The Overall Situation Of Sichuan'S Business Development After The Earthquake

Since 2008, the macroeconomic situation at home and abroad is facing a complex situation. The US economy tends to decline, commodity prices rise sharply, inflation remains high, the RMB exchange rate accelerates and natural disasters happen frequently. Especially the "5.12" Wenchuan earthquake has brought more serious impact on Sichuan's economy and society.

Facing the future, accurately grasping the situation and actively adopting countermeasures is closely related to the overall situation and long-term development of business.

First, in the first half of the year, our province's business affairs withstood the severe macro situation and the test of earthquake disasters, and achieved better results than expected. Most of the business targets exceeded the predetermined target.

On the whole, in the first half of the year, all the business targets of our province fulfilled the annual target and task progress. The total export volume of the province was 54.1%, the foreign investment contract amount was 93.4%, the actual foreign investment was 88.8%, the foreign cooperative cooperation volume was 67.5%, the foreign investment service was 67.2%, and the number of new overseas investment enterprises was 53.3%.

Due to the serious impact of earthquake disasters, the amount of new contracts signed by foreign economic institutions has been 43.3%, and the total retail sales of social consumer goods in the province has been 48.1%.

Major business indicators have reached the best level in the same period of history.

In the first half of the year, the total import and export volume of the province increased from 6 billion 160 million US dollars to 9 billion 594 million US dollars in the same period last year, an increase of 57.1%, of which the export increased by 5 billion 414 million US dollars, an increase of 45.7%, the import of 4 billion 180 million US dollars, an increase of 74.9%; the contracted foreign capital amount of US $4 billion 204 million, an increase of 2.1 times compared with the same period last year; the actual foreign investment amount was 1 billion 812 million dollars, an increase of 1.1 times compared with the same period last year.

The structure of exports and foreign capital is constantly optimized.

In the first half of the year, the export of mechanical and electrical products and high-tech products were 2 billion 550 million US dollars and 1 billion 10 million US dollars respectively, up 56.5% and 38.8% compared with the same period last year, and the proportion of electromechanical products accounted for 4.4 percentage points of the total export volume of the Province.

Foreign funded enterprises have achieved remarkable results in promoting exports.

In the first half of the year, the foreign contracted projects in the province led exports to US $677 million, an increase of 1.4 times compared with the same period last year, of which the export of Dongfang Electric Power reached US $300 million. The export of Sichuan petroleum, Chengda and provincial machinery enterprises increased rapidly. The increase was more than 2 times. The export of foreign invested enterprises reached US $1 billion 364 million, an increase of 51.5% over the same period last year, accounting for 1 percentage points of the total export volume of the province.

Foreign investment in manufacturing, service and other fields increased rapidly, with manufacturing contract foreign capital and actual foreign investment increasing by 99% and 65.5% respectively.

Two, in the second half of the year, the difficulties faced by the province's business work are greater, the situation is more complicated, and the task of ensuring sustained and stable growth is very arduous. In the environment of high inflation and high cost, business enterprises, especially commercial circulation enterprises and foreign trade enterprises, are facing the test of survival and development.

At present, the inflation pressure faced by our country is obviously different from that in 1988 and 1994.

The current inflation is not only imported inflation pressure from abroad, but also domestic cost push inflation; the pressure of the former is mainly determined by the weak dollar policy and the change of international commodity prices such as crude oil, grain and non-ferrous metals; the latter pressure is due to the normal factors such as rising labor costs and increasing environmental input. Therefore, the test of inflation pressure in the second half of the year is still grim.

In addition, the external demand slowed down significantly due to factors such as the US economic recession, slowing economic growth in Europe and global inflation.

Business enterprises, especially foreign trade enterprises, are facing a double squeeze. In the past, traditional business models which relied on low cost investment and profit were faced with challenges.

How to survive and develop under the background of high inflation and high cost, it is necessary for enterprises to conduct in-depth research from the strategic level and adopt countermeasures according to their own realities.

