Textile And Garment Industry: Price Trend Is Still Expected To Be Explored Later.

Domestic cotton may go up

July, September. At the foot of Tianshan Mountain, a large piece of cotton is ripening. In this tradition textile During the peak season, the head of the raw materials department of a cotton textile enterprise in Hangzhou is entangled in one thing: "should we increase the stock of cotton?"

Cotton prices have gone through a big lag and back to the starting point two years ago. This year, the domestic textile industry has been troubled by domestic and foreign cotton prices upside down, and the quota of imported cotton has basically been used up. The national development and Reform Commission has launched a new round of cotton temporary storage and storage, which is about to end. The cost of raw materials of domestic enterprises has a lot of pressure.

The inventory of enterprises has been reduced a lot.

Two years ago in early September, the domestic cotton price started from 19000 yuan / ton, rising to 33000 yuan / ton in two months, and it fell back after reaching its peak in February 2011. In September 8th last year, the plan for the temporary purchase and storage of cotton was launched in 2011, and the minimum storage price was 19800 yuan / ton. The domestic cotton price basically oscillate around the central axis of 19800 yuan / ton. This is in sharp contrast to the sharp fall in international cotton prices, which has also led to a sharp rise in the price of cotton within and outside the country. Domestic cotton prices The price of cotton is 4000 yuan / ton higher than foreign cotton. The high cost cotton textile products have no advantage in the international market, and the annual cotton import quota is only a cup of water.

The raw material director of the cotton textile enterprises said that due to the sharp rise in the price difference between inside and outside cotton, under the pressure of cost, "this year, our raw material inventory has been reduced a lot."

In September 3rd, to ease the quota shortage, restrict the low price. Imported cotton The contradiction, and ensure that the cotton spinning enterprises in the use of cotton, national cotton store almost at the same time began to throw store, according to the current 18500 yuan / ton bid price auction. This month, the cotton needed for production can also be obtained from the auction of cotton reserves.

Zhang Xianbin, director of the economic and trade division of the national development and Reform Commission, said that the purpose of putting cotton reserves was to meet the needs of textile enterprises. In October, new cotton would be listed in large quantities, and the reserve was not necessary. After the approval of various departments, the deadline was September 29th, and the bid deadline for textile enterprises was September 20th.

"The number of cotton on the market will be reduced after the dumping is completed, and the cotton price in the market is expected to rise at that time." The person in charge said.

Whether the warehouse enterprises are waiting in the peak season?

In September 7th, the national cotton monitoring price index was 18692 yuan / ton. According to the 2012 cotton temporary storage and purchase plan issued jointly by the eight departments such as the national development and Reform Commission, it has satisfied the condition that the 5 working days are lower than the temporary storage and purchase price of 20400 yuan / ton. In September 10th, the Central Cotton store officially launched the 2012 cotton temporary purchase and storage work.

The provisional storage price of cotton was set at 20400 yuan per ton in 2012, an increase of 600 yuan over the previous year. As of September 17th, a total of 300 thousand tons of storage and purchase plans were issued, with a turnover of 5680 tons.

"Entering the August and September, cotton prices have actually risen a lot more than in June and July. At present, the price of cotton in the market is about 19000 yuan / ton, but the quantity has begun to decrease, and there are signs of sale in the market." The official said that the cotton purchase and storage was officially launched, and the price of 20400 yuan / ton was unlimited. The market price was significantly lower than the purchase price. A large number of new cotton will be selected after entering the market. "From this point of view, we should pay the price of domestic cotton, and we should pay more than the price of throwing the reserve price."

The official said, now is September, the autumn and winter season is coming, originally the traditional textile peak season. According to the current situation, cotton prices will continue to rise, and the cost of raw materials will increase. However, the demand for downstream industries is unknown. The cost of rising is difficult to conduct downward. Indeed, it is hard to see clearly.

The overall impact of Hangzhou enterprises is small.

The pressure from the opposite direction is the shortage of terminal demand. According to customs statistics, 1-8 months, China's clothing exports 99 billion 480 million US dollars, down 0.7% compared with the same period last year; textile exports 62 billion 510 million US dollars, down 0.7% compared with the same period last year; in terms of domestic sales, according to the data released by China Federation of textile industry, since 2012, the growth rate of domestic consumption of textiles and clothing has dropped. In 1-7 months, the actual growth rate of the clothing sales of clothing and footwear and clothing was 13%, down 5.7 percentage points from the same period last year. In 1-7 months, the domestic sales value of textile enterprises above designated size was 2 trillion and 577 billion 30 million yuan, an increase of 12.5% over the same period last year, a decrease of 20.3 percentage points compared with the same period last year.

However, compared to Shandong, Jiangsu and other cotton textile provinces, Zhejiang is less affected. Take Hangzhou as an example, Xiaoshan's textile is mainly made of chemical fiber. Wang Minhong, Secretary General of the Yuhang Home Textile Industry Association, said that the use of whole cotton yarn in Yuhang's home textiles was also less. The Association conducted a survey in June this year, and the impact of cotton price fluctuations on the home textile enterprises in Yuhang is generally small.

"Since the financial crisis, home textile enterprises in Yuhang have strengthened cooperation with downstream industries such as sofa fabric enterprises and direct outlets in addition to strengthening research and development and expanding channels. The export situation of enterprises has declined slightly this year, but overall is relatively stable. Wang Minhong said.