The Trend Of A Shares Adjustment Will Continue To Be Cool.

A broken position Monday Long Yin confirmed the nature of the band adjustment.

Along with this week's downward flight of the Zhou Yin line, the 5 week moving average has been pressing the index for three weeks in a row, and the short form of the market is obvious.

The market has been down four weeks, and the lowest point this week has seen 2781 points.

Does this small cross on Friday presage some signs of a steady drop in the market? It depends on your understanding of the adjustment cycle of the big plate.

Judging from the short-term situation of the disk, the 2781 point this week almost completed a set of falling wave structures in the timesharing chart.

Therefore, in the short term, the 2781 point can be regarded as a relatively low point in the short term.

As long as there are no structural features of the extended decline next Monday, the possibility of finishing sideways next week will be relatively large.

In line with the short line deviation from the weekly K line, it is also allowed to repair the short line through the sideways shock.

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However, judging from the adjustment structure of the weekly line, the adjustment starting from the 3097 point, no matter from time or space, has not reached the technical requirements that can form band stability and stop stabilization.

Therefore, even if there is a short-term rebound or sidewalk finishing next week, it will not be the market basis for the so-called bottom signal.

Many market participants

The decline is attributed to the tightening of China's stock market return and the medium-term trend of China's economy and its doubts about the future functions and positioning of the stock market.

Although this is true, in fact, the mid-term trend of China's economy and the positioning and function of the stock market are not the reality now.

In my first two blogs, I have prospectively analyzed the reasons and logic of the upcoming broadband adjustment.

Some of the analysis logic and viewpoints mentioned here should be highly valued by investors.

Many investors only realized the seriousness of the problem after the sharp decline in the market. The fundamental reason is that we have not really seen our economic situation and stock market atmosphere through our objective and rational thinking.

The problem now is, starting at 2638.

Is the reverse correction of the whole 5178 point mid-term down band or just the opposite correction of the 3684 point down band? So far, I prefer the view that the 2638 point rebound is only a reverse correction relative to the 3684 point down band, not the total reverse correction of the whole 5178 point down band.

In other words, the medium-term adjustment at the start of the 5178 point is unlikely to see a real low.

If so, the adjustment starting from 3097 points is not only for the adjustment of 2638-3097 points, but for the 5178 downward adjustment in the medium term adjustment.

If it does belong to the third falling band, the future market will eventually fall below 2638 points, and find the real mid term bottom again.

However, some friends have suggested whether space can be exchanged through time.

Certainly.

The adjustment of the big A wave similar to the 6124 point produced an absolute low point of 1664 points. Although the low point of the big C wave did not hit 1664 points at 1849, the adjustment time of the big C wave at 3478 o'clock was four times longer than that of the big A wave.

In the same way, if we want to prevent the market from breaking 2638 more points in space, it will take more than a year to polish it.

Long pain or short pain, let the market choose.