Cotton Policy Reform Or Pilot Xinjiang
< p > in the past two years, China's current < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > cotton < /a > purchasing and storage policy has brought great pressure to cotton enterprises, coupled with insufficient domestic and foreign market demand, the rise of labor costs, production costs and the difference between domestic and foreign cotton prices, and the competitiveness of domestic cotton textile enterprises has dropped significantly.
What is exciting is that the cotton policy which has been criticized for a long time has finally been good news in the near future.
In 2014, the state will no longer carry out the cotton purchase and storage policy, and will start a pilot project in Xinjiang for the rising Cotton Subsidy.
Although the country has not issued any official documents to confirm the news, it seems to be "finalized" in the eyes of the industry.
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At the same time, the the third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee communiqu of the party clearly pointed out that we should improve the price formation mechanism of agricultural products and pay attention to the role of the market in forming the price of P.
Insiders pointed out that this is a very important policy guideline for solving the market allocation problem of cotton.
In addition, the rumors of the abolition of the cotton purchase and storage policy seem to have reason to believe that the cotton market will start to adjust from the way of policy intervention to market regulation.
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< p > < strong > cotton picking is basically finished. The profits of the processing enterprises shrink < /strong > /p >
< p > this year is the first year of the implementation of the new standard of GB1103.1 "cotton fine pile cotton sawtooth processing". The state strictly controls the quality of cotton storage and storage, and cotton enterprises and cotton farmers are deeply aware of "no bottom", which leads to slow progress in storage and storage.
At the same time, many cotton processing enterprises said that this year's cotton processing profit decreased.
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< p > at present, the new cotton harvest in 2013 is basically over, and the purchase and storage of cotton is coming to an end.
According to the China Cotton Association survey, as of the end of November, the average picking rate of cotton growers in the whole country was 99.6%, 1.9 percentage points faster than the same period last year; the progress of sale was 77.7%, slowing down 5 percentage points compared with that of the same period last year; the average selling price of cotton seed cotton in November was 8.26 yuan / kg, up 2.3% over the same period last year.
The total output of cotton surveyed showed that the total output of cotton in the whole country was 6 million 770 thousand tons in 2013, a decrease of 12.5% compared with the same period last year.
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"P > September 9, 2013, China reserve cotton Management Corporation issued" China reserve cotton management general company <2013 cotton temporary storage plan > implementation method ", the storage price is still 20400 yuan / ton unchanged, but the storage conditions and the quality of cotton quality requirements are relatively improved.
In the implementation method, the deposit was raised from 300 yuan / ton in 2012 to 500 yuan / ton, which put forward "harsh" requirements for color grade, length grade, horse clone value grade, length uniformity, fracture ratio strength, rolling quality, heterosexual fiber and other quality.
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< p > this year is the first year of the implementation of < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_q.asp" > cotton new standard < /a >. Most enterprises say that there is no bottom in mind. For what kind of cotton is not enough to buy and store, it is very cautious in the early stage of cotton purchase.
In addition, more weather disasters this year, cotton production in many areas is serious, cotton growers have higher expectations for prices.
The mood of selling is heavy. It can be said that multiple factors are doomed to the "slow" tone of cotton purchase and storage in 2013.
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< p > in addition, the shrinkage of cotton processing enterprises' profit also makes the purchase not active.
This year, cotton 328B level storage price is consistent with last year, but the market purchase price has risen a lot, which is suffering from the middle cotton processing enterprises.
A person in charge of an enterprise in Cangzhou, Hebei, said that when the State purchasing and storage work was just launched in 2011, the profits of the storage and storage enterprises were all above 2000 yuan / ton, which dropped to 1000 yuan / ton in 2012, and dropped to 300 yuan / ton ~500 yuan / ton in 2013.
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< p > < strong > National Cotton store has low enthusiasm for auction, and imported cotton is still favored. < /strong > < /p >
< p > the cotton throwing and storage price is basically consistent with the market expectations. After several rounds of national cotton storage, the enterprises obviously lack enthusiasm for the auction.
Compared with domestic cotton, imported cotton is obviously superior to its quality and price advantage.
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< p > November 28th, the launching of the national cotton store.
The sale of 1~7 in the year of this year, according to the original national standard of 2011 cotton reserves, 328B standard class bidding price of 18000 yuan / ton.
