The Survival Of Smes Is Difficult And Beyond Imagination.
Zhou Dewen has something to say recently.
As Wenzhou
middle-sized and small
President of the enterprise development association, he appealed to the media reporters to sink to the bottom and investigate the recent situation of SMEs.
The reason is that recently, when he participated in some activities, he learned that the decline of the sovereign credit rating of the United States had begun to affect the export of some enterprises, and some of the orders had been cancelled.
It is understood that at present, including the central bank, the National Bureau of statistics and the Ministry of industry and Commerce acknowledge that SMEs are facing some difficulties, but they generally believe that SMEs operate well. On the contrary, the findings of the 3 major bodies of the Federation of industry and commerce, China Federation of logistics and purchasing, and China SME association are quite different.
For example, the data of China Federation of logistics and purchasing show that as of July, small businesses
manufacturing industry
The purchasing managers index (PMI) has been under the critical point for 3 consecutive months.
This is in sharp contrast to the two quarter of the Statistics Bureau's small and medium enterprises' prosperity index.
In this regard, an industry believes that usually closer to the civilian survey report, may be more reliable.
Many small and medium-sized enterprises released by the National Bureau of statistics are actually not small, but the new micro enterprise data of the Ministry of industry and Commerce has not been released separately.
Chen Naixing, director of the National SME research center of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said that at present, the state has classified micro enterprises and small businesses. Next, the state should introduce a policy of universal benefit as soon as possible, strengthen public services and strengthen support for small and micro enterprises.
Data paradox in small and medium sized enterprises
Zhou Dewen told reporters that the feeling of himself and some small and medium enterprises is that the business is becoming more and more difficult, but many government departments' data reflect that the SMEs are good as a whole, and these data are very contrasting with the findings of folk color.
For example, the central bank recently released a survey report on the operation of small and medium-sized enterprises, showing that there is no substantial change in the fundamentals and sales of small and medium-sized enterprises in China, and the production and operation are generally stable.
The report cited the second quarter of 2011.
Entrepreneur
The survey report showed that the second quarter export orders index rebounded, rising 1.4 percentage points to 52.5% in the first quarter.
The report also uses the figures from the Ministry of industry and information and the Bureau of statistics.
According to the Ministry of industry and statistics, in the first quarter of 2011, the added value of small and medium-sized industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 16.9% over the same period last year, 2.5 percentage points higher than the growth rate of industrial added value above the national scale.
The results of the national business survey of the National Bureau of statistics show that in the second quarter of 2011, the prosperity index of small and medium enterprises was 135.4 and 116.8, respectively, which was 1.9 and 2.7 higher than that in the first quarter.
However, this is not the case for Zhou Dewen's first-line investigation.
For example, the proportion of small and medium enterprises that has been closed down and closed down in the first quarter accounts for about 20% of the total number of small and medium-sized enterprises. At present, because of the decline of the sovereign credit rating of the United States, some enterprises have received notice of withdrawal, and there has been no improvement in the closure and shutdown of enterprises.
"If we do not support it well, the proportion of small and medium enterprises that will probably collapse next spring will reach 40%."
He said.
Reporters found that the current several reports of folk colors, generally reflect the situation of SMEs is getting worse.
For example, the China SME association also warned that China's SME development index fell from 108.9 in the third quarter of 2010.
The two quarter of 2011 was 100.2, falling to nearly 100 of the critical value.
Chen Naixing believes that the data of different agencies are too large to be trusted, and individuals can be judged according to their own understanding.
However, due to the shortfall in labor force of about 10%-15% in the whole country, this indicates that 10%-15% enterprises are going to fail.
"This is the result of the laws of nature."
He said.
Decline in US credit rating affects exports
For the current small and medium-sized enterprises in the end how difficult, the reporter got the view that at present, the cost of enterprises is rising rapidly, the overall order is not much better than last year, even if there is a lot of orders, enterprises may not be able to receive, the main reason is no profit.
Chen Xianghong, partner of Guangzhou Chao ran Chemical Technology Co., Ltd., told reporters that he was mainly engaged in the processing of textile raw materials, because lint last year's high price reached 30 thousand yuan / ton, this year has dropped to 20 thousand yuan / ton, which led to the result of a serious loss of textile enterprises, many high priced raw materials, the price is higher than the final processed products.
The reduction of cotton procurement by textile enterprises has resulted in a 50% decline in orders from their enterprises, while costs are rising.
For example, last year, recruiting financial personnel, the monthly salary of 2000 can be, now need 4000 yuan.
General practitioners last year paid 1800 yuan a month, and now needs more than 2500 yuan.
"The result of rising costs is that enterprises have to extend their cost recovery time."
Chen Xianghong said.
At present, the country does not have the order data release of single small enterprises. However, the figures of China Federation of logistics and purchasing show that PMI reflects the difficulties of small business development in China, and the PMI index of small enterprises has been below 50% for three consecutive months.
The PMI of state-owned enterprises has been lower than 50% for 2 consecutive months, and private enterprises have been below 50% for 3 consecutive months. The Limited by Share Ltd has dropped to less than 50% this month.
According to Zhou Dewen's claim that the order of some small and medium-sized enterprises along the coast is beginning to be affected, Wu Gexin, the office of the Wenzhou spectacles chamber of Commerce, believes that this is true.
The reason is that the cost of Wenzhou's eyeglasses industry is accelerating now, and some enterprises that cannot afford it will either stop production or switch to production, or pfer the industry to hundreds of kilometers away from the sea.
"In fact, many orders can't be answered either because they can't earn money, and a pair of glasses earned 5 to 1 yuan a few years ago."
Wu Ge Xin said.
Data show that in June, Wenzhou's total exports of spectacles reached 66 million 140 thousand.
dollar
An increase of 11.83% over the same period.
However, it is hard to know whether such a large export volume has the same profit growth.
Prior to the Wenzhou economic and Trade Commission monitoring data showed that the first 3 months of this year, the city's glasses, lighters, pens, locks and other 35 export oriented enterprises, the loss accounted for 1/4 of the profits, more than 5% of the enterprises less than 10.
Chen Naixing believes that, in the case of rising wages and prices, many small and medium-sized enterprises begin to switch careers. This is a must. Otherwise, technological innovation should be adopted to support the development of enterprises.
For small and medium-sized enterprises, the state needs to give the policy as soon as possible.
"Giving money is not as good as blood pfusion, blood pfusion is not as good as hematopoiesis, to small and medium-sized enterprises a little environment and help, it can be done."
Zhou Dewen suggested that the state should set up a unified department to support the development of small and medium-sized enterprises as soon as possible, because at present, all provinces already have only the central coordinating body.
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