Standing On The Cusp Of Silk Weaving Market: Will It Be Difficult To Find Cloth In The Second Half Of The Year?

Since the beginning of this year, no matter from the intensity of environmental protection, or the degree of sale of products, or the influence of industry pricing, the filament weaving market has undoubtedly become a spotlight for the textile industry.

From the first half of this year

The overall market is better, the early stage enterprises reflect that there are orders, but can not get goods, especially before the conventional varieties, Chun Ya spinning and Tav and so on all need to take money to pick up the goods.

While the volume and price of products have been raised, the profit margins of enterprises have increased significantly.

Taking water jet looms as an example, when the market did not recover substantially last year, the net profit of a water jet loom per day was around 50-60 yuan, but in the 3-4 month of this year, the machine platform rate rose to 120-150 yuan / Taiwan.

Under the catalysis of market boom and insufficient supply of products, it has also led to a better inventory in the weaving Market.

At present, the weaving warehouse in Shengze area is 26-27 days, compared with the same period last year, it dropped by 6-7 days.

In the best months of 3-4, stocks dropped to a record low of around 24 days.

Many cloth owners have been hoarding for several years, and the cloth has been robbed. It is conceivable that there is not much stock in the market.

At the same time, with the fermentation of these factors, filament weaving

The pricing power has also been well released. According to statistics, as of June 30th, the prices of conventional products such as spring Asia spinning and polyester Taff have risen to a certain level over the past year, or basically 0.3-0.5 yuan.

From the end of May, although the market has ushered in the off-season, but in order to maintain the cross-section water quality,

The water jet looms carry out the policy of "three stops and one stop". The rest of the silk weaving industry base, such as Changxin and Jiaxing, has also experienced different measures to stop production. The production restriction has made the supply shrink, so far, the market supply and demand situation is still good.

But in the middle of June and July, the following factors are changing:

First, in the first half of the year, the focus of our attention was on the delivery time of dyeing plants. Because of the environmental remediation factors, printing and dyeing enterprises have come to a phased stop production. Among them, the problem of delivery time is particularly severe, and the market capacity is limited, but the demand for weaving is increasing sharply, and the imbalance between supply and demand, which leads to higher price of dye fees.

At the same time, the production cycle of fabrics has been lengthened without restriction, which has caused a lot of obstacles to fabric suppliers' orders.

It will take more than a month for delivery in 3 and April this year, and now it has gradually dropped to about two weeks.

The author believes that an important factor affecting the delivery period of the first half of the dyeing plant is the imbalance between supply and demand of raw materials caused by the closure of dyestuff enterprises in the chemical industry park. According to the dye industry, the price of dye has been virtual high after the irrational rise in the early stage.

According to 12 media reports, the first dyestuff enterprise in Northern Jiangsu has resumed production, and other dye production enterprises in the later stage are expected to resume production. In the wake of the gradual resumption of supply, the hype sentiment will also weaken.

The company's civil aviation shares began to reduce fees in the near future, so the pressure of printing and dyeing enterprises is increasing.

Another issue we are concerned about is the increase or decrease of the total volume of water jet looms. In the last few years, a large number of enterprises began to pfer to northern Jiangsu, Anhui and Henan.

At present, the release of water production capacity in Anhui and other places has gradually emerged. In some parts of Anhui, the local implementation policy is tax-free, rent 60 yuan / month, wages in the general industry 3000-4000, the textile industry wages 7500 yuan / month, recruitment is particularly easy, but also all kinds of training.

The same quality of gray cloth, remove pport costs, the price per meter is about 0.17~0.27 yuan / meter cheaper than the local grey cloth price, the price advantage is still very obvious.

But the weaving enterprises in the field usually produce some medium and low-end grey fabrics, and the orders are mostly large ones. If they want high quality and high grade, they still need to get goods from the local grey cloth factories, and local workers and other technical workers are still lacking.

However, as we all know, the main driving force of this wave market in the first half of this year is in the low-end quality grey cloth. It is understood that the grey cloth named after Anhui, North Jiangsu and Jiangxi has increased from the small scale of the first half to the present large area, and has produced a lot of influence on the pricing power and sales of the market in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces.

We all know that the incumbent leader of the United States, Trump, is a businessman who was born. This has led him to pay special attention to trade. China has always been the largest exporter of textiles and clothing, and has been in a trade surplus with the United States, so the possibility of being suppressed is still great.

Because of the Obama administration's TPP agreement and labor cost concession earlier, a large number of domestic orders were pferred to Southeast Asia, to some extent.

Faced with a 4 year economic downturn.

Now that trade barriers are re established, some orders will be returned to Vietnam and other Southeast Asian countries this year, and clothing orders will return to Southeast Asia. It is understood that in recent years, the global textile manufacturing reunification has made the choice of fabric orders not only limited to China, so China's textiles in the second half of this year.

Enterprise orders are a serious challenge.

The order of domestic garment enterprises directly reflects the demand of fabric products.

The fabric market can not get timely feedback from orders, and market confidence will be frustrated.