"Prime Minister'S Housing Price" Is Not More Than 5000 Yuan &Nbsp; Experts Say The Algorithm Is Not Rigorous.

"Prime minister's housing price" formula

In 2011, the per capita disposable income of local cities was equal to the average household income and the reasonable housing price income was /90 square meters.

A survey of prime minister's housing prices

Nanjing 4293 yuan / square meter

Beijing 4387 yuan / square meter

Shanghai 4831 yuan / square meter

Guangzhou 4573 yuan / square meter

Shenzhen 4867 yuan / square meter

Suzhou 4409 yuan / square meter

Wuxi 4218 yuan / square meter

Hangzhou 4493 yuan / square meter

Dalian 3240 yuan / square meter

Nanjing prime minister's housing price is less than 5000 yuan /m2

Last year, the average price of Nanjing residential spanactions was 11 thousand and 200 yuan /m2

This " Prime Minister's housing price "Micro-blog" was originally sent from a netizen named "State Department of housing", and in a very short time, it attracted users to crazily reprint and comment. After that, many real estate websites also put the price standard into the front page article to discuss. The calculation method of this netizen is: the annual per capita disposable income of urban residents is calculated according to the family composition of the population (calculated according to 2 persons) * reasonable house price income is smaller than that of /90 (small apartment boundary), so that the so-called reasonable "prime minister's housing price" is obtained.

According to the 32200 yuan per capita disposable income of urban residents released by the Nanjing statistical bureau last year, the prime minister's housing price in Nanjing should be 32200 yuan, 2 x 6/90 square meter =4293.3 yuan / square meter. This is more than double the average housing price in Nanjing at present, which is 4 times lower than that in the cities, Hexi and other regions, almost to the level of six or seven years ago. The statistics from relevant departments of the Nanjing Municipal Housing Construction Commission show that the average price of residential spanactions in Nanjing in 2011 was 11 thousand and 200 yuan / square meter.

In addition, the prices of first tier cities in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen are 4387 yuan / square meter, 4831 yuan / square meter, 4573 yuan / square meter and 4867 yuan / square meter respectively. In other cities in Jiangsu, Wuxi is 4218.4 yuan / square meter, and Changzhou is 3977.4 yuan / square meter. In view of this, Nanjing's per capita disposable income is not much different from those of these cities, so it is not much worse than that of several first tier cities.

Most netizens are "smiling" after seeing them.

"This house price is really exciting, but it's just a good wish."

Seeing this reasonable "prime minister's housing price", many netizens said: "the price is reasonable, but it is just a good wish." "As long as 4000 yuan? This house price is absolutely reasonable!" netizen said, "the tree on that bear H_H". "Mogwai said" that if we fall to 4000 yuan, we must buy several sets of iron and steel. Some netizens are more realistic, saying that this price can really excite many people, but it will also make many people disconsolate, and the melancholy nature is the old owner who often causes the "rights protection" event this year.

After most netizens commented on this micro-blog with an entertainment attitude, some netizens began to get real. "Commenting on the city," commented, "what proportion do you mean?" according to the reporter, the ratio of housing price to income refers to the ratio between the average housing price of a country or a city and the average income of each household, which is one of the important bases for formulating housing policy. When measuring the housing consumption level of a country, the world bank considers that the ratio of housing price to income is more than 3 times to 6 times. At present, the calculation method of "prime minister's housing price" is based on the highest 6 times, that is, a family's net income after 6 years without eating or drinking.

"Prime minister's housing price" is generally too low, which makes some netizens try to take a more reasonable way to calculate. Some netizens said that 6 years of income to buy suites, I dare not think about it, 10 years to achieve satisfaction. The local property forum 365 network also calculated that the prime minister's housing price in Nanjing was more than 7100 yuan / square meter. Many netizens believe that this price is still of some significance, because at present, many properties of Jiangbei plate in Nanjing sell this price, and the prices of Xianlin lake and south of the city are not much higher.

Has been developed commercially to promote sales.

A developer in Hangzhou called out "prime minister's price, the bottom line of West City".

"Prime minister's housing price" was born soon after the netizens were still immersed in entertainment and fantasy. Developers This Internet hot word is advertised to attract the eye.

Reporters found on micro-blog yesterday, a developer in Hangzhou played the "prime minister's price, the bottom line of the west, 15678 yuan / square meter on sale" in the advertisement. Eye-catching words. According to the reporter, the average price of the real estate sold before was 22500 yuan / square meter, the lowest housing price was 19980 yuan / square meter, and the average price of the new housing price was only 16000 yuan / square meter. Some netizens said that the price range of 6000 yuan / square meter should also be called the prime minister's call.

Insiders: hope is good, the formulation is not rigorous.

For such a hot debate, "Premier housing prices", a study in Nanjing. Real estate Scholars who have been in the market for many years say they believe that most netizens are entertaining. This algorithm is obviously not rigorous enough. First of all, if the per capita disposable income is taken as the benchmark, the number of households should not be calculated according to 2 people. A more rigorous algorithm should be based on the household population. According to the data released by the census of Nanjing in May last year, the proportion of Nanjing's household population should be 2.77, so the reasonable housing price in Nanjing should be 5946.3 yuan per square meter.

But even this is not rigorous enough. The scholar said that the price earnings ratio is 3-6 times that of the United States and some western developed countries. Because of the different national conditions, 3-6 times is not necessarily applicable to all the countries in the world, especially China, a large developing country with a large population density. As to how much China's reasonable housing price income ratio should be, authoritative departments do not have a specific directional goal. The prime minister put forward such a statement that it should express a determination to control housing prices and hope that real estate can develop steadily and constantly reduce the high income ratio of housing and housing. Entertainment or hope, the emergence of "prime minister's housing price" still reposes a common expectation of people returning to housing prices, and a support for the central government to adhere to the strict policy of real estate regulation.