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    After 2020, China'S Aging Population Increased By 6 Million 200 Thousand &Nbsp Per Year.

    2011/8/23 9:43:00 48

    China'S Aging Population In 2020

    "In the past fifty years,

    ageing

    The number of population still ranks first in the world.

    Wang Yanzhong, director of the center for labor and social security research of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said that during the "12th Five-Year" period, China will have the first peak of the growth of the elderly population. The number of elderly people over 60 will increase from 178 million to 221 million.

    From 2020 onwards, the aging population in China will grow at an average annual rate of 6 million 200 thousand, and will break through 400 million people in 2050.


    In many areas involving aging population,

    Medical care

    The system is most closely related.

    The aging of the population will lead to a substantial increase in chronic diseases, an increase in medical costs, and even a decline in the quality of life of patients.


    "Coping with the aging of the population needs to sink the core and build a grass-roots health service system centered on the community, and form a two-way interaction mode between the community and the family."

    Rao Keqin, member of the National Advisory Committee on health reform and Secretary of the CPC Committee of the Chinese Medical Association, said.


    China is getting old.


    In 2000, the proportion of people over the age of 65 in China has reached 7%, and has entered an aging society.

    At that time, China's per capita GDP was only 1000 US dollars, far below the average level of five thousand to ten thousand GDP per capita when entering the aging society.


    Rao Keqin provided a set of data on the development of aging: from 2000 to 2020, it was a rapid aging stage, with an average annual increase of 5 million 960 thousand people; from 2020 to 2050, the aging stage was accelerated, with an average annual increase of 6 million 200 thousand.

    By 2050, the aging population will exceed 400 million, and the aging level will reach 30%.


    Li Jun, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said that from 2015 onwards, the financial burden of China's pension will increase significantly. In 2020, -2030 will be the most significant stage of the aging population's impact on China's economy.

    Without obvious progress in science and technology, the negative impact of population ageing on the economy will be inevitable.


    According to this prediction, China's aging population is right.

    Economics

    The peak will come 5 to 10 years later.

    But Wang Yanzhong pointed out: "but from now on, China should explore the coping strategies of aging problems."


    "Since the 70s of last century, the death scale and mortality rate of Chinese population has remained stable basically, but the birth rate has dropped rapidly due to the implementation of the family planning policy," Wang Yanzhong said. On the one hand, the family planning policy has increased the proportion of the labor force in China, and on the other hand, it is closely related to the aging of the population today.


    Wang Yanzhong said that because of the demographic changes brought about by the aging of the population, there are also some long-term implementation policies which do not meet the actual needs.

    "The current retirement age is still in line with the 50s policy, which has artificially reduced the supply of labour, but has increased the dependency ratio of the elderly."


    The executive meeting of the State Council has identified seven key tasks for the development of the cause of aging in the period of 12th Five-Year, including the social security system for the elderly, health care for the elderly, family support for the elderly, service for the elderly, activities for the elderly and barrier free facilities, the aging industry, and the legal system and legal services for the elderly.


    "Old doctor" is a difficult problem.


    The emergence of an aging population will lead to the pformation of the disease spectrum from infectious diseases to chronic diseases in China.


    Rao Keqin provided a set of relevant measurement data: in 2005, the number of chronic diseases in China was 218 million.

    With the aging process, it will reach 358 million by 2020.

    Among them, the growth rate of hypertension, tumor and diabetes was the largest.


    The frequent occurrence of chronic diseases means a longer treatment cycle and higher medical costs. Without a good guarantee system, the quality of life of patients will even decline.


    "Current basic

    Medical care

    And the old-age security system can only cover more than 50% of the urban labor force, while a considerable number of flexible employment and migrant workers are hard to join.

    Wang Yanzhong said that the proportion of medical insurance for new rural cooperation and medical insurance for urban residents has been established only by 50% of the actual cost.


    Rao Keqin said that the elderly medical insurance system will be promoted in the future, and the nursing care system for the elderly will be established.


    "Strengthening the systematic construction of nursing means that the center of gravity will sink from the current hospital care to the future community care."

    Rao Keqin said.


    In traditional concepts, care for the elderly only exists in the level of hospital care, and more on the treatment of diseases.

    On the one hand, it will bring high cost, consume a lot of medical resources, and bring many pain to the elderly.

    And it is more efficient to turn nursing from hospital to community and from treatment to health care.


    According to the WHO research, 1/3 of chronic diseases can be prevented by preventive health care, 1/3 can be controlled by early detection, and 1/3 through effective communication between patients and doctors to improve the therapeutic effect.


    This means that in the face of chronic diseases, the long-term preventive health care in the grass-roots community appears to be more effective.


     
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