The Short And Short Market Continues To Be Weak.

Overnight oil prices and early morning futures are sharply weakened, but cash flow for a long time makes losses short and short cut resistance increase. Today, polyester and short markets continue to be vulnerable to finishing. The mainstream of Jiangsu and Zhejiang 1.4D direct spinning polyester and short market reports 7400-7500 yuan / ton, and the deal can be negotiated.

The morning Far East news is stable 7460 yuan / ton outside the province, Huahong reported stable 7550 yuan / ton outside the province, Huaxi Village reported stable 7560 yuan / ton factory.

The quotation of polyester and short manufacturers in Fujian has been lowered today. The mainstream quotation of 1.4D direct spinning polyester and short market is short of 7150-7200 yuan / ton, and the futures market in the morning is not good.

Jin Lun reported 7200 yuan / ton short sent, Jingwei 7200 yuan / ton short delivery, Xiang Lu reported 7200 yuan / ton short delivery, Jinxing newspaper 7150 yuan / ton short delivery.

The Shandong and Hebei markets are dominated by short staple and weak stability, 1.4

The mainstream newspaper was sent to 7400-7500 yuan / ton, downstream polyester manufacturers continue to wait and see, the purchase intention is still weak.

The morning Wah hung reported that it was stable at 7450 yuan / ton and now opened a line.

Wan Jie reported steady 7400 yuan / ton.

Pure polyester yarn price center downward, overall trading volume is not big, 32S mainstream quotation 11800 yuan / ton up and down, 45s mainstream quotation 13100 yuan / ton nearby.

Because of Hengli petrochemical, Yisheng Petrochemical reduced production sharply, or had a positive impact on the future market.

We still need to focus on crude oil, PTA futures and

Maintenance of downstream cotton mill.

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Very strong, and the competitiveness of State Cotton in the year of 2012 is obviously lower than that of the 2011 national cotton reserves in the year of 2011, and weaker than that of imported cotton in the year of 2012; the 200 thousand tons of cotton in the national storage area in 2 and 2012 years should be the focus of attention and auction of large and medium-sized cotton textile factories. On the one hand, no cotton import quota can be used to pick up American cotton; on the other hand, after the re examination, the price of 15500 yuan / ton is slightly higher than that of the current port SM class US cotton net weight quoted price of RMB yuan / ton (converted to almost the same price as that of the public price), but compared with that of Qingdao, Zhangjiagang, Guangzhou and other port bonded cotton countries, the United States cotton has the characteristics of "good consistency, good fiber length and suitable horse value". At present, the industry's priorities include: 1, 2011 and 2012 cotton re inspection, but the auction price difference between 1000 yuan / ton, obviously the government's intention to Chen cotton.

It is reported that some of the reserve cotton will be released in 7-8 months, and the number of rounds will be temporarily suspended by 1 million tons, and the sale will be suspended after the new year begins in September. The specific quantity and price arrangement will be: 330 thousand tons of domestic cotton in 2011, the bid price will be set at 3128B (the same level as the same below), 13200 yuan / ton in 2012, 470 thousand tons in domestic cotton in 2012, 14200 yuan / ton in the bid price, 200 thousand tons in imported cotton in 2012, and 15500 yuan / ton in the bid price, and some warehouses in Shandong, Henan and Jiangsu have been re examined and bundled.

　　從一些外商、進(jìn)口商反應(yīng)來看，輪出20萬噸國儲(chǔ)進(jìn)口棉對市場高等級棉花供應(yīng)量的沖擊顯而易見，畢竟截至7月上旬，除一定量的南疆手采棉外(一些機(jī)構(gòu)和棉企測算約30萬噸)，港口保稅美棉、澳棉以及7/8/9月份抵港的澳棉、巴西棉數(shù)量至少40萬噸，高等級棉花供應(yīng)或出現(xiàn)比較明顯的過剩;而輪出2011、2012年度國儲(chǔ)棉又對港口印度棉、西非棉的清關(guān)進(jìn)口造成沖軋，因此業(yè)內(nèi)的共識(shí)是，國儲(chǔ)棉輪出對外棉現(xiàn)貨銷售的影響需要一段較長時(shí)間消化;但對ICE期貨而言，利好的看法占據(jù)上風(fēng)，認(rèn)為中國輪出儲(chǔ)備棉表面上看是為國內(nèi)棉花價(jià)格“托底”，兼顧滿足棉紡織廠的需要，間接看為遠(yuǎn)月ICE期貨、2015/16年度棉花價(jià)格定了基調(diào)，穩(wěn)定了市場信心，利好于ICE市場繼續(xù)反彈。

From the perspective of ICE's disk price showing "near high and low", the confidence in the cotton market is not enough. For example, the price of contracts in July 1st, December 2015, March 2016 and May 2016 were 68 cents / pound, 67.38 cents / pound, 66.69 cents / lb, but after 15500 yuan / ton of Chinese round store price, the contract price difference in recent months and far months showed a narrowing trend, supporting ICE's "near weak and far strong" pattern, which is conducive to the stability of confidence of long and speculators, and also conducive to analyzing the market of International Cotton Traders and Chinese buyers, and agreeing the price of US cotton in the long term shipping date.

In addition, after the launch of the policy, the panic and fear in the cotton market stopped abruptly, and the market lost gradually.

Since March, the dumping and storage rumors have been noisy, but no matter whether the 1 million tons of dumping reserves are 13200 yuan / ton, 14200 yuan / ton, 15500 yuan / ton, the dumping and storage prices are lower and higher than the industry's expectations; and obviously, the 470 thousand ton 2012 national storage cotton 14200 yuan / ton price itself has the intention of "lifting the price of cotton"; moreover, taking into account the Australian cotton quotations "high and small", India cotton S-6 "can not afford to use large quantities", the port cotton is in a semi salable state, but before October, cotton merchants are unlikely to take the initiative to reduce the amount of running, and the magnitude of ICE shock is expected to shrink, the main contract or repeated fluctuations in the 65-68 cent car body.