The risk of domestic and international economic downturn is approaching, and the difficulty of expanding domestic demand is increasing.

With the slowdown in export growth, the decline in consumer expectations and the weakening of fixed asset investment, the three carriages driving domestic economic growth suggest that China's economic downside risks are approaching.

The subprime mortgage crisis and the depreciation of the US dollar have not only caused great distress to the US economy, but also spread to other countries through trade, investment and market confidence. In addition, the inflation pressure of various countries is pressing, and the global economic growth is slowing down and facing downside risks.

According to WTO's preliminary estimate, the growth of global merchandise trade volume in 2008 will decline to the lowest level since 2002.

Consumer confidence in the United States and the European Union has fallen sharply and the purchasing power of the family is weakening, which will further affect China's export growth.

Faced with the risk of domestic and international economic downturn, expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption is arduous. We will face more intense competition in the use of foreign capital and the expansion of international markets.

It is difficult for business enterprises in our province to be independent.

At present, the direction of macroeconomic regulation and control in the process of economic pformation will not change significantly. In the same period, we will continue to focus on the adjustment of industrial structure and promote the pformation of economic growth mode.

Therefore, in the future, the national macro-control will implement more flexible policies and measures in the industry. There will be different pressures and different treatments. Different industries will face different macro-control environment.

At present, the coastal part of the labor intensive production enterprises without brand, scale and low added value are undergoing the pains of industrial pformation and upgrading process. This year, about half of Guangdong's shoe enterprises are forced to withdraw from the international market.

In inland Sichuan, the scale of Commerce and circulation and foreign trade enterprises is generally small, the market competitiveness is not strong, and labor-intensive products exports still account for a large proportion. (the first half of this year, textile, clothing, footwear, furniture and other major labor-intensive products exports accounted for 24.6% of the total export volume of the province).

Under the background of national economic pformation and upgrading, it is difficult for our province's business enterprises to be independent.

How to find the advantages of self development, minimize the impact and impact, and achieve steady development are facing challenges.

After the earthquake disaster, we need to overcome new difficulties and solve new problems.

After the "5.12" Wenchuan earthquake, the commercial facilities in the disaster area of our province were seriously damaged. The negative effects of the earthquake have a greater impact on investment confidence, and the tasks of reconstruction and reconstruction are arduous. All these will bring new difficulties and problems to the development of business.

It is an arduous and urgent task for the vast number of cadres and staff members of the provincial business system to resolve the impact of the disaster, rebuild the confidence of consumers and investors, and quickly restore the business economy in the disaster areas and promote the steady and healthy development of business.

Three, the future development, the province's business efforts should focus on nurturing the incremental optimization structure, and strive to build a new advantage of Sichuan's business development - seize the historic opportunity, firmly grasp the industrial pfer, and enhance the stamina of business development.

Undertaking industrial pfer can not be shaken or relaxed due to the earthquake disaster. It should be taken as the central task of promoting the development of our province's commerce.

At present, the international and domestic macro environment will accelerate the pace of industrial pfer. This is not only the inherent law of industrial development, but also a historic opportunity for the development of economy and Commerce in our province.

Since the beginning of this year, the party committees and governments at all levels in our province have put the undertaking of industrial pfer on an important agenda and achieved initial results.

The business system should stand at the forefront of undertaking industrial pfer, effectively combine the undertaking of industrial pfer with the development of an open economy, combine with the aid work of coastal provinces and cities in disaster areas, and combine with the advantages of Sichuan's industrial development, so that undertaking industrial pfer can become a new driving force for the development of economy and Commerce in our province.

Optimize the structure, improve the quality, and constantly promote the pformation and upgrading of business development.

Under the circumstances of tight international and domestic macro environment, especially under the influence of multiple factors such as high inflation, high cost, interest rate, tax rate, exchange rate and macro industrial policy, extensive development mode is difficult to continue, and it is difficult to ensure long-term development of business, optimize structure and improve quality.

