The Central Economic Work Conference Is About To Close. Next Year'S Three Major Goals Seek Balanced Development.

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"P > < a href=" http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp "> Central Economic Work Conference < /a > closing soon. Economists who interviewed by the economic reference Daily recently predicted that macroeconomic policies will continue to be positive next year, a href=" http://sjfzxm.com/news/ index_x.asp "> fiscal policy < /a > and moderate monetary policy with neutral characteristics.

Next year, a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp" > economic policy < /a > will seek a multi objective balance while pursuing "structural adjustment", "steady growth" and "promoting reform", "a href=" http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp "three goals" /a ".

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< p > economists believe that pursuing a multi objective balance requires maintaining continuity and stability of policies, stabilizing market expectations, releasing firm signals to push forward structural adjustment to society, and providing necessary space for market self-regulation; on the other hand, comprehensively promoting market oriented reform in heavy spot areas, creating a fair competition market environment, and laying a solid foundation for the market to play a decisive role in resource allocation.

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< p > "the overall economic stability of the current economy has been stabilized. At the same time, the effect of previous rounds of regulation has helped the new government realize that maintaining policy stability is more conducive to stabilizing economic growth than strengthening regulation.

Based on this understanding, it is expected that the macroeconomic regulation and control policy will continue to match the pattern of positive fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy next year, but the specific emphasis does not exclude the possibility of fine-tuning.

Gao Peiyong, director of the financial and Strategic Research Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (Caiyuan), told the economic reference daily.

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The meeting of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China held in December 3rd P was held by economists as a policy keynote for next year's economic work.

The Politburo meeting pointed out that in 2014, we should continue to adhere to the general keynote of steady progress and reform all aspects of economic and social development, so as to reform and promote innovation and development, improve the means of regulation and control, strengthen the endogenous driving force of the pformation of economic development mode, speed up the adjustment and optimization of economic structure, and strengthen the construction of basic public service system, so that the broad masses of the people can share the fruits of reform and development, and promote sustained and healthy economic development and social harmony and stability.

The meeting made it clear that the continuity and stability of policies should be maintained and the reform of key areas should be actively promoted.

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< p > Li Boxi, a researcher at the State Council Development Research Center, said that China's economy has entered a stage of rapid development at present. The Central Committee of the party and the State Council has correctly recognized and judged this policy and adopted the policy of "steady growth and structural adjustment". This is very correct. In 2014, we should continue to pursue such a macro policy orientation.

China's economy has entered a new stage of development and is undergoing profound pformation and structural adjustment, which is very necessary.

CCP financial commentator Su Pei Ke also said that 2014 is the first year to implement the decision of "a href=" http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp "the third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee" /a "and" some major issues concerning deepening the reform in a comprehensive way "." structural adjustment "and" steady growth "are parallel to" promoting reform "." stability "is" steady and promising "and" steady progress ". It should complement the" adjustment structure ", advance in the market forces, stimulate the endogenous driving force of the economy, encourage private investment and consumption growth, accelerate the rapid development of the third industry, and achieve structural balance.

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< p > Li Yang, vice president of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, believes that macroeconomic policies aimed at adjusting the structure and nurturing future economic growth can be summarized as "macro stability and micro invigorating".

The core of this policy pformation is to shift from focus on demand management to the cultivation of supply mechanism and turn to factors such as incentives, efficiency, competition, productivity and capital formation, which are conducive to improving potential output.

Such a macroeconomic policy will be a set of deregulation policy systems and reform arrangements to stimulate market vitality.

It aims to stimulate the vitality of enterprises by reforming a series of institutional mechanisms, such as lowering market access threshold, reducing tax burden and reducing financing costs. By lifting various rigid institutional mechanisms and improving the efficiency of factor markets, the competitiveness of the whole economy can be enhanced.

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< p > < a href= "http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp > > seeking multi-objective balance < /a > put forward new requirements for the economic policy of 2014.

First of all, in the macro policy level, we need to implement a proactive fiscal policy and a prudent monetary policy, but the emphasis should be on the supply side management.

"In 2014, the positive fiscal policy should focus on the combination of short-term and long-term results, not only for steady growth, but also for fostering future economic growth points.

By optimizing investment direction, promoting economic restructuring and promoting economic restructuring, we will achieve more robust and balanced growth.

Li Xuesong, deputy director of the number of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said.

He gave four specific suggestions: continue to improve the structural tax reduction policy, support the development of the real economy, especially small and micro enterprises; maintain a stable fiscal deficit rate, optimize the debt structure, make good use of incremental funds, improve the efficiency of the use of financial funds, rationally control the level of local government debt, and effectively prevent and control local debt risks.

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< p > < < a href= > http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp > > monetary policy > /a > Wang Yi, deputy director of the investigation and Statistics Department of the people's Bank of China, thinks that the key points are four, including: introducing the deposit insurance system as soon as possible, steadily promoting the marketization of interest rates, improving the financial macro-control system, promoting the issuance of interbank certificates of deposits, promoting interbank business securitisation, regulating the development of interbank business, improving the level of banking competition, promoting the healthy development of banking industry, regulating the disguised loan business aimed at circumvention of macro prudential policies, and promoting the sunshine of "shadow banks".

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< p > in terms of industrial policy, the effective solution to the problem of excess capacity will be given priority consideration.

Wang Jian, the Secretary General of the Chinese society of macroeconomics, told the economic reference newspaper: "the correct understanding of the contradiction is the starting point for solving the contradiction. Then what is the main contradiction in China? I think it is overproduction, so the reform and structural adjustment should be carried out around this center, otherwise it is difficult to see the effect."

Li Yang also said that one of the main tasks of China's macroeconomic regulation and control in the future is to effectively solve the problem of overcapacity in China.

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< p > however, solving the problem of excess will be combined with promoting reform.

The national development and Reform Commission General Secretary said that in 2014, we should further optimize the economic structure and improve the institutional mechanism conducive to resolving the problem of overcapacity.

Li Yang said that the policy tools to solve excess capacity should be sought through reform, mainly from suppliers.

We must abandon the traditional way of eliminating excess capacity by creating new investment demand. We should finally reduce the blind growth of China's capacity by reducing government intervention and giving full play to the role of enterprises and the market.

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< p > Zhang Ping, deputy director of the Institute of economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, predicts that China will comprehensively promote fiscal reform, financial reform, state-owned enterprise reform, administrative system reform and price reform in 2014.

他對《經濟參考報》記者說，在＜a href="http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp"＞財稅改革＜/a＞方面，國家、地方資產負債表的編制工作將繼續開展，以加強對投資主體的監控，同時研究中央、地方支出劃分比例，資源稅改革以及消費稅征稅范圍也將擴大;在金融改革方面，民資銀行設立門檻將降低，國家將新設立一批政策性金融機構，儲蓄保險建設將加快，匯率浮動比率將加大，自貿區試點將加快;在＜a href="http://sjfzxm.com/news/index_x.asp"＞國企改革＜/a＞方面，國資委定位將逐步轉變，從原先管國有企業資產負債表全表到只管所有者權益一部分，國資委的工作將專注于資本增值;在行政體制改革方面，簡政放權將進一步加大力度;在價格改革方面，公共產品價格改革范圍將擴大。

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