Cotton Business Before Selling Is Generally Optimistic After The Holiday.

According to the survey, since the beginning of February, Xinjiang cotton quotations have tended to be stable since the beginning of the year. The price of hand picked cotton by some manufacturers has rebounded slightly with the new period and Zhengzhou period by 50-100 yuan / ton, but due to the shortage of raw materials in the large and medium sized textile enterprises before the Spring Festival, small and medium-sized textile enterprises have also left early holidays. Moreover, most of Xinjiang cotton enterprises are only willing to sell cash in cash, and there are fewer credit accounts, so the degree of activity is lower than that of the real estate cotton.

On 4 and 5 February, the 2128 and 3128 class warehouse pick up quotes in the southern Xinjiang hand picked cotton were 14300-14500 yuan / ton, 14000-14200 yuan / ton (gross weight), 2128 yuan (2129 grade) quoted price was 14600-14700 yuan / ton before the Spring Festival, and the 2128 grade (2129 grade) with better quality of cotton linen was processed. The 3128 grade gross weight of machine picked cotton in North Xinjiang was 13300-13500 yuan / ton.

suffer Xie Production and Construction Corps and autonomous region cotton and Xinjiang cotton prices are strong and not lowered, and port SM level. American cotton Australian cotton net weight quotas reached 15900-16200 yuan / ton, 17100-17500 yuan / ton support, Xinjiang cotton enterprises before the Spring Festival "cover plate" not sell more phenomenon, in March the domestic cotton market generally optimistic.

For the textile enterprises in mainland China, the "three wire" content is high, the impurities are large and the consistency is worse than before. lint The moisture regain is larger, the effect of processing impurity is not as good as in previous years; on the other hand, cotton is not good for sale this year, and the procurement of cotton textile mills and operators is relatively cautious, belonging to the "buyer's market".

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Review of market situation in January and January

In January 2015, the internal market trend was stronger than the external market, while the domestic market maintained a concussion, while the US disk hit a new low. Domestic spot is also relatively stable, showing a slow downward trend overall, while the international spot market has a big decline. Meanwhile, the price of polyester, viscose and viscose continued to decline, and the price difference between cotton and cotton increased again.

In January, the stability of the internal market was mainly due to the continuous downward price and the general loss of domestic processing plants. Therefore, there was a strong price intention, plus the Corps as the main body of the market, and there has been no price cut since October. In addition, cotton arrivals continued to decrease in recent months, the lowest level in the same period in recent years. Therefore, the seller's selling price and imported cotton have a certain support for domestic cotton prices.

Two, international supply and demand

The current global cotton pattern: China is the world's largest consumer, importing country and the second largest cotton producing country; the United States is the third largest cotton producing country and the largest exporter in the world; it is the world's largest producer, the second largest exporter and the second largest consumer. Therefore, the situation of China, the United States and India has a significant impact on the global cotton price, and the three countries also influence each other and restrict each other.

This year, the major changes and situations of these three countries are: 1. China has withdrawn from storage, the competitiveness of domestic cotton is not enough, the price has dropped sharply, but it has caused a considerable price for processing factories; 2.. In recent years, the increase in exports is mainly for the Chinese market. As China tightens the quotas, and in the host country, the price of cotton is down, so the export is blocked. 3., the United States and cotton increase production, but in the environment of the Chinese group's price and storage, the US cotton gets good profits and exports at a low price.

Judging from the current situation, China has been temporarily pushing the supply pressure temporarily behind the Chinese market, while the US cotton has taken the opportunity to speed up the export process, and has now completed 90% of its export target. But it also means that market share has been seized by the United States, and China and India will face a game.

Three, China's high yield, the mainland's focus on the purchase of flat.

According to statistics, as of January 28th, 4 million 240 thousand tons of new cotton were processed in 2014/15, of which 2 million 560 thousand tons were processed locally and 1 million 675 thousand tons were processed by the Corps. There are 4 million 730 thousand tons of public inspection, including 3 million 978 thousand tons of public inspection and 750 thousand tons of public inspection in the mainland.

At present, there is no reduction in production this year, and the expected output will reach 4 million 500 thousand tons. However, due to the continuous downward price, the cotton farmers in the mainland are reluctant to sell, and the processing plants are also very cautious. Therefore, the acquisition process is very slow. In previous years, the centralized selling period did not appear, and the acquisition was levelled off. It is expected that there will be a wave of selling small peaks before and after the Spring Festival. It is estimated that the total output will be around 6 million 500 thousand tons.