Cotton Association: Survey On Cotton Planting Intention Of Cotton Farmers In 2016

January 2016, China

Association of cotton growers

The Huatai cotton professional cooperative has conducted second surveys on cotton planting intentional area in 2016 in 12 provinces and 310 counties (cities and regiments) in Xinjiang autonomous region.

The survey results showed that in 2016, the cotton planting area in China was 43 million 280 thousand mu, down 10.17% from the same period last year, a drop of 3.17 percentage points over the previous period.

In the subregion, the cotton planting intention in Xinjiang cotton region has been reduced by 9.35% because of the decline in cotton prices and the adjustment of cotton planting policy. The cotton planting in the mainland has been affected by many factors, such as less acquisition enterprises, high labor costs, long cotton planting period and large investment, and the cotton planting intention has dropped by 11.63%.

2966 households surveyed

Cotton farmers accounted for 26.84% of the cotton planting area and 6.5% of the farmers who were prepared to increase their planting area accounted for 49.61%, while 17.05% of the cotton growers were still hanging around.

Based on the area of the association in 2015, it is estimated that the total area of cotton planting in China will be 43 million 278 thousand and 600 mu in 2016, a decrease of 10.17% over the same period last year.

Cotton planting in Xinjiang cotton area decreased by 9.35%, an increase of 1.75 percentage points over the previous period.

The main reason is that the data released by the Xinjiang Autonomous Region Government in the near future shows that the cotton planting area will be reduced by 1 million 500 thousand mu on the basis of last year's last year, and that the cotton planting area will be maintained at about 23 million mu in 2016, and the cotton planting will be actively advocated to concentrate to the dominant producing areas.

Two, because cotton prices are not ideal this year and the cost of agricultural materials has increased, cotton farmers' income has decreased, cotton planting confidence is insufficient, and their intentions continue to decline.

At present, cotton farmers mainly consider the subsidy situation in 2015. The first subsidy is 1.2 yuan / kg, most of them have been paid before the end of December. However, due to the difference in local implementation, subsidies in some areas will only be released in late January. If the second subsidy can reach 0.8 yuan / kg, most of the cotton farmers' income will be guaranteed, and the intention of planting cotton will also improve.

Among the surveyed cotton farmers, 15.8% of cotton farmers were prepared to reduce cotton planting area, and only 4.1% of the farmers increased, 62% of which were unchanged from last year, and 18.1% of cotton farmers are still hanging around.

The decline of cotton planting intention in the the Yellow River River Basin increased earlier than before. Since late January, cotton production in the river basin has basically stagnated, cotton farmers can not sell cotton in hand, and confidence in cotton planting next year is not enough.

In 2016, the cotton planting area was expected to decrease by 13.88% over the same period last year, and the percentage of the cotton growing area increased by 4 percentage points. The two provinces in Henan and Hebei expected to reduce their area by more than 20%.

Among the surveyed cotton farmers, 41.69% of cotton farmers were prepared to reduce cotton planting area, 9.50% of which were prepared to increase, 42.29% of which were flat last year, and 6.52% of cotton growers.

The intention to reduce cotton planting in the Yangtze River Basin is smaller than that in the the Yellow River River Basin, but the cotton planting situation is not optimistic. The main reason is that the labor cost of the basin is higher, and cotton planting needs a lot of labor input. Cotton farmers reflect that cotton planting is becoming more and more worthless.

In 2016, cotton planting area was expected to decrease by 9.52% over the same period last year, a 1.6 percentage point increase.

Among them, Hubei,

Two provinces are expected to reduce cotton planting area more than 14%, mainly because the cotton purchase price of Hubei province is not ideal this year. The cotton market in Jiangsu is not active, and cotton in some areas is not purchased. As of the end of January, the sales progress of Jiangsu is less than 80%, which is the slowest selling process in the basin.

Among the surveyed cotton farmers, 25.77% were prepared to reduce cotton planting area, 6.81% for farmers, 41.14% for last year, and 26.28% for wandering.