Experts Optimistic About Three Kinds Of Investment Products In The Next Ten Years
The European Union and the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) or will lead the new trend of prediction.
Not only do they focus on the next six months, but even in the latest Greek bailout plan, they even estimate Greece's debt rate in 2020, 8 years later: 120.5%.
We are very excited about the accuracy of this number, especially the 0.5%.
Such a figure is obviously meaningless.
We need to recall that in 2004, 8 years ago, the financial crisis was just an Arabian tale.
However, if our eyes can exceed 6 to 12 months of consideration by ordinary investors and put them on the long-term target, can we observe some possible trends? If the answer is yes, then we may be able to draw some long-term investment proposals.
But it is worth noting that what I have said for a long time is a real sense of the long term. That is to say, these investment plans will still be affected.
Short term fluctuation
Impact and impact.
I think there are three investments that will perform well in the next ten years: developing markets, gold and Gao Hongli's stock.
The impetus for the development of the developing market comes from the convergence effect. Many important large developing countries began to show this effect in the early 1990s and have been fully demonstrated in recent years.
The convergence effect is that the wealth and income inequality between the poor and the rich countries has been narrowing. Even on the basis of the most conservative estimate, the proportion of the developing market in the world economy will increase from nearly 50% today to 75% in 2050.
It should be noted that the proportion of the developing market in the world economy was 75% before the industrial revolution in 1820.
Moreover, although their current economic share is around 50%, the market value of the developing market accounts for only 15% of the world market, which will bring an additional impetus to these developing markets.
The rise of the developing market also means that those who have entered these markets in developed countries will have better performance.
All countries
Assets and liabilities of the central bank
The watch is expanding - just like the universe.
Since 2007, the scale of the European Central Bank's balance sheet has doubled, the Federal Reserve's balance sheet has even increased by two times, the Bank of England has increased by 3.5 times, and the Swiss National Bank has increased by 5 times.
The Bank of Japan has begun quantitative easing.
Many central bankers say that the money is controlled, and if inflation starts to take place, it will be stopped immediately, but I think we should be more modest and admit that we are not at all clear about it.
In my view, inflation and currency depreciation will be the end of the financial crisis that broke out in 2007.
This is a way to reduce the huge liabilities of industrial economies.
In this environment, gold performance will continue to look good.
Long term government bonds are no longer a safe and stable long-term investment option in developed industrial countries where government debt is at stake and interest rates are at a very low level.
When we choose the investment target, is there any better option? In my opinion, a good substitute is the stock that keeps dividends, because these enterprises are not affected by the development of business cycle or technology.
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