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    The Foreign Trade Situation Has Not Been Satisfactory.

    2015/4/11 21:03:00 217

    Foreign Trade SituationMacro EconomyChina Market

    As a global import and export trade country, China's foreign trade situation has not been satisfactory in recent years. From 2012 to 2014, the growth target has not been completed for 3 consecutive years.

    3 entering the 2015, the situation is still grim.

    Customs data show that in the first 2 months, the total value of China's imports and exports was 3 trillion and 790 billion yuan, down 2% from the same period last year.

    Exports grew by 15.3%, imports dropped by 19.9%, and trade surpluses expanded 11.6 times.

    Exports fluctuated sharply in January and February, from 3.3% to 48.3%, while imports continued to decline, down 19.9% and 20.5% respectively.

    Due to the Spring Festival in the previous two months, the market is more concerned about the upcoming March.

    data

    。

    "At present, exports are expected to increase slightly in March, but considering the exchange rate factors, enterprises may not feel strongly.

    Import estimates are still hard to recover.

    Overall, the first quarter is not optimistic.

    Huo Jianguo, a researcher at the Ministry of Commerce, said.

    Experts remind that in January of this year, China

    foreign trade

    The export pilot index slipped 1.5 from 12 months last year and declined for fourth months. It has already indicated that China's exports still face downward pressure in the first quarter of this year and at the beginning of the two quarter.

    The situation is not good.

    foreign trade enterprise

    The days are hard.

    Research shows that the PRD export enterprises have difficulty in production and operation, and the profit margins are narrowed.

    According to a thorough investigation by the Ministry of Commerce of Guangdong province from the end of last year to the beginning of this year, only 20% of foreign trade enterprises expect year-round orders to increase, and enterprises that expect orders to drop will reach 40%.

    The decline of foreign trade is caused by multiple factors.

    Wang Yang said it was the result of many factors, such as external demand and rising costs, which also had a certain relationship with the implementation of policy measures.

    In summing up the import and export situation last year, Zheng Yuesheng, director general of the General Administration of customs and general statistics department, pointed out that the weakness of the global economic recovery, the weakening of the domestic low-cost advantage, the decline in the absorption of foreign capital by the manufacturing industry, and the continued decline in the commodity prices in the international market, all these factors will continue to lead to China's foreign trade in 2015.

    From the perspective of international demand, Shen Danyang, spokesman of the Ministry of Commerce, analyzed that the world economy is still in the adjustment period after the international financial crisis, and the overall recovery has not changed significantly.

    External demand growth is still facing many uncertain factors.

    From the domestic situation, the economy has entered a new normal, the downward pressure still exists, investment and economic slowdown have an impact on imports; the adjustment of industrial structure has reduced the proportion of labor-intensive industries and processing industries, showing that in the export structure, the proportion of general trade has increased and the proportion of processing trade has declined.

    At the same time, due to the continuous rising of labor and financing costs and the increase of resources and environment constraints, China's traditional industrial competitive advantage is weakening, which also restricts exports.

    "The situation of foreign trade and the current economic situation are closely linked. The recovery of manufacturing industry will lead to the growth of foreign trade, but at present, the downward pressure on domestic economy is still not getting rid of, and enterprises are faced with the situation of low efficiency and difficult operation.

    The recovery process will be slow. "

    Huo Jianguo said.


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