If there is no suspense price and the quality of cotton that is not "high-grade" is the reason why the enterprises are not enthusiastic about bidding, then the textile cotton enterprises must deposit a margin of not less than 500 thousand yuan in the trading market before they participate in the paction.
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The quality problem of < p > national cotton reserves has always been controversial.
A textile enterprise in Shijiazhuang, Hebei, said that enterprises had to arrange special personnel to pick and shoot cotton, which increased manpower costs.
The problem of "three wires" has increased their cost per ton of yarn by about 500 yuan. Moreover, because of the unclean selection, jumpers and broken yarns are constantly emerging in the spinning process.
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Compared with P, imported cotton and imported yarns are more favored by textile enterprises.
Almost all the cotton sold this year were sold, while the turnover rate of domestic cotton was only around 50%.
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< p > in addition, domestic textile enterprises have imported cotton yarns from India and Pakistan in order to reduce production costs, so as to increase their competitive advantage in the market.
Customs statistics show that 1~10 months, China's cotton yarn imports totaled 1 million 751 thousand tons, an increase of 44.2% over the same period.
It can be said that the import price of cotton yarn has been in a state of fire since the high price of cotton both inside and outside China.
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< p > < a > href= > http://www.91se91.com/news/index_q.asp > > strong > policy > /strong > /a > strong > good news. Cotton planting area is hard to decline. < /strong > /p >
"P > 2013, the good news from the policy level is exhilarating, but insiders say that the new regulatory means will have an impact on cotton prices in China, but it is difficult to prevent the decline of cotton planting area in China.
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< p > at present, the United States is the most mature country in the cotton direct subsidy system in the world. Subsidies include production subsidies, sales subsidies and trade subsidies. Among them, production subsidies (including direct subsidies and anti crisis subsidies) and sales subsidies are aimed at cotton farmers.
From the practical experience of the United States, the direct subsidy has given the cotton price reduction space, so that its domestic cotton has a strong price comparative advantage in the international market.
China's industry has repeatedly recommended to the United States to learn, implement cotton direct subsidy policy, so that cotton prices to achieve market regulation.
And this proposal will become a reality in 2014.
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< p > although there is no official information on the implementation of cotton direct subsidy and the abolition of the cotton purchase and storage policy, this is the trend of the times: on the one hand, since the implementation of the temporary cotton purchase and storage policy in 2011, the state has temporarily collected and stored about 10 million tons of cotton, and the pressure on reserve cotton inventory and fiscal policy is enormous. On the other hand, domestic and foreign cotton prices will eventually need to be integrated.
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< p > the policy of temporary cotton purchase and storage with strong administration will end. The Cotton Subsidy Policy to strengthen the market role is expected to be formally promulgated next year.
Analysts believe that after the abolition of temporary cotton storage and storage, the main factor affecting the domestic cotton prices in the first three quarters of 2014 is still throwing and storing prices.
At present, the stock of national storage cotton stores exceeds the amount of cotton used in China in one year, and the large storage cost and loss cost make the national reserve face greater pressure of throwing and storing.
In the long run, cotton direct subsidy will be more vigorous after the implementation of cotton direct subsidy, and cotton planting area and output will increase. Cotton purchase and storage will only serve as a very useful tool to regulate cotton prices, and cotton prices will return to market.
With the drop in domestic prices and the expectation of direct subsidy, domestic cotton prices will not be in line with international cotton prices.
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< p > because of the rising cost of cotton planting and the implementation of the current cotton policy, the cotton planting area in most cotton planting areas has been decreasing year by year.
Ma Junkai, Deputy Secretary General of Dezhou Cotton Association of Shandong Cotton Association, said in an interview that the market control of cotton will have an impact on cotton prices in China, but the cotton planting area in Shandong will still decline.
According to the survey, next year's cotton planting area in Dezhou, Shandong will decline by about 20%.
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< p > short term, the effect of market regulation policy may not be so obvious, but in the long run, "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp "cotton farmers < /a" may restore confidence in planting cotton.
For textile enterprises which are limited by cotton cost for a long time, it can be said that the benefits are the most. The combination of domestic and foreign cotton prices can greatly reduce production costs, especially for export oriented enterprises, and the market competitiveness will be greatly enhanced.
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