Experts Predict: China'S Financial Turmoil Is Coming.

< p > a lot of netizens asked experts what they said last year. Since February 5th, international capital has begun to encircle and suppress the RMB.

What the expert can answer is: it has already started.

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Since P February 5th, the "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp "RMB" /a "has continued to decline in the offshore market, only 9 days, and has lost 1/4 of last year's gains. At the same time, the central parity of the RMB against the US dollar has continued to decline, from 6.04 to 6.07.

This is the first wave of the financial turmoil and the beginning of the sale of Renminbi assets.

Only when a large number of Renminbi assets are sold, will the renminbi depreciate.

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< p > to broaden the horizons of global capital market, emerging markets are already in a mess, and almost all of them collapse.

As we have said before, most currencies have problems.

The collapse of the Hongkong property market is because a large number of houses are purchased by the renminbi and one of the targets of Renminbi assets. They are being sold short by international capital and the collapse of 1997 is entirely possible.

Mainland China began selling the renminbi assets from Li Jiacheng, but the decline of second-hand property in the first tier cities was also a phenomenon. However, there was no sharp fall, but sooner or later it will come.

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< p > selling the subject matter of RMB assets is the first wave of China's < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_f.asp" > financial storm > /a >, which is irresistible.

Before the earthquake, pigs and rats felt differently.

For those experts who have been observing the financial crisis in China, it seems that the situation of the Alps avalanche will appear and the feeling of destroying everything will be reflected in the market.

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< p > < strong > China Central Bank will polish bullet > /strong > /p >

< p > polishing bullets is a basic assessment of the central bank's behavior in the financial market by the experts in writing "currency wolf smoke".

The Central Bank of China will reveal the crisis.

Sure enough, the "rigid payment" of Zhongcheng trust is a typical solution to totalitarian states, just like the Soviet Union's Gorbachev era.

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In addition to that, experts found some strange phenomena in the international capital market. First, 7 days ago, when the US dollar index was rising to 81.20, gold also rose sharply. P

This behavior is against the basic trend of US dollar gold, because the US dollar rises, and a lot of money will buy gold into the US dollar, so the rise in the US dollar will inevitably lead to a fall in gold, and this trend shows that a large amount of capital is pulling up gold. This force comes from China.

Lou Jiwei, chairman of the China Central Bank, once said that China CIC held gold position, which has been discovered by experts and reminded the market on micro-blog.

This time, the central bank bought the Morgan chase 20 tons of gold for the two time. Experts can see that the Central Bank of China will come to suppress the US dollar index, and the most powerful weapon to suppress the US dollar index is to pull up the price of gold.

Once this kind of human behavior is seen by the market, international capital will stand up and compete with the renminbi, and a good play will be staged.

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< p > because a href= "http://fz.sjfzxm.com/", "central bank, /a" and so on, all crises need to be covered. Sooner or later, they will finish bullets. Only when they are completely unable to pay, will they give up.

The foreign exchange reserves in essence are the liabilities of the Chinese government and enterprises to the United States. During the period of economic prosperity, because of the continuous appreciation of the RMB, many people realized that the foreign exchange reserves were created by the Chinese people. In fact, in the period of the appreciation of the dollar, as long as the renminbi falls, foreign exchange reserves will show flaws. Finally, it is not that China has 3 trillion and 400 billion dollars in foreign exchange reserves, but that these foreign exchange reserves will be exhausted and China will still owe a huge amount of foreign debt. When writing the book "inflation deflation in China", the analysis of the experts at that time was that China owed 750 billion dollars in foreign debt at last. This did not count the overseas debts of Chinese developers and the trust products of overseas Chinese real estate (market area), which was 600 billion dollars, and now it is breaking through 800 billion dollars. Many people think that China has 3 trillion and 400 billion dollars in foreign exchange reserves. The central bank can use it. It's a laughing stock. China.

This external debt will cause the Chinese government and developers to go bankrupt together.

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It is the last struggle of the people's Bank of China that P bullets will be defeated.

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< p > < strong > there are several crises in the future < /strong > < /p >.

< p > in writing "currency wolf smoke", the experts set up several models, including RMB appreciation cycle, RMB a href= "http://pop.sjfzxm.com/popimg/fz/index.aspx" > asset bubble /a > how big is it, one is exchange rate model, which is in this book, one is the pformation of RMB model in 2014.

That's how crises should arise.

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< p > China's banknote printing is mainly based on the US dollar, which will reverse the cycle of the appreciation of the dollar, because the direction of the hot money has changed fundamentally. It is no longer flowing into China but escaping from China. The short selling of the renminbi assets is only the first wave of the crisis, that is to say, it has just started.

The second wave is that they will not hold renminbi, but instead convert the renminbi into US dollars. The central bank will be forced to release the US dollar, which is actually canceling the corresponding RMB. This will result in monetary tightening. The greater the RMB asset bubble, the more the renminbi will be canceled.

As you may imagine, the Chinese market is only a step away from flooding to dry pools.

The naked streak of RMB and RMB assets will start.

The third wave is that the demand for the dollar will soared. Before the Japanese bubble burst, the amount of foreign exchange held by the private sector was only 700 billion US dollars and increased to 5 trillion US in just one year. This is what happened at this stage. Think of the current China, 38 trillion of the deposits of urban and rural residents in such a short period of time to become the rival disc of the people's currency.

This time is the first tier cities, housing prices cliff is the time to fall, no one can stop.

In this way, the RMB has become devalued to the domestic appreciation, and the internal appreciation is the sharp drop in house prices. The depreciation of the foreign currency is a sharp fall against the US dollar.

This is monetary behavior, and it is national.

Such a cycle of continuous wave, the financial crisis broke out.

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< p > < strong > to talk about Japan's < /strong > < /p >.

< p > a TV real estate column at that time, when the Japanese bubble burst, it preached that house prices would rise for another 10 years. The host appeared on a street in Tokyo and was assaults by angry people. These people were residents whose assets had shrunk by more than 80%.

At that time, all Japanese city dwellers saw this news in television and newspapers, and laughed unhappily.

In Japan, there was a weekly magazine called alchemy. It was a crazy advocate of a house price bubble. After the bubble burst, a group of alchemists enthusiastically rushed to the site of this weekly. After a frenzy of smashing, a large number of weekly magazines were sold out in the warehouse and burned in the streets. The news was headlines in the times square of New York, and was ridiculed by the people all over the world.

Such a thing will appear in China from 2014 to 2015.

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