A Shares Are Still Good For A Week.

This time the policy is so unequivocal that it supports the rise of the stock market. It does not mean that the price earnings ratio will be high and the financing cost of the listed companies is low. This can replace the usury and bank loans with no cost capital, and the debt crisis of the banks will be lifted. If you are willing to be a devotee of the stock market, take the consumer electronic icon as a pleasure, you can go forward bravely and embrace the mad cow.

Last week, after entering the speculative sweet area, the technical analysts entered a positive feedback mechanism of investment confidence and self reinforcement due to the distortion of the signal caused by the exchange effect. According to the principle of cybernetics, no matter the automatic control system or the group game system, once the negative feedback link fails, the system will self amplify the signal and enlarge the system. The output of the system will increase with the geometric progression and the self oscillation of the output signal.

　　 equity market It's a game system.

The stock market is originally a game system, and all kinds of interests are interlaced and interacted with each other, presenting negative feedback effect, thus presenting an orderly fluctuation state. The fluctuation state depends on the positive and negative size of the external input signal. If the external signal intensity is too large and the duration is too long, the whole game system will deviate from stability and develop towards extreme direction. For example, the continued tightening of monetary policy and long-term policy pressure will cause the stock market to continue to bear the bear and fall more than expected. capital The continuous oversupply will also be the collapse of the stock market from the slow bull to the mad cow, after exhausting all the energy. Judging from the current situation, the market is biased towards the latter.

The general stock market has quick reaction mechanism for Lido and bad news. It corrects the excessive ups and downs through reverse price adjustment. However, after entering the speculative sweet area, market confidence is overflowing and numbness of bad profits, the market will sing along the original track until the extreme decline.

There are also many bad signals appearing in the market this week. For example, the two major stock index futures will be launched next week to provide hedge protection for short sellers. At the same time, the securities and Futures Commission will open the door of domestic funds to invest in the Hongkong market, and the major fund companies are eager to prepare for war, resulting in massive backflow of funds through Shanghai and Hong Kong. Hongkong's SOE index has surged by 10%, and the mainland and Hongkong stock markets have reversed relations.

Despite so many signals, they do not pose a threat to the A share market in the sweet zone, and investors are still enthusiastic about two days on Wednesday and Thursday. market Severe shock, but finally stubborn rise, the whole week has seen a 4.41% increase.

The market is in a period of excitement.

We feel that the last two weeks will be the most exciting period in the market. First, under the environment of comprehensive policy protection, investors' confidence is bursting. New investors, especially those who have just opened accounts, are more like the first calves. They are accelerating the market when regrets are late. Second, the main funds will not be distributed on a large scale before the opening of new stock index futures. They can only pull out and suppress them.

Generally speaking, the way of pulling up after this kind of pressure will appear again and again 3~4 times. When the small and medium investors are accustomed to the intense concussion, they will quickly pull up, and at the same time, after the stock index futures are laid out and the stock continues to jump, the filling shipment will come.

The first half of the good life is estimated to be another week, maybe two weeks, which depends on the circumstances at that time, and by the end of April, the market will gradually enter the quiet cycle. For stock market investment, there are two different modes, stock picking mode and time selecting mode. In the past three quarters, the market is suitable for the timing mode, no matter what stocks will rise sooner or later, but this pattern will not apply after May. With the medium-term adjustment of the market, the majority of the stock will adjust about 20%~30%, and the maverick stock may not exceed 10%.

Taking into account the two quarter market adjustment, the best way is to reduce some of the chips in the last concussion period and control the positions between 30%~50%, and when the market is substantially adjusted, we should consider the addition of high quality stocks, which should be a good choice. Of course, if your stock selection ability is very strong, you can find a big black horse with a hundred percent, and you can also make full use of the warehouse without paying attention to the systematic decline of the market. If your stock selection ability is not strong, blindly blindly superstition Daniel City, expect to gain the profits from the index rise, that may be in the right time to choose the wrong strategy, in the big market losses, you will be particularly uncomfortable.

In a word, the stock market is a game system. At this time, we earn all the money of our competitors, and the listed companies are basically empty handed. Think about it. At present, the price earnings ratio of gem is nearly 100 times, 70 times that of medium and small board, and 80 times the market boards of new three boards. Do you really think that you can get rewards from listed companies?