Benefit From Spandex Polyester Industrial Yarn
The rise and fall of oil prices directly affect the market of chemical fiber and its raw materials. Take polyester as an example, polyester products are in a sluggish market and prices continue to fall, falling by 12.92% in the 2014 year, with ethylene glycol dropping by 20.55% and PTA by 31.67%. Moreover, the price of polyester yarn has declined directly due to the short price of polyester and polyester, and the polyester yarn has decreased by 11.97% in the past year.
Polyester, nylon and other raw materials rely on oil, PTA, caprolactam and other direct dive, which in the short term caused a huge oscillation, which is not conducive to the procurement of downstream enterprises; however, in the long run, in the case of textile downstream prices are not sensitive, this is conducive to the chemical fiber industry, profitability improvement.
The drop in oil prices has the most significant impact on the recycled polyester industry in the chemical fiber industry. The origin of the recycling industry itself is to cope with the high price of energy industry. The collapse of oil prices makes the industry's position embarrassed, and the other industry - coal glycol is also facing the same situation. People can not help asking: if the original is cheaper than substitutability, do we need alternative products?
The most direct consequence of falling oil prices is the fall in PTA prices. According to the price monitoring of business associations, PTA fell more than 37% in 2014, a record low of nearly 5 years. Although there has been a strong rebound in the downside channel, under the background of too much capacity, the decline pattern has not been changed. Dragged down by the sharp drop in international crude oil prices, the price of PTA has entered the era of 4000 yuan / ton.
Industry experts said that in the short term, the decline in oil prices directly led to fluctuations in PTA and polyester prices, which is not conducive to the procurement of downstream enterprises. Because of the pressure of production capacity, the inventory is already relatively high, and the downstream enterprises are aggravating the wait and see, which is not conducive to the start-up of enterprises. However, Huafeng ultra fiber said that although some chemical companies suffered losses due to falling stock prices, some companies with higher inventory turnover would benefit from raw material costs and increase their performance.
And, in the long run, oil price Fall well Chemical fiber industry Development. The downstream of chemical fibre is textile, which is close to terminal consumption. Prices are relatively less volatile by raw materials, and benefit from falling costs when crude oil prices fall. Taking polyester and nylon two products as an example, the difference of polyester filament price increased from 709 yuan / ton in August last year to 1831 yuan / ton in December last year, and the price difference of polyester staple increased from 705 yuan / ton to 1233 yuan / ton in December last year. nylon POY spreads increased from 3744 yuan / ton to 5013 yuan / ton, and the price difference of nylon DTY increased from 6051 yuan / ton to 7534 yuan / ton. By comparing crude oil prices and spreads, it can be found that the spread of crude oil prices began to gradually expand when crude oil prices began to fall.
The drop in oil prices will significantly reduce the cost of the chemical fiber industry. Compared with the chemical fiber industry, such as polyamide and polyester, which has a large production capacity, the sub industries that need stable spandex and polyester industrial yarn will benefit more obviously. However, the demand is not strong, which is still the biggest short board. Textile analysts believe that the decline of polyester staple products is hard to change due to the continuous decline of the crude oil level. In the absence of raw material prices, there is no positive information in the downstream. It is expected that there will be a possibility of short cut in the short term.
The business representatives of Tong Kun group said that the profit margins of polyester filament increased with the fall of oil prices, but because of the large fluctuations in the market, they actually had a certain impact on the purchase of downstream products.
Nylon enterprises are optimistic about the decline of crude oil. They believe that the price of raw materials has increased the competitiveness of nylon. And compared with polyester, the competitiveness of nylon has also been improved. A nylon enterprise representative said that nylon is superior to polyester in terms of performance and price reduction will stimulate market demand.
For viscose fiber industry, the price impact is not very direct. Xinxiang chemical fiber is mainly engaged in the production and sale of viscose filament and viscose staple fiber. Xinxiang chemical fiber recently said that the main raw material of the company is cellulose fiber. The continuous decline in oil prices has no direct impact on the company's operation, but it may reduce logistics costs.
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