Large Forecast Of Non-Agricultural Foreign Exchange Trend

< p > strong > 1, what is < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/" > non agriculture < /a > < /strong > /p >

< p > non-agricultural data usually refer to the non farm employment rate in the United States. The non-agricultural employment rate and the unemployment rate (Unemployment) are published together. The announcement time is usually the first Friday of each month; < /p >

< p > non-agricultural employment, it can reflect the development and growth of manufacturing industry and service industry. The reduction of numbers represents the reduction of production and the recession of the economy.

When the social economy is relatively fast, the consumption will naturally increase, and the posts in consumption and service industries will also increase.

When the number of non-agricultural employment increases significantly, it shows a healthy economic situation, which should be favorable to the exchange rate theoretically and may indicate higher interest rates. The potential high interest rate makes the foreign exchange market more push the currency value of the country, and vice versa.

Therefore, the data is an important indicator to observe the degree and state of social economic and financial development.

The number of non-agricultural employment is a project in the employment report, which mainly focuses on changes in jobs other than agricultural production.

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< p > employment report (TheEmploymentReport), including employment related information, was obtained by two independent surveys, namely enterprise survey and family survey.

Among them, the survey provides information on the employment situation of the non-agricultural sector, the average hourly work and the total hourly index; and family surveys provide information about labor, family employment and unemployment rates.

Employment reports are often referred to as "crown jewels" in all economic indicators that the foreign exchange market can respond to. They are the most sensitive monthly economic indicators in the market. Investors can usually see a lot of sensitive information from the market. Foreign exchange markets pay special attention to seasonal changes in the number of non farm payrolls.

The non farm employment data in the United States is one of the most important economic data in the foreign exchange market. The emergence of the data may become a turning point in determining the direction of the foreign exchange market, and may also bring intense fluctuations to the foreign exchange market, which will lead to a vague market direction.

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< p > < strong > two, < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/ > > non agriculture < /a > the effect of data on the exchange rate < /strong > /p >

< p > first, we should have a clear understanding of the relationship between gold and the US dollar, because gold is priced in US dollars. At the same time, because the Jamaica agreement put gold on the historical stage, the initiator of the history was the United States, and the United States' gold reserve was the first place in more than 8000 countries.

Therefore, the trend of the US dollar has always been a gold vane. The historical relationship between the two countries is negatively related. When the US dollar is strong, gold shows very weak, which has created a historical high of gold rising from more than 500 US dollars to 1032 US dollars.

But we also see that since the outbreak of the financial crisis, gold and the US dollar are sometimes positively related, and the trend is also making ordinary investors lose their reliance on the trend of the exchange rate.

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< p > secondly, the impact of the US non-agricultural data on the US dollar will be pmitted to the foreign exchange market. The magnitude of the two will certainly be inconsistent. Therefore, the results of the US non farm data will first affect the US dollar trend and have a major impact on the foreign exchange market.

On the trend of gold, Xiaobian thinks that it is almost passive fluctuations at the same time.

This means that it is too late to enter the market when the non-agricultural data are released.

At the same time, according to the quality of the data, it will be time-consuming to decide the direction and market of foreign exchange buying and selling.

Therefore, it is recommended that everyone enter the market before the publication of the data. After the announcement, they tend to be full of concussion and trapping, and the sharp fluctuations of the data immediately after the announcement of the data will lead traders to increase the trading point and make the traders pay a higher cost.

It's not easy to make a deal.

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< p > Third, the impact of data on the exchange rate is basically related to the impact of the trend, that is, the news affects the price or the price confirms the news.

It is even more important not to discuss that here.

For the impact of non-agricultural data, there must be some gold prices. When the change of non-agricultural data is uncertain, first of all, we should take a look at the trend of foreign exchange itself. Combined with the fundamental factors and the trend of technology that affect foreign exchange prices, Xiaobian believes that before the announcement of non-agricultural data, the key should focus on the impact of technological aspects, that is, the position of technology exchange rate is very important.

Any information will be confirmed in the trend of technology.

The role of technical analysis is to reveal and predict the future trend ahead of time. After the announcement of non-agricultural information, the trend is only verified or corroborated. < /p >

< p > Fourth, before the publication of the data, a long period of analysis of the exchange rate, for example, from the monthly and weekly and daily lines, is to establish the current trend in a longer cycle. For example, the gold price of non-agricultural data to be released on the evening of 06 / 04 is located near the US $1200, which is near the highest historical value of 1248 US dollars, and is located near the location of the gold historical high adjustment. This determines that the trend is still bullish, and at the same time, there will be more adjustment demand when there is no breakthrough historical high 1248 US dollars.