As far as an enterprise is concerned, it is necessary to walk more legs. In addition to strengthening management and reducing costs, we must adjust and optimize the product mix through independent innovation, integrate supply chain, enhance circulation efficiency, expand marketing channels, solve the current difficulties from structural, mode, quality and brand, improve enterprise efficiency and competitiveness, and strive to develop towards the industry supported by the state.

As far as business is concerned, we must focus on maintaining sustained, steady and rapid development of the foreign trade and trade circulation industry, and avoid big ups and downs.

For this reason, first, we must make full use of our policies to support the export of high-tech and mechanical and electrical products enterprises. Two, we should focus on the cultivation of export-oriented enterprises in key industries encouraged by environmental protection, energy conservation and service outsourcing. Three, we should vigorously promote the development of modern service industry and make it a new driving force to promote the upgrading of industrial structure and the economic development of our province.

Focusing on the two markets, integrating internal and external needs, expanding business development space through multiple channels.

First, we should expand the development space in promoting enterprises' "going global".

We should continue to give full play to the advantages of our province's expatriate labor and project contracting, and enlarge and strengthen a number of enterprises by means of enlarging and enriching our province's abundant labor resources, existing production technology and productive capacity.

At the same time, we will promote the agricultural, forestry and resource-based enterprises to go out and seek resources allocation in a broader market space.

Two, expand space for development in the international market.

The global economic downturn, especially the depression of the US and European economies, will face more intense competition in the international market.

At present, while trying to ensure the steady development of the export market in our province, efforts should be made to expand the national and regional markets for better economic growth in Russia, the Middle East and Africa.

In the first half of this year, the Russian economy continued to maintain strong growth. The annual GDP growth rate is expected to increase from 6.7% to 7.1%. The main factor contributing to the rapid economic growth is the strong investment and consumption demand.

The three is to expand the development space in expanding the domestic demand market.

Expanding domestic demand and increasing consumption to stimulate economic development will become a more prominent focus of our macroeconomic policy in the future.

For the Sichuan after the great earthquake, expanding the consumption market and mining the potential of consumption is not only an important field for business development, but also a focal point for ensuring the economic development of Sichuan after the disaster.

- strengthening policy guidance, supporting the strong and strengthening the strong, giving full play to the promotion effect of various commercial policies.

Under the severe macro situation of business work, it is of great significance to support and guide enterprises to carry out structural adjustment, expand development space and deal with operational risks by adopting policies of "real, good use and good use of all aspects".

In the process of macroeconomic regulation and control, business work can not only maintain stable and healthy development, but also build new development advantages, enhance the quality of development and step onto a new development stage.

First, we need to put the existing policies on the cutting edge to ensure the completion of all the objectives and tasks of this year's business work and lay a good foundation for next year's work. Two, we should make good use of the special support policies of the state in implementing the disaster areas, and strive to rebuild and rebuild the business development platform, and strengthen the construction of industrial development platforms such as industrial parks, logistics parks, bonded areas, exhibitions and high-tech zones. Three, we should make good use of the policy of processing trade differences between the central and western regions, and the special policies of macroeconomic regulation and control measures for the earthquake stricken areas, so as to develop special industries.

We will strengthen our confidence and face difficulties and make every effort to rebuild and promote business development.

In the next 2-3 years, post disaster reconstruction will be a major and arduous task for our province, especially in the disaster stricken areas.

We must firmly grasp the post disaster reconstruction and grasp the business development. We must not relax our efforts in the two areas.

We must seize the opportunities for reconstruction and reconstruction and promote the development of a higher starting point. We should make full use of the powerful conditions of Sichuan's post disaster recognition in terms of popularity, state support policies and other provinces' counterpart assistance. We should increase our external publicity efforts and expand our influence. We will restore confidence in foreign investment through various forms of investment promotion activities, strengthen the undertaking of related industries in the eastern coastal areas, and effectively pform the effects of earthquake disasters into the internal driving force for promoting the development of business.