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    PTA Enterprises Are Now In Short Supply, And They Need To Buy Goods To Make Up For Customers.

    2011/2/22 14:20:00 51

    PTA Supply Gap Supply And Demand

    A large number of new pet installations started in the first half of the year, and the new capacity of PTA will not be released until the second half of the year, resulting in the continued tight supply of PTA.

    Under such circumstances, the short-term supply gap in the market will be further aggravated by the impact of the overhaul of PTA enterprises and the demand for downstream polyester in 3 and April.


    "Now PTA enterprises are in short supply, we are buying goods to make up for the guests."

    Ma Xiumei, deputy general manager of Far East Petrochemical Company, made a statement about the basic situation of PTA supply and demand.

    According to her introduction, as the PTA enterprises are almost 100% of the start-up rate, 100% contracts with downstream customers are available, and the market supply is in a tight balance.

    Once the PTA plant is overhauled or customers have new demand, it will have a great impact on supply.


    It is understood that

    PTA

    In March and April, large enterprises had a more intensive overhaul plan, including Far East petrochemical, Xiang Lu petrochemical, South Korea KT, and Ningbo MITSUBISHI in April.

    The overhaul of these enterprises is the cause of the unstable supply of PTA.

    Although this year's new capacity of about 3000000 tons, mainly including Yisheng 2 million 500 thousand tons of Ningbo and Dalian two projects, but the concentration of production capacity at the end of the year, far from the water can not be nearly thirsty.


    Demand side, downstream polyester production capacity to expand production speed is far faster than PTA, and a large number of new production capacity concentrated in the first half of the year started, resulting in supply and demand mismatches and gaps continue to enlarge.

    According to the Securities Times reporter's previous research, it is expected that this year will expand the production of 7 million tons of polyester fiber ~1000 million tons, such as a place in Wujiang, Jiangsu, the current polyester production capacity is about 2 million tons, this year's project is 1 million 500 thousand tons, an increase of 75%.


    Meng Hongjun, sales manager of Hengli Chemical Fiber Co., Ltd., Jiangsu, said that the demand for polyester downstream weaving was very large. Because of the fact that there was no inventory in the entire downstream weaving in 2010, some weaving enterprises learned the lesson of the rising of raw materials all the year round. Some years ago, they accumulated funds and began to stock up, pushing up the demand for polyester, resulting in a lower inventory of products in polyester chemical fiber factories than many years ago, and many enterprises were unwilling to lower their prices.


    "Last week there were individuals.

    polyester

    The factory took the initiative to lower some price tests, but more and more enterprises chose to wait and see.

    The price of the whole market is very strong now. "

    Meng Hongjun said.


    Moreover, although the price of chemical fiber is high, the price pmission is relatively smooth, and downstream consumption can be accepted.

    It is understood that, as foreign and domestic enterprises generally expect RMB appreciation in the 5%-6% this year, or even to 10%, coupled with the rapid rise in labor costs this year, many places appear labor shortage, so the clothing terminal orders are also more resolute.

    In addition,

    Labor shortage

    Under the influence of raw material shortage, the weaving and garment enterprises in the lower reaches have been postponed compared with the previous years. The real demand has not been shown yet. It is expected that after 3 and April, the purchasing demand is expected to burst and flow to the upstream PTA.


    Affected by the increase in the deposit reserve ratio, PTA futures closed for 3 consecutive trading days after hitting a new high of 12396 yuan / tonne last week, and accompanied by a decline in holdings.

    Yesterday's main contract PTA1105 closed at 11802 yuan / ton, compared with the previous trading day fell 2.37%.

    However, the stock market, PTA related listed companies continued to receive financial attention, yesterday *ST blackened 5% limit, *ST brilliance rose 1.59%, Rongsheng Petrochemical rose 1.05%.


    Spot industry believes that the PTA stage adjustment does not change its long-term rally, and good fundamentals will support its market throughout the year.

    Meng Hongjun expects that the price of filament yarn will increase in the next few months, and then the price of raw materials PTA will rise again.

    Ma Xiumei believes that the long-term supply and demand gap, PTA sales and profits can be guaranteed, and now PTA per ton profit of 1400 yuan ~1500 yuan.

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