Secondly, we establish a supportive key position of US $1198 and US $1187, setting US $1166 for long-term trends.

With these positions as the foundation, we will not always think about the market adjustment of the market after the announcement of non-agricultural data, because yesterday's Japanese K-line is the giant Yin callback, the main keynote should be adjusted, and selling short is the main choice.

In this direction, we should give enough vigilance to the concussion after the non-agricultural data; < /p >

< p > fifth, of course, there is also a big impact on the trend of the exchange rate. For investors, the situation of each investor is different. Different investors and investors with different positions should have different choices, including psychological quality, mainly whether the psychological quality of trading is stable or not, and so on, and the non-agricultural data will not determine the general trend of foreign exchange.

Therefore, small capital, prudent investment, investors with larger positions and locked investors can choose to wait and see; ultra short line investors can adopt the two handed way of operation, keep the key support and resistance, see the direction of breakthrough after non-agricultural, and break the direction in which direction to operate.

Here is a difficult point is the temptation of market temptation, Xiaobian believes that to break this market difficulty must have backhand thinking and preparation.

Once the direction is not stopped, backhand is the way to catch the larger fluctuation interest.

Of course, it may also continue to make mistakes, then stop the loss, investment is to take certain risks to achieve certain profits, but each loss is less than the profit.

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< p > < strong > three, for non-agricultural a href= "http://www.91se91.com/" > foreign exchange < /a > how to do the single < /strong > /p >

< p > how to make a list of non-agricultural data? Before that, let's analyze: why do some non-agricultural people lose money badly?

We have done a comparison to see if they have had the same situation.

Generally speaking, there are two or three common ways of losing money when people who are inexperienced and skilled but do not do farm work. First, they have made a two-way hedging method and set up profits and stop losses. The profit and stop loss have been much larger than usual. Because they are afraid of losing too much, they dare not put them in a bigger position.

There is a possibility of two-way and one-way stops.

Some stops are near the resistance level.

We all know that non-agricultural fluctuations are very large, of course, we will test resistance level.

So this kind of thing happens when the stop loss is turned back.

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< p > generally speaking, our most common loss is also the most miserable loss. This is the case to be mentioned below. We may have many / empty positions before data.

However, the data and our direction were reversed. We failed to stop the losses in time. As a result, we saw that the deficit continued to expand, and we cut down the loss position when we could not afford it.

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After P, it didn't take long for the exchange rate to turn back. Looking back at the exchange rate, I regretted that I should not just cut it down. I was worried when I watched the fluctuation. What did I do? I kept thinking about how to make a single one and make up for the loss.

It's hard to wait until a good chance that he thinks he is coming in again.

The result is just in, the direction is gone again! And there is the feeling of speeding up! Looking at your account and losing money in your heart, that's sad! < /p >

< p > loss eye enlargement. What can we do? No way to lose again! We must think of a way! Indecisive while the loss is widened again! In the heart, we even regret it! Cut it again! No matter how much the loss is, we cut it again! Once again, we have just cut and turned back! How do we go to the exchange rate?

What can I do? There is nothing I can do.

Do it again, and then cut it again! Almost, the market is calm.

Looking back, it is the worst position to cut down! It is also the worst place to lose. Once again, the market will have a certain direction.

But is there any more courage to build a warehouse at this time? Dare not!! < /p >

< p > analyze the cause of the mistake and find the mistake is very simple.

First, there is no real analysis of the effects and consequences of data, two did not expect foreign exchange volatility to have a range.

Three found that at that time there was no technology and fundamentals in mind. What was totally thought of was fluctuations and losses, and thought of how to recover the losses! < /p >

< p > summarize the above factors, grasp the impact of non-agricultural data on the foreign exchange market, and use this trend to make a brief review of foreign exchange investment. < /p >

< p > 1, the main trend of technical analysis is short or long, the length of time period between long and short runs; < /p >

< p > 2, the response of the basic market before the non-agricultural data is also the comparison between the expected non-agricultural data and the previous data, which will generally judge the quality of the data and the impact on foreign exchange; < /p >

< p > 3, do well in the key positions near the two hands to prepare, from the trend of the market to determine the situation and prepare for the position of intervention, take a batch intervention and light warehouse ahead of the way, to reduce the risk of smaller.

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< p > 4, abandoning the impact of non-agricultural nights on the foreign exchange market, choosing to wait and see or the non-agricultural shocks to intervene before the market is over, this choice is not a good choice.

It is very important for small capital customers and heavy customers.

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< p > 5, do not wait for the data to be released before placing the order. This kind of operation is often faced with larger points, delays in pactions, and the temptation to attract more and more investors.

