The Stock Market Shows Strong Characteristics At The End Of The Year. Do You Understand?
This week, Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Shenzhen composite index, small and medium sized board and gem were all pulled out of the Shanghai Yang line, with an increase of 4.2%, 5.74%, 6.36% and 5.96% respectively.
Perhaps because of the stock market crash this summer, the market has changed hands fully and the profit margins have been effectively cleaned. Therefore, this year's "winter sowing" period did not show the trend of unilateral decline in previous years, but showed strong characteristics.
1, the "new share purchase curse" no longer
Since the resumption of new shares in the second half of last year, there has been a big shift in the two tier market funds whenever there is new subscription.
Over time, it is known as the "new share purchase spell".
However, last week and this week, 10 new shares were purchased.
The market did not fall below 3400 points and 60 antennas, but on the day of purchase, such as Monday, the day before the purchase of new shares on a large scale, the four indexes showed a sharp rise in shrinkage.
On Thursday, the day before the thaw of more than 2 billion purchase funds, there was another surge.
Investors no longer fear the purchase of new shares, which is a strong feature of the market.
2, in the face of big bad to pull out the big sun line.
In the past two weeks, two in the past seemed to be a "great advantage", but the market has been anti - effect, not but not falling, but a big rise.
For example, on Monday, the four indexes jumped 86 points, 266 points, 254 points and 38 points, which was a response to the negative registration system last week.
For example, on Wednesday, the four indexes surged 64 points, 314 points, 330 points and 66 points, which was a contempt for the Fed's first interest rate hike after 10 years.
The market is stronger than the bad market.
3, volume starts to enlarge.
In the past three weeks,
Market volume
Has been significantly shrinking, most of the volume of more than 6000-7000 billion.
Only the stock of funds in the game, there is no new capital into the market, even the two financial balance of the securities company has shrunk to 680 billion 700 million.
However, on Thursday and the 52 day, volume increased to 996 billion 300 million and 958 billion 700 million, indicating that new funds and new funds began to enter the market.
4, the market average system shows a long signal.
The first is the strong support of the 60 antenna.
Since November 30th, the 60 antenna (3332 points) was broken in an instant, but the 3445 point was closed. In the three weeks after that, the market index never touched the 60 antenna.
Especially on Friday, the market also broke through the December 3rd rebound high of 3591 points, touches 3614 points, but also the possibility of breaking the 60 antenna in the year is becoming smaller and smaller.
The two is to recover the five week moving average.
Most people use the bull market and bear market to distinguish the market and decide to move forward and retreat.
I have always regarded the gains and losses of the five week moving average as the watershed to distinguish between the bull market and the bull market. I think this distinction is more operational than the distinction between bull and bear market.
By November 17th, after losing 3478 points and ending the "autumn rush" market, the market was then pressed into the five week moving average and entered the bear market.
However, as of December 11th (Monday), the market closed for 5 consecutive days on the five week moving average (now at 3521 points), and the bull market was established.
At the same time, it broke through the 20 day line (3528 point), the 30 day line (3558) and the half yearly line (3536 points), and the average line system is gradually forming a multi head arrangement.
5, market trend and popularity show a long market.
We can clearly see that in September, October and November, we have seen three successive upward platforms.
Don't underestimate the seemingly unsophisticated three platforms.
In the six week's "autumn rush" market from October 8th to November, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 20.5%, the Shenzhen Composite Index rose by 29.9%, the SME board rose 37.7%, and the growth enterprise board rose 40% by 17.
The platform only takes a long time and does not attract attention.
Right now, what we see is a long platform with a slightly lower position in December.
The Shanghai Composite Index also showed signs of upward movement (the other three indices were more obvious).
In the three week since December, the biggest increase of the four indexes is: the Shanghai Composite Index rose from 3399-3614 points, or 6.33%; the Shenzhen Composite Index rose 12038-12904 from 12038-12904 points; the small and medium board rose from 12129-13644 points to 12.5%, and the gem rose from 2507-2850 points to 13.7%.
Shanghai Composite Index
Although the increase is the smallest, the trend of the slow bull market is beneficial to most small and medium board growth stocks, especially to the gem. It will surely maintain the stability of the market and popularity, and help the new funds to enter the market gradually.
6, strive for the last 9 trading days in the year.
slow bull
Although the market is already showing strong characteristics, we must soberly realize that the last 9 days of the stock market will be urgent at the end of the year, and the last 8 new shares will be purchased next Wednesday. The 25 and 26 days will be the closing date of the listed companies. At the end of the year, the closing days for many institutions and private equity funds and public funds will be closed. After the new year's day, the ban on the more than 2700 largest shareholders of the listed companies who will not be reduced within half a year will be lifted and the market will face a severe test.
Therefore, people should not be too optimistic, blindly rushing forward, hoping for a breakthrough in index.
In particular, large cap stocks can only go up the steps, continue to set up, but can not sing opera.
I think, in the last 9 days, the market can conquer the "autumn rush" market high point 3678 points and the annual line 3686 points, enough!
But the 100 index seems to be small, which does not mean that market opportunities are small.
At the end of the year, I still strongly advocate light index and heavy stocks, light large cap stocks, small and medium sized stocks, light and high priced stocks, medium and low price stocks, light traditional industries, re create industries, light endogenous growth stocks, heavy exogenous growth stocks, light dominant emerging industrial stocks and heavy invisible emerging industries.
Accordingly, we can generalize five types of stocks that deserve people's attention.
That is: Shanghai's state-owned assets reform concept stocks, Shanghai Disney concept stocks, venture capital stocks, ST caps assets restructuring and emerging industry stocks that are expected to upgrade and upgrade new industries.
Holding them and combining investment can catch a dark horse with a greater advantage than seventy or eighty yuan or one hundred or two hundred yuan in cost performance, quality, potential, value and the uptrend of the future market.
I believe that investors who hold such stocks will win the market every day, regardless of the rise and fall of the market index, and Cara will have a big line.
These investors do not want the index to go up. They only need small Yang and small Yin.
This is the high realm, great wisdom, new ideas and out of limits battle in the stock market operation.
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