In 2012 Cotton Prices In Dezhou Were Mainly Stable.
From late July to early August, Dezhou suffered heavy rain for several times, which greatly affected the normal growth of cotton and other crops.
According to the survey, the Cotton Bolls at the bottom of the cotton turned black, and there were 3-4 spades per plant, and some flower buds were falling off. The pollination of the buds was also affected. The yield and quality of cotton decreased, and the yield per unit area was estimated to be 15% more than that in the normal year.
At present, the processing equipment of the cotton purchasing enterprises in our city has been overhauled and is waiting for the opening of scales. It is expected that the acquisition will begin after September 10th.
Local cotton production reduction is a foregone conclusion.
This year, cotton production in our city is affected by rain, and cotton production will reach 15%.
It is understood that the critical period of cotton boll forming is continuous. The continuous rainfall has a great influence on cotton growth. The Cotton Bolls at the bottom become black and some flower buds fall off, and the pollination of the buds is also affected.
Cotton production is expected to decrease by 15%-20% over normal years.
In recent days, cotton farmers are picking up the spades and drying them.
It is reported that the processing equipment of local cotton purchasing enterprises has been overhauled and is waiting for Kai Ji purchase. The acquisition is expected to begin after September 10th.
The total output of cotton exceeds supply.
This year Shandong, Hebei, Tianjin and other parts of cotton disaster, but Xinjiang (about half of the country's cotton output) is a bumper harvest year, the world's 2012 cotton supply is still in excess of demand.
According to the data provided by the US Department of agriculture, the total output of cotton in the year 2012 is 24 million 840 thousand tons and the total demand is 23 million 540 thousand tons, when the annual supply exceeds 1 million 300 thousand tons.
The textile industry is seriously depressed and its cotton consumption has dropped significantly.
Since the end of February this year, domestic cotton yarn prices have continued to decline. Due to the rising cost of wages and electricity and the continuous decline of yarn prices in recent two years, the entire textile industry is in a difficult position, and individual businesses are forced to limit production and stop production.
Cotton prices are unlikely to rise substantially this year.
In order to stabilize the market price of cotton and protect the interests of farmers, the state adopted the policy of purchasing and storing up from the 19800 yuan per ton in September 2011.
At the beginning of April this year, the state promulgated the 2012 cotton purchase and storage policy, and the storage price rose to 20400 yuan / ton, an increase of 600 yuan / ton compared with the previous year.
What is the trend of domestic cotton prices in 2012? Due to the large global stock of cotton in 2011 and the oversupply in 2012, textile enterprises are very difficult to produce and operate, and there is no sign of improvement.
With the support of State purchasing and storage policy in 2012, cotton prices will not drop significantly. The overall level of cotton prices should be stabilized at around 20000 yuan / ton.
It is expected that the purchase price of seed cotton will be flat or slightly higher than that of last year, and the possibility of a sharp rise would be minimal.
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