The Four "Optimus Prime" Of China'S Economy

Zhou Qiren talked about the four major fulcrum of China's economy "reliable". The article thinks: 1, China's economy is very resilient. There is a "guarantee" in the system. 2, globalization has great opportunities. Compared with developed countries, China's average income difference is 10 times. 3, quality revolution. Over the past 20 years, China has basically exported its products with good quality and poor domestic product and service quality. 4, spatial agglomeration and layout. A low quality urbanization will be corrected.

Zhou Qiren believes that although the downward pressure on the economy is increasing, we are optimistic about China's future economic development, because there are four pillars to support the stage of China's economy.

First, China's economy is very resilient. First of all, there is a "guarantee" in the system. The lower level of social security makes most people unable to rely entirely on finance, and only by making a living in the market. Moreover, 30 years of market-oriented reforms have bred a group of relatively wealthy middle class who dare to venture and dare to try in China. "Non livelihood entrepreneurship" will become a new force to promote economic development.

Second, globalization has great opportunities. Compared with the developed countries, China's average income gap is 10 times higher than that of the developed countries. In the new global pattern, China develops emerging market The potential is enormous. In the face of the reality of economic slowdown, both the state and enterprises should seize new opportunities, discover new markets and seek new breakthroughs.

Third, quality revolution. Over the past 20 years, China has basically exported products with good quality and poor quality of domestic products and services. The rise of domestic income and the new wave of import substitution have initiated the quality revolution of domestic demand, and the quality revolution will stimulate our huge manufacturing potential.

Fourth, spatial agglomeration and layout. A low quality urbanization will be corrected to give full play to the effect of spatial resource allocation. The difference of urban income is the economic driving force of urbanization. Therefore, urbanization in China is strongly driven and sustainable.

Although there are four major pivots supporting the stage of China's economic development in the future, there are two uncertainties that can not be ignored.

First, is peace and development sustainable? The year 1914 is just one hundred years from now. These one hundred years have given us a lot of warning: global "sea level" changes (high seas and low income countries are at different "sea level"). interest Conflicts, income distribution "sandwiches" and nationalistic sentiments are all important factors affecting global peace and development. It is also very uncertain whether we can mitigate the global imbalance, solve the currency paradox and income distribution within the framework of G20.

Second, China The great power governance has increased the difficulties of China's economic development. On the one hand, China is a very difficult country to live in. On the other hand, even if we close up, China will also face the problem of penetrating power of great power reform.

Once the decision is implemented, the bonus will have a huge scale effect; but if "Zhongnanhai is not decided" or "experience does not enter Zhongnanhai", it may also form two pieces of skin that are separated from each other. Therefore, in order to enhance the penetration of great power reform, we need to keep the goal simple and clear on the premise of right premise.