Wei Jianguo: It Is Recommended To Introduce A New Policy To Encourage Exports To Deal With The Global Trade War.

This year is the most severe year for China's foreign trade. The main reason is that besides the European Union, I think the global trade war is about to start, because countries, especially Europe and the United States, are being attacked by the economic crisis and sovereign debt crisis, so as to protect trade protectionism as a political card of their own country, so they accuse China of the export of the world's second largest economy.

Since he has played a political card and politicized it, China's small and medium-sized enterprises, especially export enterprises, will face greater difficulties.

Of course, export enterprises are also facing the challenge of RMB appreciation, rising imports of raw materials, and rising labor costs.

But I think we can do all these three difficulties.

This year's whole foreign trade situation is not optimistic.

I estimate that export growth is likely to decrease to around 10%, or even 1 digits in a single month.

In addition, this year's import situation is not optimistic. From the current perspective, imports in January are declining more severely than exports.

As our industry insiders see, imports are the future export. If imports decline, this can not be stopped. Even if we have a favorable balance in some months, exports related to imports will shrink, so this is us.

Question: just now you mentioned growth rate. In fact, last year, our foreign trade growth rate was 22%. This year, some experts expect 10%. You just told exports and imports.

Why do you think the growth rate is down? What else do you mention besides Europe?

In addition to the European problem, I think the biggest reason is trade protectionism. Of course, as small and medium-sized enterprises, especially the coastal export enterprises, it is also facing the pressure of RMB appreciation.

At the same time, from last year to the end of this year, the increase in import prices of raw materials has also contributed to the increase in costs.

The other is the rise of domestic labor costs. These factors together result in our current export, especially in coastal areas, where profits are very low, only three to five percentage points.

For the Chinese government, it is hoped that "a warm quilt" can help small and medium enterprises, especially the small and medium-sized export enterprises in the coastal areas, to let them pass through this severe cold.

Otherwise, apart from some of the factors I mentioned above, coupled with the protectionism adopted by the United States and the European Union this year, it will add insult to injury for small and medium-sized enterprises.

There are mainly two aspects to this cold spell. First, we must maintain the policies adopted by the Chinese government and encourage export.

At the same time, I suggest that we should introduce some new policies to encourage exports to help SMEs get through the cold weather.

Question: actually, is it because of such considerations, so your proposal mentions the topic of preparing for a trade war?

Wei Jianguo: because the United States has recently set up an inter departmental trade office, covering the State Department, the Ministry of Commerce, the trade representative office, the Ministry of finance, and even the Ministry of defense and intelligence agencies.

Speaking from foreign power, it is mainly aimed at some products exported to China.

Because Obama himself wants to double the entire export in three years, he has to knock out some of China's exports so that his market can be satisfied, so I think the intention of the United States is very obvious.

But we do not expect China and the United States to fight a trade war at this time, because we are both the largest economy and the second largest economy, and Obama also sees China as the largest export market and an important exporter to help him solve the current employment and economic crisis.

If the two sides fight, I think it will be both parties to lose. It will do no good to both sides.

But we need to be vigilant. We should not be afraid of this trade office. We believe that what we have done is very correct. And if you look at us under the terms of WTO, we are fully in line with international trade management. You have to check our conscience and not be afraid of knocking at the midnight. How many departments do you set up? Our Chinese enterprises should not be in a panic. But we need to be vigilant in order to avoid finding out some excuses in the current US general election and taking trade protectionism out of China.

Question: Wei minister, you may be familiar with the third question. Now I hear that Cancun is going to build such a dragon city and choose Cancun. Later, we are discussing whether there will be a handover with Africa.

What do you think will be the best way to dock with Africa?

Wei Jianguo: it should be said that Dubai's dragon city is a relatively good one for small and medium-sized export enterprises and businessmen in China. For local tourism, local residents, especially the entrepot, because Dubai is a large re export commodity area, with nearly more than 4000 small and medium-sized merchants, which is the local desire for Chinese businessmen to do business here. In fact, it also plays a role in our small and medium-sized enterprises in Arabia and even in Dubai.

It can be said that at present, due to the establishment of the Dragon City, Dubai has played the role of China's commodity distribution center.

And now there are almost 400-500 billion dollars in commodities every year, through Dubai, through Arabia to Arabia countries, Iran, and also to African countries. I think the effect of Longcheng is very good.

Of course, there are further organizations, personnel selection, language fluency, especially the quality of service attitude and merchandise.

I don't know whether to build a dragon city in Cancun. I think that Cancun will build a dragon city, and he will absorb better experience on the basis of Dubai's dragon city and build it better.

Moreover, the quality and service quality of the products will be higher and more popular with the local people.

Africa is now a big opportunity. I think from last year's overall world situation, it is a recession.

But last year, IMF has published statistics. Africa is the only continent whose GDP has increased by more than 5%, and it is predicted that Africa will continue to maintain this momentum in 2012 this year, or even more than 6%.

If an average of more than 6%, Africa now has 54 countries and regions, and some countries are still high, so this market is a very good market.

Moreover, trade between China and Africa is developing very fast now. Before 1992, the import and export trade was less than one billion.

And eight years later, in 2000, it increased ten times to about ten billion.

From 2000 to 2008, and after eight years, it reached about one hundred billion and increased ten times. Last year, it has reached 160 billion. I estimate that in the next three to five years, we will exceed 300 billion dollars in the import and export trade of Africa. That is to say, trade between China and Africa may enter the first tier of our country. The first group refers to more than 300 billion or about 400000000000, for example, Japan, the United States and