Objective View Of Foreign Trade Growth
< p > May 20th, director of the state information center's Economic Forecasting Department, "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp "Zhu Bao Liang" /a, told the briefing at the Information Office of the State Council that the current economy is generally weak and the macroeconomic downward pressure is objective. "Stabilizing and slowing down" is the general operational characteristics of the current economy.
Foreign trade is also more difficult under this great situation, but after removing the arbitrage funds last year, we can see the current situation of foreign trade more realistically.
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< p > < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp > > Customs General Administration < /a > statistics, the total export volume in China this year is 4 trillion and 160 billion yuan, and the total import volume is 3 trillion and 940 billion yuan, down 4.8% and 1.2% respectively.
This is the first time in the past 10 years that there has been a "double drop" situation in addition to the same period in 2009.
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< p > "to achieve" a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp > the established target < /a > means that from May, the average growth rate of imports and exports will reach 11.3% per month.
Zhang Ji, director of the Ministry of foreign trade of the Ministry of Commerce, said at the meeting that under the complex and severe situation, the task of achieving 7.5% growth in foreign trade is very arduous.
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< p > "this speed is actually not low."
Zhu Baoliang said that last year 1~4 month arbitrage funds were many, in the about 660000000000 US dollar export has about 60000000000 US dollars is the arbitrage export, the import arbitrage fund has about 40000000000 US dollars, through the export again imports and then exports.
"After removing this about 60000000000, the export growth rate of 1~4 months this year increased by nearly 7% compared with the same period last year, and this speed is not low."
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< p > but Zhu Baoliang still admits: "the overall economy is weak and the pressure of economic downfall still exists."
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< p > according to the data released by the National Bureau of statistics, the monthly average value of industrial producer price index (PPI) decreased by 2% compared with the same period last year. The national average consumer price level (CPI) 1~4 monthly average increased by 2.2% over the same period; the 1~4 Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) was running between 50.5%~50.2%; in the first quarter, the gross domestic product (GDP) increased by 7.4% over the same period in terms of comparable prices.
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< p > "we will usher in a new round of growth in excess capacity".
Zhu Baoliang said that only when the excess capacity can be dissolved or eliminated can we usher in a new round of economic growth.
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< p >, however, Zhu Baoliang pointed out that the basic economic growth of 1~4 months has not changed much, and is still in the scope of regulation.
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< p > "at present, as long as we keep the three bottom line, reform can go ahead."
Zhu Baoliang said that one is the bottom line of employment, the two is the bottom line of the bottom line for the lowest income families, and the three is that there is no systemic or regional financial risk baseline.
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< p > at present, the state has taken many measures to achieve steady growth and structural adjustment: financial support has increased, especially after March, the rate of investment in capital raising has increased; small and micro enterprises' tax reduction, shanty towns pformation and railway construction have been very effective measures to expand domestic demand, such as "three arrows", and put forward some measures of foreign trade steady growth such as "the opinions of the general office of the State Council on supporting the steady growth of foreign trade"; the important reform measures such as decentralization and decentralization and state-owned enterprise reform have been intensified; local government debt problems are being alleviated through short debt replacement, and social guidance is strengthened.
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