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Analysis Of The Dispute Between Taiwan And The Policy Of Trade In Services

2014/3/27 17:32:00 64

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Taiwan Trade And Clothing Agreement Policy

June 21, 2013, the two sides of the Strait signed the "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp "cross strait service trade agreement < /a > (Shanghai trade agreement, or trade in services). The signing of the agreement on trade in services is an important achievement in the follow-up negotiations between the two sides of the Straits. It marks significant progress in the process of institutionalization and institutionalization of the economic and trade relations between the two sides of the Straits. ECFA 
 of course, this agreement must be approved by the Legislative Council of Taiwan. The problem also came into being. The Kuomintang side advocated that the Democratic Progressive Party and the green camp would obstruct everything. The time of the tug of war was in 2014. 
In P, March 17th, Taiwan blue and green parties once again clashed in the legislature. The Kuomintang launched a surprise attack and announced that the trade in services agreement had been over 3 months' review period. It was deemed to have been examined according to law. The whole case was sent to the Council for investigation and a direct vote was made on the 21 day. 
The "P" KMT raid caused strong dissatisfaction among the green camp and anti trade people. On the evening of 18, nearly 200 protesting students broke through the outer warning line and rushed into the "Legislative Yuan". The students who occupy the Legislative Yuan have not been withdrawn so far, and the functions of the legislature in Taiwan have been paralyzed. 
After P occupied the "Legislative Yuan", Taiwan's anti trade and trade personage "went to the next city" and rushed into Taiwan's "Executive Yuan" on the evening of 23. On the morning of 24, Taiwan police forced the anti business people to occupy the "Executive Yuan" and arrested 61 people on the spot. Xie Changting, chairman of the former Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), was hit by a high pressure water column in chaos. 
 in my view, whether the occupation of the "Legislative Yuan" or the occupation of "Executive Yuan" is the essence of the issue, which is a dispute between Taiwan and foreign trade policy. On the left, it is to strengthen economic and trade relations with the mainland; right, is to move closer to the United States and join the US led span Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP). 
 at present, both sides of blue and green are in a difficult position. Some experts predict that after the fight, the two sides will eventually pass the review of the trade in services agreement. This view needs to be verified by experiments. But one thing is for sure. Because the "seven in one" election at the end of the year and the general election in 2016, the sooner the trade agreement is passed, the more favourable it will be for the Kuomintang. 
 as for joining TPP, in my opinion, although the views of the two sides are identical, it is not easy for Taiwan to join the organization. 
The predecessor of a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > TPP < /a > is the span Pacific strategic economic partnership agreement signed by Chile, New Zealand, Singapore and Brunei in June 2005 (TPSEP, referred to as P4) in 4. In November 2009, the United States publicly proposed to participate in the second stage of negotiations. P4 also referred to TPP as the United States. Subsequently, Australia, Japan and other countries have joined in the talks, bringing the 12 member countries participating in the TPP negotiations. At present, under the leadership of the United States, TPP is in the stage of intense negotiations. 
 TPP has several characteristics: 1. The degree of liberalization is high. As early as the P4 period, it was known for its high degree of liberalization. When the commencement of 2006, 90% of the tariffs on goods were immediately reduced to zero, and all tariffs had to be reduced to zero before 2017. From the current TPP framework, TPP will implement a "comprehensive market access" to eliminate all goods "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp "tariff" /a "and non-tariff barriers as the goal. 2, cooperation is wide-ranging. TPP clearly stated that it will cover not only the trade and investment issues of traditional FTA, but also the first "twenty-first Century" topics such as binding rules and regulations, SMEs, environmental protection, labor and intellectual property rights. 3, openness is relatively high. In contrast to the exclusiveness of traditional FTA, TPP has set up a "open clause" specifically to welcome the accession of non member economies, especially other members of the APEC, and to reserve a lot of space for the expansion of the agreement. 
 from the above conditions, it is difficult for Taiwan to join TPP. 
 first, the TPP high standard market opening requirement will have a serious impact on the island economy, and the problem of agricultural products is particularly prominent. According to the statistics of the Ministry of finance of Taiwan, the nominal and real tax rates of import tariffs on agricultural products in Taiwan in 2011 were 13.88% and 7.94% respectively. As agricultural products occupy a relatively high proportion in the export of TPP members such as the US, New Zealand, Vietnam, Malaysia and Australia, it is necessary to consider the opening of the island's agricultural products market if Taiwan joins. Due to the current economic downturn in Taiwan, the serious protectionist mentality in the agricultural and industrial sectors of the island, and the constraints of the green camp such as the DPP, Taiwan authorities have been running thin ice on issues such as opening up agriculture. If Taiwan joins the TPP, it will trigger a sharp rebound on the agricultural products issue. 
 secondly, the open policy of "boundary" involved by TPP will pose a severe challenge to Taiwan's economic and trade system. The TPP negotiations include not only the traditional "border" policy measures such as tariff reduction and exemption, but also the "border" policy measures such as small and medium enterprises, environmental protection, intellectual property rights and labor cooperation. Every policy measure requires reform on the island. If Taiwan joins the TPP negotiations, the intra Island Economic and trade system will be extensively and deeply adjusted. This will pose a severe challenge to Taiwan's current economic and trade system and its existing interests pattern. 
 from this point of view, it is impossible for Taiwan to join TPP in the short term. 
 no matter from which perspective, the development of cross-strait economic and trade is the most realistic or even the only choice for the healthy and sustainable development of Taiwan's economy. This is also clear in the Democratic Progressive Party. 
, therefore, the final adoption of the trade agreement can be expected. But in what way, when we pass, there will be some minor changes in the middle, it is hard to say.