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Review And Forecast Of Polyester Market In Two Cities Of Jiaxing, Shengze

2011/1/5 15:28:00 61

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The polyester Market in December showed a trend of first fall and then up, and the polyester price amplitude was larger than that of PET chips.

spinning

Factory production and sales rate in the first half of the average 60-70%, inventory pressure increased, while the second half is better than the first half of the month, spinning factory production and sales rate on average above 100%.

The December market is reviewed as follows:

The first week: (November 29th to December 5th), due to downstream weaving, blasting and parking suppression.

Chemical fiber factory

Under the influence of many factors such as polyester stocks rising, the market of polyester yarn is falling. The price of polyester varieties has dropped again. For example, in December 1st, the price of FDY in a mainstream spinning factory in Shengze dropped by 1000 yuan / ton, and the price of POY dropped by 300-800 yuan / ton, and the price of DTY dropped by 200-500 yuan / ton.

In December 2nd, driven by the rise in international oil prices, the PTA market was higher and higher. The trading atmosphere in the polyester market has picked up compared with the previous few days.

The price of the downstream surface and lining materials is flat, the inventory of grey fabric is on the rise, and the downstream purchasing of polyester is extremely cautious.

At present, the inventory of chemical fiber spinning factories is large, so it can be seen that chemical fiber spinning factories can only reduce prices to promote sales, so as to reduce inventory and maintain production. But recently, the international oil price continues to go up, and it will play a certain role in the popularity of polyester market. Moreover, the downstream is either low in jet weaving or warp knitting, or in polyester companies with low price. Therefore, next week, the polyester market may also be improved, first of all, the volume of trading is picking up, and the price is stabilized.

Second weeks: (December 6th to December 12th), crude oil rose and PTA

futures

Doubly driven by the surge, the price of polyester in the first half of the week rose steadily. In the second half of the week, the trading atmosphere in the polyester market dropped again due to the weakening of the PTA futures market. The opening price of the polyester market was barely stable on Wednesday, although the price of DTY products in Shengze's mainstream textile factory rose by 100 yuan / ton, such as DTY75D/72F's six month acceptance price of 19900 yuan / ton.

In addition, a manufacturer of FDY black silk quotation lower, individual varieties quoted price down 300 yuan /T.

Thursday, five polyester production and sales rates have dropped significantly.

Polyester enquiry atmosphere is weak, bulk trading is almost no, the overall trading volume is below the medium level. The price of spinning factories is generally stable, but the actual delivery price is relatively flexible.

From the current market analysis: polyester raw material PTA, slicing market shock adjustment, but the downstream market is difficult to boost sales, the current price of polyester is more cautious procurement, so next week polyester market overall market will likely be vulnerable to "disk state" operation, and does not exclude some high priced enterprises will moderate down the possibility.

Third weeks: (from December 13th to December 19th), a week ago, the price of conventional polyester varieties in Shengze and Jiaxing two times had a downward trend again. The reason is that on the one hand, due to the increasing stock of polyester factories, the market price of polyester market has been falling, and the factory price movements of polyester factories are constantly moving. On the other hand, downstream weaving enterprises have been cautious about the market outlook, and the principle of stock purchase is "quantitative production".

Driven by a sharp increase in PTA futures on the 13 day, 14 days (Tuesday), the production of polyester filament factory has improved. Other times, the polyester market paction has not been enlarged.

According to market dynamics, after a long time of large decline, the bottom of the polyester market is at the bottom of the market, so the price of polyester has eased, and the volume of turnover may increase next week.

The fourth week: (December 20th to December 26th), this week, the purchase of polyester in the lower reaches is still mainly based on the need to make up the stock, and the sales volume of some kinds of varieties is slowing down.

During the two-day weekend, the atmosphere of polyester trading was calm. Although some businesses in the lower reaches of Shengze had sporadic tickets to purchase, the wait-and-see atmosphere in the market was Revival on the 26 day when the FDY of a big factory was adjusted to a high level.

Although the overall situation of the downstream cloth market is not ideal as a whole, the maker of the weave in December or in January has the intention of closing the year ahead of time in January, but the price of polyester raw materials in this week moves forward, is a support to the future market of polyester, and then the year-end near downstream will be mainly ready to stock and purchase, and some traders also have the intention of bargain hunting and hoarding.

It is estimated that trading volume will not shrink next week.

Fifth weeks: (December 27th to January 2nd), the price of raw materials PTA and EG continued to rise, the price of polyester chips pushed up simultaneously, and the contract price increased from 11450 yuan /T last weekend to 11750 yuan /T.

The market price of polyester products went up trend at the end of last week, and the price of POY Silk Rose 300-500 yuan /T this week.

From the spinning factory, this week, the production and sales rate is obviously better than last week, the average production and sale rate of polyester is over 100%.

From the current downstream situation, Shengze, Jiaxing, Changxin downstream loom loom rate to maintain a stable state, the rise of international crude oil futures, the domestic market PTA, EC prices rose again, polyester chip prices are also "rising" upstream channel, the polyester market is expected to boost raw material costs and part of the downstream weaving, bomb companies to prepare for the year before, next week's polyester market trend is still the mainstream.

For specific price changes, see list of price trends of polyester Market in Shengze and Jiaxing in December <<2010.

Forecast next month: from the current market analysis: Although the downstream market is in the off-season state, the polyester stocks in spinning mills are down normal, and driven by the rising price of upstream raw materials and weaving and adding bombs in the lower reaches.

It is estimated that the quotation of polyester filament will be raised next month.