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< p > < strong > four, non-agricultural operation method < /strong > < /p >

Method 1: one way to lock the warehouse receipts in the non-agricultural market is to lock the warehouse list. You can look at the 5 minute line, which is relatively low and relatively high. If you can get a little profit, you will make a fee. If you feel this is more troublesome, you can directly enter the warehouse receipt, and then divide into two ways 1 minutes before or after the announcement is 3: give the two single, like the 25 point stops in the US and Japan, 60 points to stop the profits, and more profit and loss ratio can be set up for the British and Japanese, so that the news will be knocked out by the usual two P, and you will get rid of the handling fee about 29 points.

Method 2: two single only set up to stop earnings according to the expected information in the 50 to 80 interval, after the news, a single blow out, another single can be closed according to the situation, only in very good and very bad data in these two cases, it is possible to take a unilateral City, even if it will go out of the unilateral market will also have callbacks.

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< p > method two: two-way list, hang up a high point about 30 points or 3 minutes before the non-agricultural data come out, and set up a 30 point profit before hanging up 30 points.

(there are different points in different currencies). After a single paction, the other one is not deleted.

What if the data do not have such a large impact on the profit of 30 points?

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Method three: Method: 3 minutes before the news release, make a list according to the expected information, do the same according to the expected information, be restricted by profit and stop loss, at a profit and loss ratio of at least 2:1, with a small profit and a large profit. This will be three times non-agricultural success, and generally it can maintain a capital reserve < /p > P.

Method four: according to the size of the non-agricultural data and other data, then make a list. According to the actual situation of the news, make callbacks or take advantage of the callbacks and follow the trend. Combined with the brin belt and RSI operation, the key to the operation of the four methods is the general prediction of the impact of the important news on the corresponding currency. Through this prediction, the profit will be set up. As long as the stop loss is ensured not to be knocked out before the news is released, there is also the time to set up the stop loss point, and the closer the news announcement is, the better the P will be.

The eight point is back, the threshold of zero account opening, and the second second of capital.

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< p > < strong > five, making investment requires developing good trading habits < /strong > < /p >

< p > after the recent years of wind and rain baptism, most of the domestic margin trading investors have 1-2 or 3-5 years of investment experience.

Everyone is striving for an ideal result, but in fact, not everyone can get what they want, and most investors have not yet fulfilled their expectations.

So, what is the reason behind this? How can investors get the results they want? < /p >

< p > the answer lies in habits, trading habits, trading habits determine the outcome of the paction, correct trading habits produce the right trading results, erroneous trading habits result in erroneous trading results, and the pursuit of correct results with wrong habits is like seeking a fish in the woods.

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< p > most investors are often confused by opportunities and interests at the beginning, ignoring the old motto of "everything is done ahead of time."

Very few people can get the correct and effective guidance at the beginning. After a rush, they will be confused by the ups and downs and profits and losses.

When we were worried, we found that we had made a lot of bad habits and had developed a lot of bad habits.

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< p > the power of habit is immense.

Human nature is like a river in the mountains, always looking for the path of least resistance.

Especially in the face of uncertainty, people will instinctively follow the old habits, not too late to consider whether the old habits are correct.

As a result, bad habits continue to function and fall into vicious cycles again and again.

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"P > habits once formed, it is difficult to change.

This is a man's inertia.

But the wrong habits must be changed, and only by changing the wrong habits into the right habits can investors get the desired results.

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< p > changing habits can start with reducing paction frequency.

Because the higher the frequency of trading, the more decisions you make in a short time, the easier it is for people to follow past habits. Once the trading frequency is lowered, investors will have more time to think and make decisions, which will have the possibility of changing past habits.

Since few people can get professional guidance and training at the very beginning, most investors still need to cross the river by feeling the stones instead of jumping into the river before 37 twenty-one.

For most people, in the absence of guidance, it may be more practical to make a deal once a week, and more likely to get the desired results.

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< p > there are many paths to go from a wrong habit to a correct habit.

So is there any shortcut? Shortcuts exist.

The shortcut is that we do not need to know or even experience all the wrong habits in order to find the right habits, but to develop the right habits directly. The shortcut lies in not starting from the wrong habits, but from the right habits. The shortcut lies in not finding the right from wrong, but by checking the correct habits with behavior.

The shortcut lies in understanding, learning, developing and maintaining the correct trading habits.

To do this, first of all, you need to find a teacher who is willing to guide you.

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< p > for most people who have developed some bad habits and want to get the result of the paction they want, what they need now is to turn over a new leaf and redo "man".

The speed of your change determines the speed of your goal and determines the speed of your success.

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< p > wrong habits will cause harm, but correct habits will bring joyful results.

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