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Cotton Planting Area Is Difficult To Rebound Sharply

2011/2/15 17:30:00 171

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Survey on cotton planting intention in Sheyang County of Jiangsu in 2011

Planting area fell to its lowest level in 60 years.

Jiangsu Sheyang county is one of the key counties of cotton production throughout the country, from 2003 to 2007.

Cotton planting

After removing 2007 towns and two towns in the administrative area from 2008 and 2008, the area is still about 700 thousand mu. The annual output of lint is 15% of the total cotton output in the province.

But since 2008, the cotton planting area of the county has been decreasing year by year, and the annual decline has been increasing.

Sheyang County Cotton Association survey, in 2008 the county cotton planting area of 650 thousand mu, compared with 2007, 55 thousand mu, a decrease of 7.8%.

The actual harvest area in 2009 was 150 thousand mu less than that in 2008, with a reduction of 23.08%.

By 2010, there were only 450 thousand mu, which was 50 thousand mu less than that in 2009, so that the cotton planting area in the whole county was reduced to the lowest point recorded in 60 years.

The reason for the continuous reduction of cotton planting area, county

Cotton Association

I have made many surveys and think that there are six main aspects: first, the long growing period of cotton and the large number of labor; two, the low level of mechanized operation and the heavy labor load; three, the low number of national subsidies and the low standard; four, the poor resistance, the low output and the instability; five, the profits from the high efficiency agricultural projects; and six, the high cost of cotton planting.

Among them, the most important thing is the low and unstable income of cotton planting, the obvious decrease of comparative benefit, and the enthusiasm of farmers to plant cotton.

In 2010, after the new cotton came into the market, cotton was made for many reasons.

Buy

Prices are soaring all the way.

The sale of cotton farmers basically ended in December 20th. The average price per kilogram of cotton farmers sold in the county was 10.84 yuan, an increase of 4.24 yuan over the previous year of 6.60 yuan, an increase of 64.2%.

The direct income of cotton growers and cotton farmers, including government subsidies, reaches an average of 2319.76 yuan per mu. After excluding the total cost of 1218.50 yuan, the net income is 1113.36 yuan, which is 4.74 times that of 234.80 yuan last year.

Cotton yields have exceeded grain crops such as rice and corn harvested in autumn for the first time in 10 years.

Cotton planting area will pick up this year.

In the case of the increase in cotton prices and cotton planting income, what is the cotton planting intention of the county cotton farmers in the coming year? Can the cotton planting area increase substantially? What do cotton growers think now? What are the requirements and suggestions for stabilizing cotton production? The county cotton association and the county crop cultivation station organized some surveys on cotton planting intentions last year during the autumn sowing last year and in the middle of January this year.

The survey results show that: in 2011, the cotton planting area of the whole county will rise somewhat, but the extent of cotton planting will not be too large; the area of late crop cotton will be significantly reduced, and crop rotation arrangements have basically been in place; the cotton farmers' enthusiasm for planting cotton generally shows a high trend, and the cotton seed purchase trend is better.

The area of cotton planting has increased, but the rate is not very large.

The 70 cotton farmers surveyed in 2010 actually planted 541.41 mu of cotton in 2010, and planted 608.61 mu in 2011, an increase of 67.2 mu, an increase of 12.41%.

There were 33 households in the same level last year, accounting for 47.14% of the total number of households surveyed.

The total number of households increased by 34, accounting for 48.57% of the total number of households surveyed and the total area increased by 74.2 mu.

There were 3 households, accounting for 4.29% of the total number of households surveyed and a total reduction of 7 mu.

It is speculated that the cotton planting area in the whole county will rise to more than 500 thousand acres in 2011, reaching 505 thousand and 800 mu.

But there is still a big gap between the cotton area of about 700 thousand mu in previous years.

The enthusiasm of cotton planting is generally rising, and the cotton seed purchasing trend is better.

Judging from the survey, cotton farmers' enthusiasm for cotton planting is generally rising this year.

At present, besides the cotton field water conservancy in winter, improving the facilities in the cotton area, and completing the cotton nutrition bowl, the cotton seed purchase has a good momentum.

According to the survey, the cotton seed purchase time is ahead of schedule this year, and the progress is accelerated.

According to the director of Tazhong seed industry, which has a large sale of cotton seeds in the county, the total sales volume of the company last year was only 45 thousand barrels (bags), and this year to January 20, the sales volume has reached 60 thousand barrels (bags), of which 70% have been bought back by cotton growers.

Cotton price instability hinders cotton plant area to rise sharply

Despite the fact that cotton yields were better in 2010, cotton growers did not want to increase their planting area more. There are four main reasons for it.

First, cotton prices are unstable.

Many cotton farmers worry that cotton prices will be very high in 2010, and it will be hard to predict in 2011 if they are stable or falling.

Therefore, we do not want to substantially increase cotton planting and increase the risk of fluctuations in market prices.

The two is less government subsidies.

In the current policy of benefiting farmers, subsidies to conventional economic crops are relatively small.

Since 2010, Jiangsu has also abolished the comprehensive subsidy for the production of economic crops, including cotton, which makes it less expensive and less standard than grain crops. The cotton seed subsidy is only 15 yuan per mu.

Even so, some cotton growers use cotton field, buyout field or non-agricultural land to grow cotton. Even 15 yuan per mu can not be subsidized.

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Three is the high cost of cotton planting.

In recent years, the cost of cotton planting by cotton growers has increased year by year. In 2010, the cost per mu has exceeded 1200 yuan, of which the physicochemical cost is close to 350 yuan, and some cotton farmers have exceeded 400 yuan.

According to the price and market trend of some production data needed for cotton planting, the cost of physical and chemical and labor costs will increase in 2011.

The first is the price of means of production.

According to industry analysis, as the international crude oil prices have experienced a short period of adjustment, the recent wave of rising again.

After the Spring Festival, the prices of urea and diesel will also rise, and will be pmitted to other kinds of means of production.

The two is labor cost.

According to the County Cotton Association's conversion method, because the county's per capita net income increased in 2010, the unit price of labor day from 2011 will rise to 35 yuan, an increase of 4 yuan over 2010, an increase of 12.9%.

All of these will indicate that the cost of cotton planting in 2011 will also increase considerably.

The four is the reduction of suitable cotton land resources.

In recent years, with the development of the county's economy and society, the adjustment of the rural economic structure and the expansion of the public roads, some of the land suitable for cotton cultivation has been pferred.

Although the government has adopted many measures to reclaim tidal flat, saline soil improvement and flat field preparation, it has ensured the stability of arable land in the county, but the land needed for reclamation has to be improved. In particular, the reclamation of tidal flat can only be adapted to cotton cultivation after several years of salt leaching.

In addition, the land used for reclamation is mainly used for farming or other agricultural projects, and the income is much higher than that of cotton cultivation.

Therefore, in recent years, it is difficult to restore the land resources suitable for cotton cultivation.