Cotton Prices In Cangzhou Are Affected By Late Spring Chill.
In April 7th, a cotton grower in Hejian, Cangzhou, said that these days were delayed by the large-scale rain and cooling in early April, and the spring sowing of cotton was postponed.
According to his observation, since April, there has been no spring sowing of cotton in the Hejian City.
According to the current situation, the local seeding will start at least 10-15 days this month, a slight delay of 3-4 days compared with previous years.
Judging from the present situation of cotton farmers' preparation, the spring sowing area in 2015 has been greatly reduced.
First, in this year, most of the cotton farmers have reduced their production and reduced their income, and they are difficult to sell cotton.
Take the cotton grower as an example, in 2014, a total of 3.5 mu of cotton was planted, with an average yield of 438 Jin / mu, and the selling price was 3.02 yuan / Jin, and it was lower than 1.25-1.30 yuan / Jin in the previous year. The cotton grower reduced about 500 yuan / mu this year.
Second, cotton subsidy has not yet arrived. Although the Hebei provincial government has already implemented the subsidy plan, it is estimated that the subsidy is based on the actual planting area, and the cotton farmers can be estimated to get 200 yuan per mu.
However, because cotton farmers have not yet received subsidies before spring sowing, planting intentions are slightly affected.
In 2015, what will be the cotton planting area in Cangzhou area? According to the feedback from local agricultural departments and some market participants, it is estimated that the cotton planting area in Cangzhou will be 70-75 million mu in 2015, a decrease of 53% over 160 mu in 2014.
"In recent years, the cotton planting area in Cangzhou has been decreasing, and the reduction in 2015 may be the largest."
Cangxian
A big cotton farmer said.
Cangzhou region is a famous cotton growing and processing base in the north of Hebei Province, with an annual area of 180-220 mu.
However, since 2012, the area of cotton has been decreasing year by year, and the rate of reduction is increasing.
Not only has the spring sowing been postponed, but also the area has been reduced. Cotton prices in Cangzhou area have also decreased slightly these days.
7 days,
Hebei
Cangxian, Dongguang, Wuqiao and other places ginning factory 3128 grade real estate cotton warehouse price 12800-12900 yuan / ton; 4128 level 12400-12500 yuan / ton; 2227 level 12200-12300 yuan / ton, the price is lower than last week 100 yuan / ton down.
Some ginning plants are paying cash for loans, and even give downstream manufacturers a "disposable purchase of more than 100 tons and cash traders, giving 100 yuan / ton more room for profit".
In addition, some Xinjiang Xinjiang cotton have been moved to Cangzhou, Hebei.
Outer cotton
Prices have dropped.
On the 7 day, a cotton merchant in Cangzhou told the author that the price of the hand picked cotton grade 3128 from the Akesu local ginning factory in Xinjiang was 13500-13600 yuan / ton ton, 2128 class 13800-13900 yuan / ton, and only a few cotton with good quality were over 14000 yuan / ton.
In addition, the current price range of the machine picked cotton in his hands is 12800-13400 yuan / ton, and the average price is reduced by 200 yuan / ton compared with last week.
"I haven't seen much of these days. I think the price is going to fall."
The cotton trader analysis: first, the downstream yarn market is still weak, cut to the end of this week, the the Yellow River basin Pu comb 21, 32 prices are 18300 yuan / ton, 19500 yuan / ton, are flat compared to last week, but manufacturers for inventory, often give downstream enterprises 100-200 yuan / ton negotiation space.
Second, cotton in Xinjiang is continuously pouring into the mainland. In the middle and late 3 months, about 400 thousand tons of Xinjiang cotton flows into Hebei. The market has been unable to bear the pressure of a large increase in cotton.
Three, the number of cotton to port outside the port is increasing.
Due to the end of the strike of the US cotton port workers, cotton shipments have been launched. It is expected that the US cotton to port will increase substantially in 4 and May, which will cause greater pressure on the domestic textile raw material supply market.
"In April, we had a hard time."
Many market people are so exclaimed.
During the Qingming holidays, the temperature dropped to 5-15 degrees Celsius in Cangzhou, Hebei, which was about 10 degrees Celsius lower than in late March.
Cooling down suddenly caused some negative effects on local cotton spring sowing and even cotton prices.
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