, the government continued to adopt fiscal subsidy policies in 2011, supported the comprehensive promotion of energy-saving vehicles and increased the demonstration and promotion of new energy vehicles, and continued to implement the old car scrapping renewal subsidy policy.


    Experts said that in the case of positive fiscal policy unchanged, the direction of specific fiscal tilt and subsidy policy changes were very obvious, mainly in the reform of income distribution, domestic demand, private investment, energy conservation and emission reduction, as well as economic restructuring and upgrading.

    With the launch of the "12th Five-Year plan", the trend of accelerating the strategic adjustment of the economic structure in 2011 has been irresistible.

    It can be expected that China's economy in 2011 will have a major breakthrough and progress in adjusting the industrial structure and changing the way of development.

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