Li Lingmin: The External Demand Of Textile Industry Will Still Be Insufficient.

At present, the biggest problem for China's foreign trade is the insufficiency of external demand. This is more evident in the textile and garment industry. In the first quarter, the US economy has shown signs of recovery, while Europe is still in recession, but demand has not increased. In 2011, the macroeconomic environment was bad, and some small textile enterprises went bankrupt. This year's situation is not very optimistic.

In the early March, China textile importers and exporters A report will be issued at the same time with the China Federation of textile industry that there may be negative growth in textile exports in the first half of this year.

Textile Industry Association said, "in the first half of 2012, China's textile and garment export demand is insufficient and competition pressure will be more prominent. In the first half of this year, the number of industrial exports will be low or negative growth." The Federation of textile industry said, "last year, the number of textile and garment exports in China declined sharply, which increased by only 0.5% over the same period last year. It is expected that export demand will remain insufficient in the first half of this year, the industry pressure will be more prominent, and the number of industrial exports will be negative or negative."

In the first two years, because of the rising cost of labor, land rent and raw materials, and the instability of the RMB exchange rate, many large bills have been transferred. Manufacturing cost Even cheaper Southeast Asian countries are unlikely to return these orders. This is also a factor that affects the order of textile enterprises. For the textile and garment industry, domestic demand is also sluggish. State Securities (600109) reported that in 2012 1~2 months, the total retail sales of 100 large retail enterprises nationwide increased by 6.1%, the growth rate was nearly 5 years low, and the total volume of retail sales fell 4.23% year-on-year.

The relative policies on textile exports have been relatively stable over the years. For enterprises We hope that the stability of this policy will continue. But one problem is that the tax rebate of textile and garment exports is too slow, which will occupy the liquidity of enterprises, even if the central enterprises such as China spinning will also have an impact, so that the enthusiasm of enterprises frustrated.

China's textile and garment industry has reached a critical stage of transformation. How to adjust the structure is a big problem.