Wu Peng: Under The Golden Triangle
In November 8th, the number of jobless claims in the United States in early November 8th was 290 thousand, higher than the previous value of 278 thousand and the expected 280 thousand. In November 1st, the number of unemployed persons was 2 million 392 thousand, higher than the previous value of 2 million 356 thousand and the expected 2 million 350 thousand.
There is a slight difference in employment data. After the short term pressure of the dollar index, it continues to go up in the large cycle.
Yesterday, the European Central Bank published monthly reports: the downside risk of inflation expectations is due to oil prices, weak economic activity and the possibility of anchoring inflation expectations. The euro exchange rate and monetary policy are the source of the upward trend of inflation forecasts. The geopolitical risk in Ukraine and the Middle East, and the decline in Sino US demand are the main risks of growth prospects.
Sterling fell to a 14 month low, and the weaker housing market data released by the United Kingdom further exacerbated Sterling pressure on the Bank of England on Wednesday.
Today's concern: 22:10 Saint Louis Fed chairman Brad's speech, the theme is the United States economic and monetary policy, occasions in Saint Louis District Chamber of Commerce hosted the financial forum.
14:30-18:00 France / Germany / Italy / Euro third quarter GDP initial value, 18:00 euro area October CPI final value annual rate, 21:30 Canada September manufacturing shipment, US October retail sales, University of Michigan November November consumer confidence index.
Euro dollar
The euro narrowed slightly yesterday, maintaining a narrow oscillation as a whole. The euro will continue to decline after a rebound as a whole. If the 1.2360 line is further measured, the euro will continue to decline.
The 4H level RSI combination is below 50, MACD is positive column, the overall energy is weak, the relative energy is strong.
Support: 1.2360, 1.2242 resistance: 1.2480, 1.2500, 1.2550.
Operation suggestion: wait and see.
Gold once again collected a cross star yesterday, today, the next step is to lower the triangle collation interval, and test the 1152 line, there are signs of a down test.
The 4H level RSI is below 50, MACD is near the zero axis, the overall is weak and the relative energy is stable.
Support: 1141, 1146, 1150 resistance: 1165.5, 1166.50, 1177.
Operation recommendations: 1165.5 near the attempt to empty, stop loss $4, target 1146, 1141
US dollar yen
The United States and Japan closed slightly yesterday. Today's Asian market continues to go up and break the 116.10 line. It is expected to further test the 116.70 front-line.
The 4H level RSI is above 50, MACD is short green column, the overall energy is strong, the relative energy is weak.
Support: 114, 115.30, 116.10 resistance: 116.70, 1180.
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