The Yellow River Basin: Cotton Price Is Low, Soft And Weak.
In the late March, the cotton markets in Shandong, Hebei and Henan in the the Yellow River basin were still old.
On the 25 day, a person in charge of an enterprise in Binzhou, Shandong said that the acquisition of seed cotton in Shandong province has now come to a close.
One, 400 type processing factory 95% exit, leaving the cotton farmers "cotton difficult to sell".
By the beginning of this month, seed cotton sales in Dongying and Liaocheng had only been completed by 70-80%, and Dezhou, Binzhou, Heze and other places had completed 90%-95%.
Two, seed cotton has no market price.
24-25, the mainstream price of cotton seed in Shandong province was 2.80-3.20 yuan / Jin, which was basically flat compared with last week.
In the early days, some 200 type small factories specialized in collecting the "second cotton" and the price was in the range of 2.00-2.70 yuan / Jin. Now the 200 type small factories are no longer concerned about "sub cotton".
Hebei, Cangzhou, Baoding, Hengshui, Henan Shangqiu, Zhengzhou, these traditional cotton areas are already desolate.
For example, before the 400 type of ginning mill was in front of Cangzhou in terms of scale and level of operation, but now the factory is dilapidated and the leaves are full of courtyards.
The person in charge told the author that their factory had not started since the Spring Festival. Now there are about 600 tons of cash and 30 thousand pounds of cotton seeds waiting for sale.
Nowadays, cotton farmers and ginning plants in the entire the Yellow River valley are all difficult.
Cotton growers are faced with problems such as "selling cotton difficultly" and "cotton cheap injury to farmers" and so on.
A boss of a business in Zhengzhou, Henan complained that as of March 25th, the spot prices in Henan, Shandong and other places were as follows: the price of the 3128 tier was 12900-13100 yuan / ton, the 4128 level price was 12500 yuan / ton, and the 2227 level was 12400 yuan / ton, which was not changed much before the Spring Festival.
However, over the Spring Festival, the cost of warehousing, interest and so on has been hanging upside down.
The factory's more than 580 tons of spot goods are mainly 4128 and 2227. The cost is 12450 yuan / ton and 12400 yuan / ton respectively.
"
cotton
Do not stay, stay and stay sick. "
The boss analyzed, first, the recent Xinjiang fine cotton into the mainland, real estate cotton has been "a great enemy".
After picking up Xinjiang cotton grade 3128 to the mainland, the cost is 13800-13900 yuan / ton, only 13500-13600 yuan per ton, and the price of machine picked cotton is cheaper.
Heard that a large textile enterprise in Shandong last week ordered 50 thousand tons of machine cotton picking at a price of only 12900 yuan / ton.
The market is expected to be in the large
Spinning enterprises
Driven by the mainland, many textile enterprises may follow suit.
Therefore, in 4 and May, cotton in the mainland is likely to be "abyss before, after the pursuit of troops".
Second.
Outer cotton
The number of ports has increased.
After the Spring Festival, cotton arrived in India in the new season.
According to Qingdao port and Zhangjiagang traders, recently, India cotton "pressure port" and stock "boom" have brought great pressure to sales.
To 25 days, Qingdao port S-6 class India cotton price was 13400-13500 yuan / ton, compared with last week continued to drop 100-200 yuan / ton.
In addition, with the end of the western coast cliff workers strike, the 1 and February signing of the United States cotton and cotton is expected to arrive in the first half of 4, which will put a lot of pressure on future sales.
According to the understanding of port traders, up to now, the total cotton inventory in China's main port should be 17-18 tons, mainly India cotton, Brazil cotton and West Africa cotton.
Third, cotton textile products "peak season is not prosperous."
According to convention, the sales season of cotton textile products is 3-5 months in a year, but this year shows that the "peak season is not prosperous" is more obvious.
First, cotton yarn prices continue to fall.
As of 25 days, the price of medium and low yarn in the Yellow River basin continued to decline, for example, the price of 21 combs was 20200-20500 yuan / ton, and the price of 32 was 21200-21500 yuan / ton.
Two, orders are small, small and short.
Most textile enterprises reflect that after the Spring Festival, new orders have not been received.
Three, the capital chain is tight.
Because of the downstream clothing, gray cloth business owners running, and arrears of payment, many mills do not have the spare power to make a lot of stock.
To sum up, the cotton market is facing a huge crisis.
More importantly, the cotton market in the the Yellow River Valley is on the decline.
According to market understanding, it is estimated that the cotton area in Shandong, Hebei, Henan and other places in 2015 will continue to decrease by 30%- 40% compared with that in 2014.
As a result, the cotton ginning plants in the area will be closed down or turn over a lot, so the cotton market in the the Yellow River River Basin will no longer exist.
Spring is coming, with the smell of sowing seeds.
Why is my eyes full of spring sorrow and tears in my eyes? I hope the policy will give more strength to the mainland, and the cotton main body will be more proactive, so that our the Yellow River River Basin cotton city can be inherited.
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