Zhang Yongjun: The International Economic Situation Is Still Not Optimistic. We Should Strengthen Macroeconomic Policy Coordination.
On the morning of July 20th, Zhang Yongjun, Vice Minister of Research Department of the China International Economic Exchange Center, said in the forums on the analysis of the economic situation in the first half of 2011 and the trend of the second half of the year, the international economic situation is still not optimistic in the short term.
Zhang Yongjun said that in the first half of this year, the world economy showed a "growth rate".
Inflation has intensified.
The characteristics of the slow increase in employment reflect the sustainability and complexity of the financial crisis.
The imperfect and uncoordinated design of macroeconomic policies in major countries is an important reason for the repeated international economic development.
At present, the long-term problems that plague world economic development still exist. In the short term, the world economy is still not optimistic.
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Zhang Yongjun said that the financial crisis caused by the collapse of the real estate bubble often lasted for a long time, and the European sovereign debt crisis was also a manifestation of the financial crisis that led to a decline in government credit.
"At this stage, the employment situation of the major developed economies such as the United States has not been able to improve, reflecting the need for adjustment of the economic structure and structure.
Earlier, its loose monetary policy led to excess liquidity and low interest rates, which led to a rise in asset prices, while the increase in the supply of money did not flow into the real economy. "
Zhang Yongjun believes that the current plague
world economy
The long-term problems of development still exist, and the impact of the financial crisis is difficult to eliminate in the short term.
On the one hand, the macroeconomic policies of developed economies are not smooth enough, and the results are difficult to play; on the other hand, it is difficult for emerging economies to relax macroeconomic policies in the short term.
"Although inflation in some emerging economies is likely to slow down in the second half of the year, the economic situation in Japan will gradually recover, but the OECD and the GDP growth rate is still decreasing, which indicates that the growth rate of the developed economies may continue to decline in the second half of the year," Zhang Yong said. "The world economy is still not optimistic in the short term".
Zhang Yongjun believes that to promote world economic growth, we must improve.
Macro economy
Policy and strengthen policy coordination.
"Fiscal and monetary policies must be redesigned for the purpose of stimulating demand, promoting economic growth and expanding employment."
In addition, Zhang Yongjun said that the government and the media should also rationally guide the public and market expectations.
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