Hebei'S Cotton Market Is Worrying And Worth Careful.
In October 24, 2014, the Hebei Cotton Association held the two five Executive Council and the cotton situation analysis meeting. The vice presidents and executive directors and the cotton producers and cotton enterprises of Handan, Xingtai, Hengshui, Cangzhou, Tangshan, Shijiazhuang and other major cotton producing cities, Changshan textile shares, new east textile company and Heng Rui textile company participated in the meeting; the head of the Shijiazhuang Office of the China cotton reserve General Corporation, the provincial development and Reform Commission, the provincial agriculture department, the industrial and commercial bureau and the Agricultural Development Bank were invited to attend the meeting.
More than 30 people attended the meeting, entrusted by President Zhao Zenghua. The meeting was chaired by executive vice president Yang Shanxing.
First,
The measure of area
The output is flat and the quality is improved.
According to the provincial Cotton Association's arrangement, the Cotton Association's monitoring points of various cities have conducted a further investigation of the cotton area this year.
The survey shows that the cotton area in Hebei province is 5 million 700 thousand mu, an increase of 100 thousand mu over the June survey, a decrease of 1 million 550 thousand mu from last year, and a decrease of 21%.
During the growth period of cotton, the weather is fine and drier, fiber is well developed, cotton is smooth, no deadlock, color is white, and the lint is 38%-39%. Apart from the high value of the micron value, other indexes are better than those in previous years.
The information points are collected and monitored. This year, seed cotton yield per mu is generally over 500 Jin. In some places, more than 600 catties have been produced. The total output of cotton in Hebei province is 450 thousand tons, basically unchanged from last year.
Two, cotton farmers cotton enterprises unprecedented confrontation, slow progress in the acquisition
At present, picking has exceeded 90%, but the sale is only about 20%, and the progress is far behind the same period last year.
The main reason for the slow progress is that this year, the price of seed cotton is about 1 yuan lower than that of last year. Cotton farmers complain of bumper harvest, most cotton farmers do not want to be sold, and the mainland supplement policy has not been started, and cotton farmers generally hold the mind of watching.
In the cotton producing market in Hengshui, as of October 22nd, a total of 7 enterprises in all 55 400 type cotton processing enterprises received 7 tons of new cotton for 3927 tons, including 695 packages in September and 3232 packages in October.
Three. Price Before the high and low, the market is worrying.
After the beginning of the new cotton business, individual cotton enterprises began to explore the scale of the purchase. The price was about 3.5 yuan per catty cotton seed. They were purchased by agreement with the textile enterprises. The purchase amount was very small, and then the price went down all the way. By the middle of October, seed cotton prices dropped to around 2.9 yuan.
In late October, seed cotton prices began to rise slowly, reaching 3.3 yuan / Jin now.
The reasons for the rising price of seed cotton are: first, the state stops throwing stores, and the textile enterprises can not get the national storage cotton to replenishment. Two, Xinjiang cotton has to enter the public inspection for the price supplement, temporarily reducing the supply to the mainland. Three, in recent years, the raw materials of the textile enterprises are all used side by side, and the stock is not enough.
At present, the typical Shandong Wei bridge in North China, the white cotton grade 328b to the factory is quoted at 14300 yuan / ton, which is 300 yuan higher than the previous one.
If Hebei province cotton is 3.3 yuan per catty of seed cotton, 1.16 yuan per catty of cotton seed, 38% yuan of lint and 600 yuan of processing charge per ton, roughly calculated cost price is close to 14300 yuan / ton, basically no profit.
In recent years, textile companies in the mainland tend to use them.
Imported
Cotton and Xinjiang cotton have good consistency and no "three silk".
It is rumoured that the use of Xinjiang cotton may be linked to the quotas within the tariff, which will also encourage large textile companies to wait for large quantities of Xinjiang cotton.
At present, the US cotton spot is around 74 cents per pound, calculated at 1% tariff, at a price of 12000 yuan per ton, compared with Xinjiang cotton, it still has a difference of 3000 yuan per ton.
These two reasons make textile enterprises reluctant to purchase large quantities of cotton in the mainland.
Four, the cotton parties are eager for the mainland to patch up policies.
All the participants agreed that an important reason for the current cotton farmers' reluctance to sell and the firm's stalemate is that the cotton patch policy in the mainland is not showing up.
On the one hand, in Xinjiang, the target price patch was carried out in a tight and orderly manner. On the one hand, there were only rumors in the mainland, but no specific measures were taken. Cotton farmers did not know whether they could get a supplement or not, and they were afraid of selling early.
The parties suggested that the first step is to clarify the implementation details of the cotton quota policy in the mainland as soon as possible, and to give cotton farmers a "reassurance" to promote the sale of cotton farmers as soon as possible and to ease the stalemate. Two, it is necessary to adhere to the principle of patch to cotton producers, so that cotton farmers can get real benefits and eliminate intermediate links. Three, we should focus on supporting large cotton planting counties and large cotton growers, and not "sprinkle sesame salt".
Only in this way can we stabilize the cotton planting area and strengthen the first link of the cotton industry chain to promote the sustainable development of the cotton industry.
At the same time, the meeting also held that the parties involved in cotton should have a deep understanding of the connotation of the target price management in Xinjiang, and speed up the pace of collectivization and integration development through joint and reorganization means, constantly expand themselves and drive cotton farmers to increase their income.
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