Analysis On The Operation Of The Textile Industry In The First Quarter
This year, the economic operation of the industry is not satisfactory as compared with the same period last year. A number of data showed a downward trend, and some indicators dropped considerably.
How should the industry view the industry operation data in the first quarter, and how to make an analysis of the future industrial operation accordingly? This reporter interviewed Wang Tiankai, President of the China Textile Industry Federation.
Next year, looking at the global economic situation, Europe and the United States economy continues to slump, consumption is sluggish. China's GDP growth rate in 2012 is also expected to decline to 7.5%. Overall, the domestic economy as a whole shows a downward trend, which is also expected.
In the case of sluggish economy, uncertain future and downward trend of economy, the general real economy is not as good as the virtual economy. The competitive industries in the real economy are not as good as monopoly industries, and small and medium-sized enterprises are inferior to large ones.
Textile industry
It is a real economy which is dominated by small and medium-sized enterprises and has a high degree of marketization. The pressure of the industry as a whole is self-evident.
Running data can not be compared simply.
Looking at the operational data of textile industry in the first quarter of this year, we can say that there are many reasons behind the decline of a number of ring data, but it is worth emphasizing that the interpretation of the data in the first quarter of this year can not be done without the special background of "cotton price fluctuation".
Since 2011, China's cotton prices have staged a thrilling "roller coaster".
In the first quarter of last year,
cotton
The price has soared to a maximum of 34 thousand yuan / ton. Cotton spinning and yarn making enterprises have made a lot of money, and downstream fabrics and garment enterprises have also increased their prices.
However, the price driven by this hype is not going to be bought by the end consumers.
This year, cotton prices fell to the ground, cotton spinning and yarn enterprises significantly declined in efficiency, and the pressure of clothing enterprises increased sharply. At the same time, because the price of cotton was not yet in line with the international cotton price, China's cotton prices were much higher than the international market average level, and the number of cotton textile products that occupied an important proportion in textile exports fell sharply.
Therefore, if we compare the data of the first quarter of this year with the data that is too simple last year, it is impossible to make an objective and scientific analysis and judgement on the future trend of the industry through a simple comparison.
Market demand affects future industry trend
Among the factors that will affect the industry trend in the coming year, market demand will still bear the brunt.
At present, the demand for the international market is shrinking and the domestic market is showing signs of weakness. In the first half of this year, industry enterprises will continue to push ahead under pressure. In the second half of the year, the domestic demand market will be further opened with the promotion of domestic policies to stimulate domestic demand, and the industry will usher in an upward opportunity.
Textile industry is one of the most marketable industries, and the production and marketing rate has been maintained in a relatively balanced state.
In recent years, with the advancement of urbanization and the demand for textile and daily necessities, the textile market has been improving. At present, the market situation is changing. Although the enterprises are facing great survival difficulties, they are also bringing opportunities to upgrade and adjust the enterprises.
Faced with the challenges of the market, large enterprises should actively change their development ideas, change from scale growth to benefit growth, and small enterprises should strengthen their confidence, seek new market opportunities, and make adjustments in the direction of being refined, strong and specialized.
In the face of the unfavorable market situation, the textile industry should still be full of confidence, and at the same time, we should do all adjustment work and actively respond.
The structural adjustment of the textile industry is still guided by the invisible hand of the market, and the government's visible hands are complementary.
The function of the government is to create a good external competitive environment for enterprises.
In addition, taking into account the current gap between production and demand, the state should pay more attention to the current situation of the textile industry, and introduce effective policies as soon as possible to promote the development of the industry.
It is suggested that the state should issue cotton import quotas as early as possible, and that the cotton in storage and storage of cotton should also be considered without auction system. At the same time, we must pay attention to the fact that there is no high price difference with the international market, so as to better meet the needs of textile enterprises.
The export rebate rate of some textiles and garments has been raised moderately and the financing of small and medium-sized enterprises has been raised. It is urgent for the relevant government departments to continue to introduce feasible policies.
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